We’re each publishing our NIT bracket today. Here’s mine, with some help from some simulations from Joe (quick stats are that the expected number of 3 and 4-seeds to win in the first round is roughly 3.5, the expected number of 1 and 2-seeds in the Final Four is roughly 2.5, and Memphis, Saint Louis, and Mississippi are all in the 10%-12%-ish range to win the tournament).
1st Round Winners:
4. Buffalo over 1. Colorado State
2. Davidson over 3. NC State
3. SMU over 2. Boise State
1. Memphis over 4. Dayton
1. Saint Louis over 4. Mississippi State
3. Toledo over 2. Richmond
2. Saint Mary’s over 3. Western Kentucky
4. Louisiana Tech over 1. Mississippi
Quarterfinal Winners:
4. Buffalo over 2. Davidson
3. SMU over 1. Memphis
1. Saint Louis over 3. Toledo
2. Saint Mary’s over 4. Louisiana Tech
Semifinal Winners:
4. Buffalo over 3. SMU
1. Saint Louis over 2. Saint Mary’s
3rd Place Game:
2. Saint Mary’s over 3. SMU
Championship:
1. Saint Louis over 4. Buffalo
Tiebreakers:
Total Turnovers: 480
Total Fouls: 576
Vice Presidential Birthplace Closest to Edge of Runner Up Campus: Millard Fillmore
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Go Billikens.
