Another superspeedway near miss. What a run by Riley Herbst on that restart, though.
Just college basketball today.
Houston at Iowa State
We like Iowa State at home, but we’re hopelessly biased and the market isn’t quite as keen on the Cyclones. So, we’re following the market’s lead on the total instead. It does make sense that this would be especially low-scoring.
Pick: Under 135 (–115). 4.84 units to win 4.21.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –574.89 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,071 single-game markets plus six completed futures portfolios)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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