Movelor is The Barking Crow’s college football rating system. Below is Movelor’s final prediction for the 2024–25 season.
Last year, Movelor was roughly 0.8 points less accurate per game than the closing spread in betting markets. This year, it was 1.1 points worse than the closing spread per game over 798 FBS vs. FBS games.
Overall stats for the 2024–25 season:
- FBS vs. FBS: 68.8% correct winners; 13.2-point absolute average error margin
- All FBS: 72.4% correct winners; 13.0-point absolute average error margin
- FCS vs. FCS: 73.1% correct winners; 12.4-point absolute average error margin
- All Division I: 73.2% correct winners; 13.1-point absolute average error margin
Here’s how it all works. If you’re interested in more data from our model, including College Football Playoff probabilities, that can be found through this menu.