Editor’s Note: For three years now, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been positive, with an average return on investment, per pick, of 1.3% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 1,899 published picks, not including bets that remain pending, like futures. 1.3% doesn’t sound amazing, but relative to what else you get on the internet?
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you have a gambling problem, get help.
Lines for these come from the Vegas consensus or the closest approximation available at the time picks are written, unless otherwise noted. KenPom is heavily used in making college basketball picks. ESPN’s SP+ is heavily used in making college football picks of all kinds, and FPI is used in making conference championship futures picks.
Florida International @ Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State’s last time out, they scored 110 points…on a Division III school. FIU’s last time out, they scored 88…in a four-overtime game. Overall, between FIU’s offensive struggles and Jacksonville State’s love of slowing things down, this should hang around 130.
Pick: Under 134.5 (-110). Medium confidence.
