Editor’s Note: Over a sample size of 585 completed bets (this doesn’t include outstanding futures picks), Joe’s picks published here and back at All Things NIT, our former site, have an average return on investment of 6% when weighted by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high). This, compared to other picks consistently published online, is pretty good. It would not be an exceptional annual ROI for an investor. But it’s not too shabby when coming between four hours and seven months after making the picks.
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Only one pick today.
As always:
- Lines come from the Vegas Consensus at the time this is written, or the best approximation I can find of it online.
- Data and predictions from FanGraphs, Baseball Savant, Spotrac, and ESPN is/are often used and/or cited.
- The blurbs often aren’t justifications of the picks. Often, they’re instead just notes about something or someone related to the pick. Something that interests me. I don’t explain the picks because in general, the rationale behind each pick is the same, so it would be boring to say over and over again that the numbers I use project a good return on investment and I see no red flags significant enough to make me hold off.
Pittsburgh @ Syracuse
Syracuse’s last game, a 16-10 loss at NC State a week ago last night, was ugly. Pitt has a better defense than NC State and a poorer offense. Tonight shouldn’t be much prettier.
Pick: Six-Point Teaser, Syracuse +10, Under 58.5 (-110). Low confidence.
