Editor’s Note: Over a sample size of 795 completed bets (this doesn’t include outstanding futures picks), Joe’s picks published here and back at All Things NIT, our former site, have an average return on investment of 9% when weighted by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high). This, compared to other picks consistently published online, is very good. It’s also good when compared to conventional annual investments, and instead of taking a year to bring that return, it’s taking between three hours and seven months. In short, Joe’s got a good track record.
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One pick for tonight.
As always:
- Lines come from the Vegas Consensus at the time this is written, or the best approximation I can find of it online.
- Data and predictions from KenPom, FanGraphs, Baseball Savant, Team Rankings, and ESPN is/are often used and/or cited.
- The blurbs often aren’t justifications of the picks. Often, they’re instead just notes about something or someone related to the pick. Something that interests me. I don’t explain the picks because in general, the rationale behind each pick is the same, so it would be boring to say over and over again that the numbers I use project a good return on investment and I see no red flags significant enough to make me hold off.
Coppin State @ Florida A&M
With Bryce Moragne back on the court, Florida A&M bounced back from a pair of losses to get their first conference win Saturday at home against Morgan State. The Rattlers are 3-2 over their last five, with the non-conference victories coming at Seattle and Iowa State.
Could do worse.
Coppin State rallied Saturday in the first leg of their Florida road trip, keeping things interesting in Dayton against Bethune-Cookman. Still, they’re not the team that knocked off Loyola in November, or East Carolina in December. They’ve slumped of late, and while they could certainly keep it close tonight or pull off the upset, FAMU’s one of the better plays on today’s board.
Pick: Florida A&M -3.5 (-110). Low confidence.
