Editor’s Note: For three years now, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been positive, with an average return on investment, per pick, of 2% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 1,884 published picks, not including bets that remain pending, like futures. 2% doesn’t sound amazing, but relative to what else you get on the internet?
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you have a gambling problem, get help.
Lines for these come from the Vegas consensus or the closest approximation available at the time picks are written, unless otherwise noted. KenPom is heavily used in making college basketball picks. ESPN’s SP+ is heavily used in making college football picks of all kinds, and FPI is used in making conference championship futures picks.
North Carolina Central @ The Citadel
When we last saw The Citadel, they were guiding us to a win on an under last week, shooting 2 of 24 from deep against UNC-Asheville.
They aren’t going to shoot that badly again.
The Bulldogs are a mediocre three-point shooting team, and they shoot a ton of threes, opening them up to uncertainty, but the median result tonight has them pulling away comfortably from their guests from Durham. This is the best play of the night.
Pick: The Citadel -9 (-110). Medium confidence.
