Editor’s Note: For almost three years now, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. There have been moments of elation (the Nationals winning the 2019 World Series). There have been moments of frustration (the Dodgers’ 2020 NLCS comeback). Overall, the results have been positive, with an average return on investment, per pick, of 2% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 1,807 published picks, not including bets that remain pending, like futures. 2% doesn’t sound amazing, but relative to what else you get on the internet?
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you have a gambling problem, get help.
Lines for these come from the Vegas consensus or the closest approximation available at the time picks are written, unless otherwise noted. KenPom is heavily used in making college basketball picks. ESPN’s SP+ is heavily used in making college football picks of all kinds, and FPI is used in making conference championship futures picks.
Parlay: Minnesota vs. Princeton; Western Carolina @ East Carolina
Minnesota’s expected to be the worst team in the Big Ten this year, but if you’re going to be the worst in any conference…
East Carolina might still be without Wynston Tabbs, but they’ve been more or less at expectations without him.
Neither of these presents great value, but both present positive value, so to make it lower-risk and higher-reward, we go with a parlay.
Pick: Parlay – Minnesota to win; East Carolina to win +108. Low confidence.
