Today’s Best Bets: Can We Trust Vanderbilt?

Split decision last night. Won on the aggregate. Only one tonight.


Vanderbilt at Texas

We don’t trust Texas. We do trust Vanderbilt. We don’t see Texas catching Vanderbilt off guard when Texas just beat Alabama. Maybe there’s a trap situation here where Vandy’s looking ahead to Florida this weekend, but we’re willing to take that chance.

Pick: Vanderbilt –4 (+100). 3.26 units to win 3.26.

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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.

2025–26: –514.92 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)

2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,034 single-game markets plus four completed futures portfolios and two partly completed futures portfolios)

Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)

Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.

These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.

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The Barking Crow's resident numbers man. NIT Bracketology, college football forecasting, and things of that nature. Fields inquiries on Twitter: @joestunardi.
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