We’ve got probabilities for the NIT, updating every morning. These run mostly off of kenpom ratings. The only difference is that in our simulations, each winner’s kenpom rating adjusts in future rounds depending on their performance in completed games.
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Last updated: Sunday 3/29, 11:32 AM EDT
| Team | NIT 2R | NIT QF | NIT SF | NIT Champ | NIT Champions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn | 100% | 100% | 100% | 75% | 42% |
| New Mexico | 100% | 100% | 100% | 60% | 32% |
| Tulsa | 100% | 100% | 100% | 40% | 18% |
| Illinois State | 100% | 100% | 100% | 25% | 9% |
| Dayton | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Nevada | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Wichita State | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Saint Joseph’s | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Oklahoma State | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Cal | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Wake Forest | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| George Washington | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| UNLV | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Seattle | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| UNC Wilmington | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Liberty | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Colorado State | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Utah Valley | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Bradley | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| UIC | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Murray State | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Sam Houston State | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Navy | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Kent State | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Yale | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| George Mason | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| UC Irvine | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Stephen F. Austin | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Wyoming | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| St. Thomas | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Davidson | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| South Alabama | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
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