Nice little win last night. Needed that.
Still no new NFL stuff today. Just more hoops.
Texas at Kentucky
Kentucky’s been a disappointment this year, and Texas has had its moments. Right now, though, Texas is playing a lot like Texas and Kentucky’s rallying. We like the Wildcats to grab an easy one at home.
Pick: Kentucky –7 (–115). 3.42 units to win 2.97.
Notre Dame at North Carolina
There’s a push and pull here between UNC’s awful recent defense and Notre Dame’s awful offense. We’re alarmed by both, but UNC’s overall defense shouldn’t be this bad. Notre Dame’s overall offense should be.
Pick: Under 149.5 (–110). 3.27 units to win 2.97.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –543.90 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,041 single-game markets plus five completed futures portfolios and one partly completed futures portfolio)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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