Today’s Best Bet: Friday, February 18th

Editor’s Note: For a little more than three years now, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been positive, with an average return on investment, per pick, of 0.5% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 2,010 published picks, not including bets that remain pending, like futures. 0.5% doesn’t sound amazing, but we’re publishing it, aren’t we?

Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you have a gambling problem, get help.

Lines for these come from the Vegas consensus or the closest approximation available at the time picks are written, unless otherwise noted. KenPom is heavily used in making college basketball picks.

Missouri @ Mississippi State

There isn’t a lot that jumps out about either team here on the matchup side of things, except that each is strong on the offensive glass. Only one of the two is strong on the defensive glass, and that’s Mississippi State. Is it enough to bump the line a point or two? Maybe. It’s the best we could find tonight.

Pick: Mississippi State -11 (-110). Low confidence.

The Barking Crow's resident numbers man. Was asked to do NIT Bracketology in 2018 and never looked back. Fields inquiries on Twitter: @joestunardi.
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