Our bowl projections are live through Week 8’s games, and we’ve included them below, with our full ratings and probabilities through Week 8 also included below (for archival purposes). One important note: These are publishing late again this week, but they do not include results from any of the Tuesday night games. I don’t think they’d affect anything, but apologies for the delay either way. Other notes:
Penn State has a higher average final CFP ranking than Georgia, but Georgia gets the playoff nod based on their narrow playoff probability edge. What’s happening here is that Penn State’s floor is pretty high relative to Georgia’s. This is mostly a function of remaining schedule. We have Ohio State and Michigan 1–2, but again, that’s because of how good their respective average finishes are. In reality, one will likely finish even better than the average, and the other will finish worse.
Penn State dropping out of the playoff pushes Iowa out of the New Year’s Six. Notre Dame climbs in to take that place, and matchups are shuffled by the Orange Bowl going for Penn State rather than an SEC team.
We’re now two bowl-eligible teams short, or four, depending how you count. We did not realize the NCAA would allow FBS transitioning teams to fill some of the shortages, and we’ve adjusted our model accordingly. It is now very likely that both James Madison and Jacksonville State will play in bowl games. To fill our last two, we used the teams closest to 50% bowl probability. This week, that’s Virginia Tech and Wake Forest.
Teams entering the bowl mix: James Madison (kind of, were already there and we didn’t know it), Jacksonville State (ditto), BYU, Minnesota, Boston College, UCF, Old Dominion, Rice, Wake Forest.
Teams exiting the bowl mix: Appalachian State, Florida Atlantic, Illinois, Central Michigan, Texas Tech, South Carolina (kind of, they would’ve been out last week if JMU was in), Tulsa, Arkansas, San Diego State.
At 35th in Movelor’s rankings, Arkansas is the best team projected to finish bowl-ineligible. At 113th , Bowling Green State remains the worst team projected to make a bowl.
The projections, and this week’s ratings and probabilities:
Date Bowl Team 1 Team 2 T1 Conference T2 Conference 1/1/24 Rose Bowl (CFP Semifinal) Ohio State Georgia Big Ten SEC 1/1/24 Sugar Bowl (CFP Semifinal) Michigan Florida State Big Ten ACC 1/1/24 Fiesta Bowl Oregon Air Force Pac-12 Mountain West 1/1/24 ReliaQuest Bowl LSU North Carolina SEC ACC 1/1/24 Citrus Bowl Mississippi Iowa SEC Big Ten 12/30/23 Orange Bowl Louisville Penn State ACC Big Ten 12/30/23 Peach Bowl Washington Notre Dame Pac-12 FBS Independents 12/30/23 Music City Bowl Maryland Kentucky Big Ten SEC 12/30/23 Arizona Bowl Northern Illinois Boise State MAC Mountain West 12/29/23 Cotton Bowl Oklahoma Alabama Big 12 SEC 12/29/23 Gator Bowl Clemson Missouri ACC SEC 12/29/23 Sun Bowl Boston College USC ACC Pac-12 12/29/23 Liberty Bowl Kansas Florida Big 12 SEC 12/28/23 Pinstripe Bowl Wake Forest Rutgers ACC Big Ten 12/28/23 Pop-Tarts Bowl Miami (FL) Kansas State ACC Big 12 12/28/23 Fenway Bowl NC State Tulane ACC AAC 12/28/23 Alamo Bowl Texas Oregon State Big 12 Pac-12 12/27/23 Duke’s Mayo Bowl Syracuse Texas A&M ACC SEC 12/27/23 Military Bowl Virginia Tech SMU ACC AAC 12/27/23 Holiday Bowl Utah Duke Pac-12 ACC 12/27/23 Texas Bowl Oklahoma State Tennessee Big 12 SEC 12/26/23 Guaranteed Rate Bowl West Virginia Minnesota Big 12 Big Ten 12/26/23 Quick Lane Bowl Toledo Nebraska MAC Big Ten 12/26/23 First Responder Bowl TCU UTSA Big 12 AAC 12/23/23 Hawaii Bowl Wyoming Memphis Mountain West AAC 12/23/23 Armed Forces Bowl BYU Georgia State Big 12 Sun Belt 12/23/23 68 Ventures Bowl Western Kentucky Georgia Southern Conference USA Sun Belt 12/23/23 Birmingham Bowl Troy Auburn Sun Belt SEC 12/23/23 Las Vegas Bowl Wisconsin UCLA Big Ten Pac-12 12/23/23 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Ohio UNLV MAC Mountain West 12/23/23 Camellia Bowl New Mexico State South Alabama Conference USA Sun Belt 12/22/23 Gasparilla Bowl UCF Mississippi State Big 12 SEC 12/21/23 Boca Raton Bowl Bowling Green State Coastal Carolina MAC Sun Belt 12/19/23 Frisco Bowl USF Texas State AAC Sun Belt 12/18/23 Myrtle Beach Bowl Eastern Michigan Louisiana MAC Sun Belt 12/16/23 Independence Bowl Iowa State Arizona Big 12 Pac-12 12/16/23 New Orleans Bowl Liberty James Madison Conference USA Sun Belt 12/16/23 Celebration Bowl North Carolina Central Florida A&M MEAC SWAC 12/16/23 LA Bowl Fresno State Washington State Mountain West Pac-12 12/16/23 New Mexico Bowl Old Dominion Utah State Sun Belt Mountain West 12/16/23 Bahamas Bowl Jacksonville State Miami (OH) Conference USA MAC 12/16/23 Cure Bowl Rice Marshall AAC Sun Belt
Rank Team Movelor Conference Average Final CFP Ranking Make Playoff National Championship Expected Wins Bowl Eligibility Make Conference Championship Win Conference 2 Ohio State 44.9 Big Ten 3 78.7% 29.9% 11.7 100.0% 55.6% 50.1% 1 Michigan 45.0 Big Ten 4 65.9% 27.3% 11.3 100.0% 38.0% 35.0% 6 Florida State 36.3 ACC 4 65.0% 10.5% 12.2 100.0% 97.8% 72.2% 3 Penn State 41.8 Big Ten 7 33.6% 7.1% 10.3 100.0% 6.4% 5.6% 5 Georgia 38.9 SEC 8 34.0% 6.6% 11.5 100.0% 87.0% 44.1% 10 Oklahoma 34.2 Big 12 8 33.4% 4.5% 11.4 100.0% 83.9% 44.1% 4 Alabama 39.6 SEC 9 21.5% 4.5% 10.8 100.0% 81.9% 43.2% 12 Washington 33.1 Pac-12 9 24.1% 3.1% 10.9 100.0% 70.2% 34.8% 9 Oregon 34.3 Pac-12 12 15.5% 2.0% 10.1 100.0% 48.4% 27.5% 13 Notre Dame 32.8 FBS Independents 13 0.4% 0.1% 9.4 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15 Texas 31.5 Big 12 13 10.4% 1.3% 9.6 100.0% 34.9% 18.4% 16 Mississippi 29.6 SEC 13 3.5% 0.6% 9.4 100.0% 3.0% 1.3% 7 LSU 35.0 SEC 13 2.8% 0.7% 8.9 100.0% 14.6% 6.6% 14 Oregon State 31.8 Pac-12 14 5.9% 1.0% 9.7 100.0% 31.9% 16.8% 17 Utah 29.5 Pac-12 17 3.0% 0.5% 9.4 100.0% 25.8% 12.0% 11 Kansas State 33.6 Big 12 18 0.9% 0.3% 9.2 99.9% 49.9% 27.0% 8 Tennessee 34.8 SEC 19 0.1% 0.0% 9.0 100.0% 6.3% 3.0% 30 Air Force 22.6 Mountain West 21 0.1% 0.0% 11.7 100.0% 90.1% 56.8% 19 UCLA 27.4 Pac-12 24 0.1% 0.0% 8.9 100.0% 7.9% 3.0% 24 Louisville 24.2 ACC 24 0.6% 0.0% 9.6 100.0% 43.8% 12.1% 18 Texas A&M 29.4 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.3 97.1% 0.5% 0.2% 20 Iowa 25.2 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.1 100.0% 43.2% 4.5% 21 Clemson 24.8 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.2 92.7% 0.5% 0.1% 22 TCU 24.4 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 61.7% 0.1% 0.1% 23 USC 24.2 Pac-12 NR 0.1% 0.0% 7.8 100.0% 13.0% 4.8% 25 Missouri 24.1 SEC NR 0.1% 0.0% 8.5 100.0% 3.9% 1.0% 26 Wisconsin 23.3 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.1 99.3% 43.8% 3.9% 27 Duke 23.3 ACC NR 0.1% 0.0% 8.1 98.5% 21.6% 6.4% 28 North Carolina 23.3 ACC NR 0.2% 0.0% 9.5 100.0% 25.0% 7.3% 29 Oklahoma State 22.8 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.0 98.2% 18.1% 6.1% 31 Maryland 22.4 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.1 94.3% 0.0% 0.0% 32 Florida 22.3 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.5 81.0% 2.6% 0.6% 33 Iowa State 22.2 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.4 74.5% 9.4% 3.2% 34 Arizona 21.9 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.7 84.8% 2.8% 1.1% 35 Arkansas 21.8 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.6 16.7% 0.0% 0.0% 36 Texas Tech 21.6 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.9 28.7% 0.2% 0.1% 37 Fresno State 21.3 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.3 100.0% 50.9% 24.2% 38 Tulane 20.9 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.4 100.0% 67.4% 37.7% 39 James Madison 20.9 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 93.8% 0.0% 0.0% 40 Washington State 20.6 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.3 96.1% 0.0% 0.0% 41 SMU 20.1 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.3 99.9% 64.4% 33.6% 42 Kentucky 20.0 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.6 80.7% 0.2% 0.1% 43 West Virginia 19.8 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.5 78.4% 1.5% 0.5% 44 Auburn 19.7 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 62.0% 0.0% 0.0% 45 Troy 19.6 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.4 99.9% 55.6% 37.9% 46 Mississippi State 19.6 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.5 80.4% 0.0% 0.0% 47 Minnesota 19.5 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.4 76.8% 5.1% 0.5% 48 Miami (FL) 18.5 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.5 96.4% 1.3% 0.5% 49 South Carolina 18.5 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.8 26.8% 0.0% 0.0% 50 UCF 18.4 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.6 52.5% 0.0% 0.0% 51 Kansas 18.1 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.8 85.6% 0.8% 0.3% 52 Rutgers 17.8 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.8 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 53 BYU 17.4 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.4 76.9% 0.5% 0.1% 54 South Alabama 17.3 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.8 97.2% 35.3% 23.1% 55 Baylor 17.3 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.9 31.5% 0.7% 0.2% 56 Syracuse 17.2 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.1 89.0% 0.2% 0.0% 57 Purdue 16.9 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.4 16.2% 0.4% 0.0% 58 Memphis 16.5 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.9 99.9% 21.4% 9.8% 59 Nebraska 16.0 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.0 63.5% 7.1% 0.4% 60 Illinois 15.9 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.1 33.2% 0.2% 0.0% 61 UTSA 15.9 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.5 95.1% 39.7% 17.1% 62 Wake Forest 15.5 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.5 46.0% 0.0% 0.0% 63 Houston 15.4 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.9 29.3% 0.0% 0.0% 64 Michigan State 15.3 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.6 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 65 Pitt 15.1 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.6 3.4% 0.0% 0.0% 66 Georgia State 14.6 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.6 100.0% 46.5% 19.0% 67 Virginia Tech 14.3 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.4 46.5% 7.9% 1.2% 68 Wyoming 13.7 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.6 99.7% 24.5% 7.8% 69 NC State 13.5 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.9 58.1% 0.7% 0.1% 70 California 12.9 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 16.8% 0.0% 0.0% 71 Cincinnati 12.5 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.7 7.0% 0.0% 0.0% 72 Toledo 11.9 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.4 100.0% 86.3% 43.6% 73 Boise State 11.8 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.6 50.1% 9.1% 3.7% 74 Liberty 11.8 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 11.3 100.0% 96.4% 55.7% 75 Ohio 11.1 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.2 100.0% 50.8% 26.4% 76 San Jose State 10.9 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.4 45.2% 4.6% 1.3% 77 Western Kentucky 10.7 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.2 98.1% 69.7% 33.9% 78 Virginia 10.0 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.7 6.0% 0.5% 0.1% 79 UNLV 10.0 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.3 100.0% 19.7% 6.0% 80 Miami (OH) 9.9 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.9 100.0% 37.1% 18.8% 81 Coastal Carolina 9.2 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.6 78.7% 8.0% 2.6% 82 Boston College 9.1 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.1 69.0% 0.6% 0.1% 83 Georgia Southern 8.8 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.6 93.9% 22.9% 7.0% 84 Arizona State 8.6 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 1.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 85 Louisiana 8.5 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.8 90.4% 2.9% 1.3% 86 Northwestern 8.4 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.1 10.3% 0.2% 0.0% 87 Navy 8.3 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 42.6% 1.1% 0.3% 88 Jacksonville State 8.2 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.4 88.0% 0.0% 0.0% 89 North Texas 7.8 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.0 35.1% 0.6% 0.2% 90 Army 7.8 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 8.9% 0.0% 0.0% 91 Marshall 7.7 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.4 76.1% 3.7% 1.2% 92 Appalachian State 7.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.4 44.0% 3.7% 0.9% 93 Georgia Tech 7.3 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.0 6.8% 0.2% 0.0% 94 Utah State 7.1 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.5 52.4% 0.1% 0.0% 95 East Carolina 7.0 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.0 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 96 UAB 6.6 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.3 11.9% 0.0% 0.0% 97 Old Dominion 6.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.7 52.5% 15.2% 4.2% 98 Northern Illinois 6.1 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.7 85.7% 9.5% 3.8% 99 Indiana 5.5 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.9 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 100 Florida Atlantic 5.5 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 42.6% 3.6% 0.9% 101 Texas State 5.0 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.0 89.2% 6.1% 2.8% 102 Western Michigan 4.5 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.2 10.9% 0.2% 0.1% 103 USF 4.3 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.0 73.5% 0.4% 0.1% 104 Colorado 4.3 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.4 6.6% 0.0% 0.0% 105 Eastern Michigan 4.2 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.1 71.4% 3.0% 1.3% 106 New Mexico State 3.8 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.1 90.8% 28.3% 8.9% 107 San Diego State 3.8 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.4 13.8% 0.1% 0.0% 108 Vanderbilt 3.8 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 109 Buffalo 3.7 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 16.2% 9.7% 4.6% 110 Rice 3.5 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.6 52.5% 1.3% 0.3% 111 Colorado State 3.3 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.2 42.1% 0.5% 0.1% 112 Stanford 3.2 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 113 Bowling Green State 2.1 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.0 66.6% 2.4% 1.0% 114 Tulsa 2.1 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.6 18.1% 0.0% 0.0% 115 Ball State 1.0 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.8 5.5% 0.1% 0.0% 116 Middle Tennessee 0.8 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 16.2% 2.1% 0.6% 117 Central Michigan -0.8 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.1 32.6% 0.9% 0.3% 118 Louisiana Tech -1.3 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 14.1% 3.3% 0.9% 119 Nevada -1.6 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.1 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 120 Louisiana Monroe -2.0 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.4 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 121 UConn -2.1 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 122 Charlotte -2.7 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.5 5.4% 0.1% 0.0% 123 Arkansas State -3.9 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.3 12.6% 0.1% 0.0% 124 Southern Miss -4.9 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 1.9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 125 UTEP -5.4 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.1 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 126 Sam Houston -5.9 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 127 Hawaii -6.5 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.9 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 128 New Mexico -7.3 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.8 4.1% 0.0% 0.0% 129 Kent State -7.5 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 130 Akron -8.6 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 1.9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 131 Temple -12.0 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 132 FIU -12.6 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.4 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 133 UMass -15.8 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 1.9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rank Team Movelor Conference Projected Wins Conference Championship 1 South Dakota State 21.5 MVFC 10.4 82.1% 2 Montana State 17.2 Big Sky 9.3 75.5% 3 North Dakota State 13.5 MVFC 7.7 0.8% 4 Furman 7.8 Southern 9.5 73.8% 5 Incarnate Word 7.7 Southland 9.8 95.0% 6 Idaho 6.9 Big Sky 7.8 12.7% 7 Austin Peay 6.4 UAC 8.4 64.7% 8 Montana 6.3 Big Sky 8.7 10.9% 9 North Dakota 5.4 MVFC 7.1 0.9% 10 Southern Illinois 5.1 MVFC 7.8 0.2% 11 UC Davis 3.8 Big Sky 6.9 0.3% 12 Youngstown State 3.6 MVFC 6.7 0.6% 13 Sacramento State 3.3 Big Sky 7.6 0.3% 14 Northern Iowa 2.9 MVFC 6.4 3.0% 15 South Dakota 2.1 MVFC 7.9 12.2% 16 Chattanooga 1.2 Southern 7.3 17.9% 17 Delaware 1.1 CAA 8.8 57.5% 18 Illinois State 1.1 MVFC 6.3 0.1% 19 Central Arkansas 0.6 UAC 7.7 26.0% 20 New Hampshire 0.6 CAA 6.8 0.7% 21 Southeast Missouri State -0.6 Big South-OVC 5.9 51.2% 22 Holy Cross -0.6 Patriot 6.7 24.8% 23 Weber State -1.0 Big Sky 5.0 0.0% 24 Richmond -1.5 CAA 7.0 13.9% 25 Western Carolina -1.5 Southern 8.2 8.3% 26 Eastern Washington -3.0 Big Sky 5.1 0.1% 27 Villanova -3.3 CAA 7.3 6.9% 28 Missouri State -3.3 MVFC 4.2 0.0% 29 UT Martin -3.3 Big South-OVC 8.4 40.5% 30 Samford -3.3 Southern 6.0 0.0% 31 Abilene Christian -3.6 UAC 5.9 2.8% 32 Harvard -4.0 Ivy 7.6 32.2% 33 Southern Utah -4.1 UAC 4.7 0.0% 34 Stephen F. Austin -4.5 UAC 4.6 0.0% 35 William & Mary -4.5 CAA 6.4 0.9% 36 Albany -5.0 CAA 7.8 11.0% 37 Mercer -5.6 Southern 6.7 0.0% 38 Portland State -5.6 Big Sky 4.8 0.1% 39 Elon -5.7 CAA 5.5 8.2% 40 Yale -6.4 Ivy 5.5 5.8% 41 Northern Arizona -6.7 Big Sky 3.6 0.1% 42 Rhode Island -7.1 CAA 5.8 0.0% 43 North Carolina Central -7.8 MEAC 9.3 60.2% 44 Tarleton -7.9 UAC 6.0 0.0% 45 Monmouth -8.2 CAA 4.9 0.1% 46 Penn -8.3 Ivy 7.5 26.5% 47 Eastern Kentucky -8.6 UAC 4.5 6.4% 48 Lafayette -8.9 Patriot 9.0 60.5% 49 Fordham -8.9 Patriot 7.4 11.1% 50 Southeastern Louisiana -9.4 Southland 3.2 0.0% 51 Campbell -9.4 CAA 5.3 0.6% 52 Princeton -9.6 Ivy 5.0 14.4% 53 Nicholls -10.0 Southland 4.6 2.1% 54 Towson -10.0 CAA 4.8 0.2% 55 Gardner-Webb -10.8 Big South-OVC 5.4 3.4% 56 Dartmouth -10.8 Ivy 5.1 16.2% 57 Florida A&M -11.4 SWAC 10.0 60.5% 58 Jackson State -12.5 SWAC 7.6 2.1% 59 Idaho State -13.2 Big Sky 3.6 0.1% 60 Tennessee State -13.2 Big South-OVC 7.6 2.3% 61 Maine -13.4 CAA 3.3 0.0% 62 Howard -14.3 MEAC 5.6 29.5% 63 Bryant -14.7 Big South-OVC 4.8 1.7% 64 Kennesaw State -15.2 FCS Independents 3.2 0.0% 65 Utah Tech -15.5 UAC 2.9 0.2% 66 Columbia -15.6 Ivy 3.6 0.1% 67 Eastern Illinois -16.2 Big South-OVC 6.7 0.0% 68 East Tennessee State -16.3 Southern 3.7 0.0% 69 Brown -16.7 Ivy 4.4 0.8% 70 Merrimack -16.8 NEC 6.2 24.6% 71 St. Thomas -16.8 Pioneer 7.5 13.3% 72 Duquesne -17.0 NEC 6.8 68.2% 73 Davidson -17.2 Pioneer 8.4 68.5% 74 Saint Francis (PA) -17.2 NEC 4.0 4.1% 75 Southern -17.4 SWAC 7.0 21.0% 76 Charleston Southern -17.5 Big South-OVC 4.9 0.9% 77 North Alabama -17.7 UAC 3.2 0.0% 78 Butler -18.7 Pioneer 7.4 0.5% 79 Cornell -19.2 Ivy 4.2 4.2% 80 Indiana State -19.3 MVFC 0.9 0.0% 81 Cal Poly -19.4 Big Sky 3.3 0.0% 82 Lamar -19.5 Southland 5.6 2.9% 83 Alcorn State -19.9 SWAC 6.3 10.7% 84 Texas A&M-Commerce -20.0 Southland 3.0 0.0% 85 Murray State -20.1 MVFC 2.2 0.0% 86 Wofford -20.1 Southern 0.8 0.0% 87 Alabama A&M -20.5 SWAC 6.4 0.8% 88 Northern Colorado -20.5 Big Sky 0.4 0.0% 89 Colgate -20.8 Patriot 4.9 2.8% 90 Lindenwood -20.9 Big South-OVC 4.1 0.0% 91 VMI -21.0 Southern 3.6 0.0% 92 North Carolina A&T -21.3 CAA 2.2 0.0% 93 Morgan State -21.5 MEAC 3.0 1.5% 94 South Carolina State -21.5 MEAC 4.6 7.3% 95 Alabama State -22.6 SWAC 6.2 0.3% 96 Hampton -23.0 CAA 4.0 0.0% 97 Tennessee Tech -23.1 Big South-OVC 3.1 0.0% 98 Norfolk State -24.1 MEAC 3.8 1.4% 99 Grambling State -24.7 SWAC 5.2 2.3% 100 McNeese -24.7 Southland 1.8 0.0% 101 Lehigh -24.9 Patriot 2.6 0.1% 102 Texas Southern -25.4 SWAC 3.6 0.1% 103 LIU -25.4 NEC 3.0 0.5% 104 Stony Brook -25.9 CAA 0.3 0.0% 105 Drake -26.1 Pioneer 6.4 16.1% 106 Georgetown -26.3 Patriot 4.7 0.7% 107 Central Connecticut State -26.5 NEC 4.6 0.6% 108 Prairie View A&M -27.1 SWAC 4.6 2.2% 109 The Citadel -27.1 Southern 0.7 0.0% 110 Robert Morris -27.2 Big South-OVC 3.1 0.0% 111 Bethune-Cookman -27.5 SWAC 2.7 0.0% 112 Western Illinois -28.0 MVFC 0.3 0.0% 113 Stonehill -28.3 NEC 4.3 1.6% 114 San Diego -28.5 Pioneer 3.2 0.0% 115 Houston Christian -28.5 Southland 4.1 0.0% 116 Bucknell -28.6 Patriot 3.2 0.0% 117 Sacred Heart -28.8 NEC 1.8 0.0% 118 Marist -28.8 Pioneer 5.7 1.6% 119 Dayton -29.2 Pioneer 3.3 0.0% 120 Northwestern State -29.4 Southland 1.2 0.0% 121 Morehead State -31.7 Pioneer 4.4 0.0% 122 Delaware State -33.3 MEAC 1.7 0.1% 123 Stetson -34.9 Pioneer 4.2 0.0% 124 Valparaiso -35.3 Pioneer 2.2 0.0% 125 Mississippi Valley State -35.7 SWAC 1.7 0.0% 126 Wagner -36.4 NEC 3.3 0.4% 127 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -37.7 SWAC 1.7 0.0% 128 Presbyterian -38.9 Pioneer 3.9 0.0%
