NIT Bracketology: Our Latest Look at the Expected Field

We’re going to make this quick, in case there’s another announcement which renders it out of date:

Our NIT Bracketology is updated, and it looks like this:

Oklahoma Region

1. Oklahoma*
SMU
4. Washington*
San Francisco
3. Princeton
Syracuse
2. Villanova*
VCU

Wake Forest Region

1. Wake Forest*
Appalachian State
4. Georgia*
UCF
3. Iowa*
Bradley
2. Cincinnati*
Loyola (IL)

Seton Hall Region

1. Seton Hall
Florida State
4. LSU*
South Florida
3. Utah*
UNLV
2. Providence*
Boston College

Indiana State Region

1. Indiana State
Minnesota
4. Kansas State
UC Irvine
3. Virginia Tech*
Richmond
2. Ohio State*
Butler

What we know is this:

  • Oklahoma, Seton Hall, and Indiana State will receive invitations as 1-seeds.
  • St. John’s and Pitt have asked to not be invited to the NIT.

What we don’t know is this:

  • Who will take the fourth 1-seed (this is now up the NIT committee, not the NCAAT committee).
  • Whether anyone else will opt out, publicly or privately.

We posted a list this morning of the next teams on our radar. From what we can tell, we won’t get terribly far down that list, but it’s possible there are more teams opting out that we aren’t hearing about. Right now, it seems to fall in between the doomsday scenario some reporters were forecasting and the rosy scenario NIT Stu was hoping for. Five opt-outs, two from projected high seeds, four from coaches with poor reputations, two from coaches objectively struggling to meet expectations. In return, our best projection is that we’re getting San Francisco, SMU, Florida State, UC Irvine, and Minnesota, which isn’t a bad crew. Selection Show at 9:30 PM Eastern. We’ll see you afterwards, with plenty more content.

The Barking Crow's resident numbers man. Was asked to do NIT Bracketology in 2018 and never looked back. Fields inquiries on Twitter: @joestunardi.
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