Today’s Best Bet: Thursday, January 20th

Editor’s Note: For a little more than three years now, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been positive, with an average return on investment, per pick, of 0.7% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 1,982 published picks, not including bets that remain pending, like futures. 0.7% doesn’t sound amazing, but relative to what else you get on the internet?

Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you have a gambling problem, get help.

Lines for these come from the Vegas consensus or the closest approximation available at the time picks are written, unless otherwise noted. KenPom is heavily used in making college basketball picks.

Purdue @ Indiana

The best offense in the Big Ten versus the best defense in the Big Ten, with the question coming down, in part, to how Purdue responds to Monday’s big win. Is this Purdue turning the corner and solidifying themselves as a national contender? Is this Purdue yo-yoing between flashes of brilliance and flashes of mere decency? We’re guessing the former. But it’s a guess.

Pick: Purdue -3.5 (-112). Low confidence.

The Barking Crow's resident numbers man. Was asked to do NIT Bracketology in 2018 and never looked back. Fields inquiries on Twitter: @joestunardi.
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