Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of -2.9% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 3,061 published picks, not including pending futures, and an average return on investment, per pick, of 0.3% across 762 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks, these days, are in experimental markets for us).
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you have a gambling problem, get help.
Lines for these come from the Vegas consensus or the closest approximation available at the time picks are written, unless otherwise noted. For futures bets and motorsports bets, odds are taken from the better option between Bovada and BetOnline as our best approximation of the Vegas consensus, which isn’t currently/accurately available online. FanGraphs is heavily used in making MLB picks.
Just F1 today.
Canadian Grand Prix
These are ridiculously short, but at the same time: Who else will win? The question seems to be less about anyone competing with Verstappen and more about whether something will go wrong with Verstappen. The odds of Verstappen having an engine failure or a blown tire or a major pit miscue are much lower than 25%, and while it isn’t a 100% certainty he’ll win if those don’t happen, it’s not that far off.
Pick: Max Verstappen to win -260. Low confidence.
