Editor’s Note: For a little more than three years now, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been positive, with an average return on investment, per pick, of 0.4% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 2,002 published picks, not including bets that remain pending, like futures. 0.4% doesn’t sound amazing, but we’re publishing it, aren’t we?
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you have a gambling problem, get help.
Lines for these come from the Vegas consensus or the closest approximation available at the time picks are written, unless otherwise noted. KenPom is heavily used in making college basketball picks.
Duke @ Clemson
In Duke’s three games after losses this year, the Blue Devils have:
- Beaten South Carolina State by 41 (KenPom line was 35)
- Beaten Wake Forest by 12 (KenPom line was 4)
- Beaten Syracuse by 20 (KenPom line was 13)
That’s not enough to call it a trend. But it’s enough to guess that it might be. The KenPom line tonight is six.
Pick: Duke -7 (-110). Low confidence.
