Editor’s Note: For more than two years now, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. There have been moments of elation (the Nationals winning the 2019 World Series, the first two months of last college basketball season). There have been moments of frustration (the Dodgers’ NLCS comeback, the second two months of last college basketball season). Overall, the results have been positive, with an average return on investment, per pick, of 0.9% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 1,295 published picks, not including pending futures. And while 0.9% might not be enormous, it’s positive over a big sample size. For what it’s worth.
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you have a gambling problem, get help.
Lines for these come from the Vegas consensus or the closest approximation available at the time picks are written, unless otherwise noted. Ken Pomeroy’s KenPom is heavily used in making College Basketball picks.
AAC Tournament: Houston vs. Cincinnati
At the end of the conference tournament grind, are teams worn out? And does that lead to lower scoring?
It’s possible there’s data out there on this. I haven’t seen it yet. Seems like a conventional wisdom thing to me. This is close, but worth a shot if you’re looking for one.
Pick: Over 135 (-110). Low confidence.
