The market now seems to prefer Orleans Arena overs, and I don’t know what to make of that. So…
Clemson vs. Duke
The Caleb Foster injury obviously matters, but I also wonder if Duke’s looking ahead to the next few weeks, and if that’s part of what we saw last night. Not to take anything away from Florida State, who’s come on strong, but we live in a world of college sports that’s become pretty myopically focused on the national tournament. And in this blog’s opinion, not the right one!
Pick: Clemson +10.5 (–115). 4.91 units to win 4.27.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –568.74 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,100 single-game markets plus six completed futures portfolios)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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