You lose 50% of coin flips.
(Most of the time.)
Saint Mary’s vs. Santa Clara
Going with the late one tonight, and trusting the market in a space (WCC Tournament totals) where we remember getting burned before. Fingers crossed for no overtime.
Pick: Under 149 (–115). 4.92 units to win 4.28.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –567.89 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,096 single-game markets plus six completed futures portfolios)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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