No stress last night. Savor it.
Georgia Tech at Notre Dame
Off the top of my head, I do think Notre Dame’s at least won games like this won under Shrewsberry—home games against the dregs of the ACC. But the line’s large, and the over looks manageable with the way these teams play defense.
Pick: Over 152 (–105). 4.44 units to win 4.23.
Kansas at Iowa State
Don’t overvalue the last meeting, and don’t sleep on Iowa State.
Pick: Iowa State –7 (–110). 4.65 units to win 4.23.
Texas at Missouri
This is a tossup’s tossup, but Mizzou’s playing well of late and Columbia should be rocking.
Pick: Missouri –1 (–105). 4.44 units to win 4.23.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –573.19 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,069 single-game markets plus six completed futures portfolios)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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