Our college basketball bracketologies are live. Here they are:
There isn’t a lot to say about the projections at this point. We’ll have a post up sometime soon explaining how the model works—next week, maybe—but basically, it relies heavily on KenPom, so this far out, if it’s high or low on a team relative to the ecosystem, we aren’t that smart—it’s just KenPom and favorable scheduling for résumé purposes.
We don’t have our probabilities up yet—there’s too much uncertainty at this point to label those with enough precision for them to be worthwhile. We’ll be trying to improve the model as the season goes, too, but we’ll keep notes of what our models have said to date, what changes have been made, etc. For now, we’re back. Next update Monday or Tuesday. Stay tuned, and enjoy the hoops (if you want to).