Today’s Best Bet: Tuesday, February 1st

Editor’s Note: For a little more than three years now, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been positive, with an average return on investment, per pick, of 0.5% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 1,994 published picks, not including bets that remain pending, like futures. 0.5% doesn’t sound amazing, but relative to what else you get on the internet?

Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you have a gambling problem, get help.

Lines for these come from the Vegas consensus or the closest approximation available at the time picks are written, unless otherwise noted. KenPom is heavily used in making college basketball picks.

Providence @ St. John’s

Providence has won two straight by one possession. St. John’s ran Seton Hall off the Pirates’ own floor last week. But for as deceptive as Providence’s 18-2 record is (the Friars have produced incredibly impressive results, but the underlying numbers aren’t overpowering), they’re still the better team here. By enough that they should probably be a road favorite.

Pick: Providence +2.5 (-110). Low confidence.

The Barking Crow's resident numbers man. Was asked to do NIT Bracketology in 2018 and never looked back. Fields inquiries on Twitter: @joestunardi.
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