Our bowl projections are live through Week 7’s games, and we’ve included them below, with our full ratings and probabilities through Week 7 also included below (for archival purposes). One important note: These are publishing late again this week, but they do not include results from any of the Tuesday night games. Apologies for the delay. Other notes:
Movelor is now so much higher on the Big Ten’s big three than the rest of the country that all are in the projected playoff. This is unlikely, but not impossible. There’s somewhere around a 5% chance, per our model’s simulations, of this happening. Why are we showing it? Because each of the three, individually, is playoff-likelier than anyone behind Michigan in probability. Rounding out the field is Florida State, who quietly put together a great game on Saturday to pull away from Oklahoma for a bit in average projected season result.
Florida State climbing into the playoff pulls UNC back into the Orange Bowl. Michigan climbing in pulls Iowa up into the Fiesta Bowl (and Wisconsin into the Citrus Bowl, and on down the line) and conspires with Oklahoma dropping out to push Texas down into the Alamo Bowl. Georgia drops out of the playoff but remains in the New Year’s Six. Iowa’s into the NY6, Texas is out, but again—this is based on a 1-in-20 scenario happening with the playoff. Texas is likelier to make the NY6 than Iowa. Bowl projections can be a little dumb.
We now are only four bowl-eligible teams short. The four we’re bumping in are, as has been the case, the ones closest to 50% bowl probability. This week, that’s San Diego State, Mississippi State, South Carolina, and Boise State.
Teams entering the bowl mix: Northern Illinois, Florida Atlantic, Illinois, Bowling Green, Virginia Tech.
Teams exiting the bowl mix: BYU, Boston College, UAB, Wake Forest, Cincinnati.
At 39th in Movelor’s rankings, South Carolina is the best team below 50% in bowl eligibility probability, followed by James Madison (43rd ) and Michigan State (47th ). At 115th , Bowling Green is the worst team above 50% in bowl eligibility probability, followed by Central Michigan (113th ) and New Mexico State (112th ).
Air Force remains the Group of Five representative in the NY6, which is beside this point. This point? They have the same Movelor rating as South Dakota State. In the right setting, the Jacks would be good enough to make a New Year’s Six bowl.
Date Bowl Team 1 Team 2 T1 Conference T2 Conference 1/1/24 Rose Bowl (CFP Semifinal) Ohio State Florida State Big Ten ACC 1/1/24 Sugar Bowl (CFP Semifinal) Penn State Michigan Big Ten Big Ten 1/1/24 Fiesta Bowl Iowa Air Force Big Ten Mountain West 1/1/24 ReliaQuest Bowl Mississippi Notre Dame SEC FBS Independents 1/1/24 Citrus Bowl Tennessee Wisconsin SEC Big Ten 12/30/23 Orange Bowl North Carolina Georgia ACC SEC 12/30/23 Peach Bowl Alabama Oregon SEC Pac-12 12/30/23 Music City Bowl Rutgers Kentucky Big Ten SEC 12/30/23 Arizona Bowl Eastern Michigan Utah State MAC Mountain West 12/29/23 Cotton Bowl Oklahoma Washington Big 12 Pac-12 12/29/23 Gator Bowl Duke LSU ACC SEC 12/29/23 Sun Bowl Clemson UCLA ACC Pac-12 12/29/23 Liberty Bowl Oklahoma State Texas A&M Big 12 SEC 12/28/23 Pinstripe Bowl NC State Illinois ACC Big Ten 12/28/23 Pop-Tarts Bowl Syracuse Kansas State ACC Big 12 12/28/23 Fenway Bowl Virginia Tech SMU ACC AAC 12/28/23 Alamo Bowl Texas Oregon State Big 12 Pac-12 12/27/23 Duke’s Mayo Bowl Miami (FL) Florida ACC SEC 12/27/23 Military Bowl South Carolina Memphis SEC AAC 12/27/23 Holiday Bowl Utah Louisville Pac-12 ACC 12/27/23 Texas Bowl West Virginia Missouri Big 12 SEC 12/26/23 Guaranteed Rate Bowl Kansas Nebraska Big 12 Big Ten 12/26/23 Quick Lane Bowl Ohio Mississippi State MAC SEC 12/26/23 First Responder Bowl Texas Tech Georgia Southern Big 12 Sun Belt 12/23/23 Hawaii Bowl Wyoming Tulane Mountain West AAC 12/23/23 Armed Forces Bowl TCU Texas State Big 12 AAC 12/23/23 68 Ventures Bowl UTSA Louisiana AAC Sun Belt 12/23/23 Birmingham Bowl Troy Auburn Sun Belt SEC 12/23/23 Las Vegas Bowl Maryland Washington State Big Ten Pac-12 12/23/23 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Toledo UNLV MAC Mountain West 12/23/23 Camellia Bowl Boise State Northern Illinois Mountain West MAC 12/22/23 Gasparilla Bowl South Alabama Arkansas Sun Belt SEC 12/21/23 Boca Raton Bowl Florida Atlantic Marshall AAC Sun Belt 12/19/23 Frisco Bowl Tulsa Central Michigan AAC MAC 12/18/23 Myrtle Beach Bowl Bowling Green State Coastal Carolina MAC Sun Belt 12/16/23 Independence Bowl Iowa State Arizona Big 12 Pac-12 12/16/23 New Orleans Bowl Western Kentucky Georgia State Conference USA Sun Belt 12/16/23 Celebration Bowl North Carolina Central Florida A&M MEAC SWAC 12/16/23 LA Bowl Fresno State USC Mountain West Pac-12 12/16/23 New Mexico Bowl New Mexico State San Diego State Conference USA Mountain West 12/16/23 Bahamas Bowl Liberty Miami (OH) Conference USA MAC 12/16/23 Cure Bowl USF Appalachian State AAC Sun Belt
Rank Team Movelor Conference Average Final CFP Ranking Make Playoff National Championship Expected Wins Bowl Eligibility Make Conference Championship Win Conference 1 Ohio State 43.4 Big Ten 5 56.7% 20.8% 11.1 100.0% 33.8% 29.6% 2 Penn State 43.3 Big Ten 5 56.8% 21.3% 11.1 100.0% 35.2% 30.8% 3 Michigan 42.6 Big Ten 5 50.4% 18.4% 11.0 100.0% 30.9% 26.9% 10 Florida State 35.0 ACC 6 51.2% 7.9% 11.8 100.0% 88.0% 59.6% 7 Oklahoma 36.4 Big 12 7 44.2% 7.6% 11.6 100.0% 87.5% 52.3% 4 Georgia 38.9 SEC 8 31.8% 6.3% 11.4 100.0% 79.0% 42.2% 9 Washington 35.4 Pac-12 8 34.3% 5.8% 11.2 100.0% 74.4% 39.8% 8 Oregon 35.6 Pac-12 11 18.5% 3.0% 10.2 100.0% 48.6% 27.2% 5 Alabama 37.7 SEC 12 12.2% 2.5% 10.3 100.0% 73.5% 36.3% 11 Texas 33.1 Big 12 13 12.5% 1.8% 9.7 99.9% 40.1% 20.6% 12 Notre Dame 32.8 FBS Independents 14 0.5% 0.1% 9.3 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 22 North Carolina 26.0 ACC 14 9.7% 0.8% 10.7 100.0% 52.0% 19.3% 14 Oregon State 31.8 Pac-12 15 5.7% 1.0% 9.6 100.0% 27.6% 14.2% 6 Tennessee 36.7 SEC 16 4.1% 1.1% 9.6 100.0% 16.3% 9.7% 18 Mississippi 28.6 SEC 17 2.5% 0.3% 9.1 100.0% 5.3% 1.9% 13 LSU 32.3 SEC 18 1.2% 0.3% 8.7 99.9% 19.2% 7.9% 19 Iowa 27.6 Big Ten 20 1.5% 0.3% 10.2 100.0% 77.4% 10.3% 16 Utah 29.6 Pac-12 20 2.9% 0.5% 8.9 99.9% 17.4% 8.5% 24 Duke 24.6 ACC 23 1.9% 0.2% 8.5 99.0% 21.7% 8.9% 29 Air Force 23.2 Mountain West 23 0.1% 0.0% 11.5 100.0% 89.7% 57.6% 20 Clemson 27.2 ACC 24 0.1% 0.0% 8.0 96.4% 4.2% 1.9% 25 Louisville 24.2 ACC 24 0.3% 0.1% 9.6 100.0% 26.8% 8.9% 15 Kansas State 30.9 Big 12 NR 0.1% 0.1% 8.5 98.7% 32.7% 14.4% 17 Texas A&M 29.4 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.4 97.4% 1.9% 0.6% 21 TCU 27.1 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.3 73.0% 2.9% 1.5% 23 UCLA 25.2 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.6 99.7% 6.2% 2.1% 26 USC 24.1 Pac-12 NR 0.7% 0.1% 8.2 100.0% 22.5% 7.3% 27 Texas Tech 24.1 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.7 58.0% 3.1% 1.2% 28 Arkansas 24.1 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.5 52.5% 0.0% 0.0% 30 Tulane 22.8 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.5 100.0% 72.7% 48.2% 31 Wisconsin 22.7 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.6 95.2% 16.1% 1.8% 32 Maryland 22.4 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.2 95.2% 0.0% 0.0% 33 Florida 22.3 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.6 82.4% 2.7% 0.8% 34 West Virginia 22.2 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.5 92.2% 11.1% 3.2% 35 Iowa State 22.2 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.4 76.2% 11.7% 3.7% 36 Arizona 21.9 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.8 87.1% 2.7% 0.9% 37 Missouri 21.8 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.9 100.0% 1.8% 0.5% 38 Fresno State 21.3 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.3 100.0% 48.8% 22.6% 39 South Carolina 20.8 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.4 46.9% 0.0% 0.0% 40 Auburn 20.6 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.3 75.0% 0.0% 0.0% 41 Oklahoma State 20.4 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.1 87.8% 8.7% 2.5% 42 Kentucky 20.0 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.6 81.7% 0.2% 0.0% 43 James Madison 19.7 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 44 Troy 19.6 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.5 99.8% 59.3% 39.8% 45 Washington State 19.3 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.3 95.2% 0.5% 0.1% 46 Kansas 18.1 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.7 83.9% 1.0% 0.3% 47 Michigan State 17.8 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.9 5.2% 0.0% 0.0% 48 SMU 17.5 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.0 99.6% 63.4% 28.1% 49 Mississippi State 17.3 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.5 47.2% 0.0% 0.0% 50 Nebraska 17.2 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.9 58.9% 3.8% 0.3% 51 Syracuse 17.2 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.1 88.7% 0.0% 0.0% 52 Minnesota 17.1 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.2 41.1% 1.1% 0.2% 53 Purdue 16.9 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 17.1% 0.1% 0.0% 54 Illinois 16.6 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.6 53.0% 1.3% 0.1% 55 Pitt 16.3 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.2 15.1% 0.3% 0.1% 56 UCF 16.2 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 43.8% 0.0% 0.0% 57 Miami (FL) 16.1 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.7 81.9% 0.3% 0.1% 58 Baylor 15.9 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.3 18.3% 0.5% 0.1% 59 Rutgers 15.8 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.3 80.2% 0.0% 0.0% 60 BYU 14.9 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.5 44.8% 0.2% 0.1% 61 South Alabama 14.8 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.4 92.2% 25.1% 15.2% 62 Virginia Tech 14.3 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.5 52.0% 4.8% 1.0% 63 Wake Forest 14.3 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.9 29.8% 0.0% 0.0% 64 Memphis 14.0 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.3 97.9% 16.1% 6.5% 65 Cincinnati 13.9 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.4 23.5% 0.0% 0.0% 66 Houston 13.8 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.9 32.0% 0.4% 0.1% 67 Wyoming 13.7 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.6 99.7% 24.4% 7.6% 68 Georgia State 13.6 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.0 96.4% 31.0% 13.4% 69 Liberty 13.5 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 11.3 100.0% 94.5% 52.8% 70 NC State 13.5 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 57.3% 0.3% 0.1% 71 UTSA 13.4 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.8 82.7% 26.1% 10.6% 72 California 12.9 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 17.9% 0.0% 0.0% 73 Ohio 12.7 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.0 99.7% 35.6% 21.7% 74 Western Kentucky 12.3 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.0 98.9% 84.3% 41.6% 75 Boise State 11.8 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.5 46.3% 8.6% 3.3% 76 Miami (OH) 11.8 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.8 100.0% 59.4% 34.4% 77 UNLV 11.7 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.3 99.2% 21.7% 7.3% 78 Army 10.5 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.6 13.7% 0.0% 0.0% 79 Georgia Southern 10.2 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.6 92.7% 26.2% 9.4% 80 Toledo 10.0 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.4 100.0% 57.1% 25.6% 81 Georgia Tech 9.8 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.9 28.2% 1.4% 0.2% 82 Coastal Carolina 9.7 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.4 72.0% 8.6% 3.0% 83 East Carolina 9.6 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.1 14.5% 1.0% 0.4% 84 Utah State 9.5 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.2 71.7% 2.1% 0.5% 85 Louisiana 9.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.4 93.8% 9.2% 4.9% 86 Appalachian State 9.3 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.1 65.6% 15.3% 5.2% 87 UAB 9.1 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.0 34.3% 1.3% 0.3% 88 Marshall 8.9 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.8 81.8% 10.5% 4.2% 89 San Jose State 8.6 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 22.2% 1.9% 0.6% 90 Florida Atlantic 8.0 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.0 60.9% 14.1% 4.4% 91 Navy 7.8 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 42.9% 1.6% 0.4% 92 Indiana 7.5 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.4 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 93 Virginia 7.2 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.5 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 94 Northwestern 7.2 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.2 12.1% 0.2% 0.0% 95 Jacksonville State 6.5 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 96 Boston College 6.5 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.2 39.6% 0.1% 0.0% 97 San Diego State 6.3 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.5 47.8% 1.4% 0.3% 98 Arizona State 6.3 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 1.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99 North Texas 6.0 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.0 33.6% 1.0% 0.3% 100 Eastern Michigan 5.7 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.8 84.9% 16.2% 6.5% 101 Stanford 5.4 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.8 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 102 Tulsa 5.1 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.6 53.6% 1.4% 0.5% 103 Texas State 5.0 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.0 89.4% 5.8% 2.5% 104 Northern Illinois 4.6 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.1 68.0% 19.3% 6.8% 105 Old Dominion 4.5 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.9 29.7% 8.4% 2.2% 106 Colorado 4.3 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.4 7.3% 0.0% 0.0% 107 Vanderbilt 3.8 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 108 USF 3.7 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.6 53.8% 0.8% 0.2% 109 Western Michigan 2.9 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.2 14.0% 1.6% 0.6% 110 Buffalo 1.6 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.8 8.2% 4.1% 1.9% 111 Colorado State 1.5 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.2 39.1% 1.3% 0.2% 112 New Mexico State 1.4 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.4 73.7% 13.4% 3.6% 113 Central Michigan 0.8 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.9 57.6% 5.8% 2.2% 114 Rice 0.5 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.7 23.8% 0.6% 0.1% 115 Bowling Green State -0.1 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.6 52.2% 0.8% 0.4% 116 Ball State -0.5 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.2 3.4% 0.1% 0.1% 117 Middle Tennessee -0.9 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 17.4% 3.3% 0.7% 118 Louisiana Tech -1.3 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 14.9% 2.5% 0.7% 119 UConn -1.5 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.5 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 120 Southern Miss -2.3 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.2 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 121 UTEP -3.0 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.7 7.5% 2.0% 0.6% 122 Sam Houston -3.3 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 123 Louisiana Monroe -3.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.4 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 124 Hawaii -3.9 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.9 10.1% 0.1% 0.0% 125 Nevada -4.2 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.1 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 126 Arkansas State -4.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 18.7% 0.6% 0.2% 127 Kent State -5.3 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.9 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 128 Charlotte -5.3 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.4 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 129 Akron -6.4 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.2 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 130 Temple -9.4 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.6 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 131 New Mexico -9.9 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.0 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 132 FIU -15.2 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.5 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 133 UMass -15.8 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rank Team Movelor Conference Projected Wins Conference Championship 1 South Dakota State 23.2 MVFC 10.3 73.9% 2 Montana State 16.0 Big Sky 8.9 61.9% 3 North Dakota State 12.7 MVFC 7.7 0.5% 4 Incarnate Word 10.0 Southland 9.9 96.7% 5 North Dakota 8.3 MVFC 7.9 8.8% 6 Austin Peay 7.8 UAC 8.2 58.5% 7 Idaho 6.9 Big Sky 7.8 15.4% 8 Montana 6.3 Big Sky 8.6 12.6% 9 Furman 5.9 Southern 9.0 49.2% 10 Youngstown State 4.8 MVFC 6.4 0.3% 11 Sacramento State 4.6 Big Sky 8.0 5.6% 12 UC Davis 3.8 Big Sky 6.8 0.8% 13 South Dakota 3.7 MVFC 7.9 12.3% 14 Southern Illinois 3.4 MVFC 7.8 2.0% 15 Holy Cross 2.0 Patriot 7.7 77.1% 16 Weber State 1.1 Big Sky 5.7 0.0% 17 Central Arkansas 0.6 UAC 7.7 28.0% 18 Western Carolina 0.4 Southern 8.8 38.7% 19 Northern Iowa 0.0 MVFC 5.5 1.0% 20 Illinois State 0.0 MVFC 6.5 1.1% 21 Chattanooga -0.8 Southern 7.2 11.9% 22 Missouri State -1.1 MVFC 4.4 0.1% 23 New Hampshire -1.3 CAA 6.5 0.9% 24 Delaware -1.4 CAA 8.5 44.8% 25 Harvard -1.7 Ivy 8.5 55.3% 26 William & Mary -1.8 CAA 7.6 14.2% 27 Samford -2.2 Southern 5.9 0.0% 28 Stephen F. Austin -2.2 UAC 5.5 0.1% 29 Southeast Missouri State -2.3 Big South-OVC 5.7 44.0% 30 Portland State -2.7 Big Sky 5.9 3.5% 31 Villanova -3.3 CAA 7.5 9.7% 32 Richmond -3.3 CAA 6.5 10.8% 33 UT Martin -3.9 Big South-OVC 8.3 39.9% 34 Yale -3.9 Ivy 6.4 20.4% 35 Mercer -4.2 Southern 6.7 0.1% 36 Elon -4.4 CAA 5.4 9.9% 37 Rhode Island -4.5 CAA 6.5 0.6% 38 Eastern Washington -5.1 Big Sky 4.4 0.1% 39 Southern Utah -5.5 UAC 4.8 2.1% 40 Abilene Christian -5.9 UAC 5.2 1.6% 41 North Carolina Central -6.3 MEAC 9.2 56.1% 42 Northern Arizona -6.7 Big Sky 3.6 0.1% 43 Eastern Kentucky -7.0 UAC 5.1 8.4% 44 Albany -7.6 CAA 7.0 6.7% 45 Campbell -8.6 CAA 5.1 0.6% 46 Fordham -8.9 Patriot 7.5 7.3% 47 Monmouth -9.5 CAA 5.1 1.7% 48 Southeastern Louisiana -10.1 Southland 3.0 0.0% 49 Tarleton -10.2 UAC 5.8 0.0% 50 Florida A&M -10.6 SWAC 9.8 60.5% 51 Penn -10.8 Ivy 6.6 6.5% 52 Jackson State -10.8 SWAC 7.6 4.2% 53 Lafayette -11.4 Patriot 8.0 12.6% 54 Princeton -11.9 Ivy 4.2 5.9% 55 Nicholls -12.3 Southland 4.0 0.9% 56 Gardner-Webb -12.3 Big South-OVC 4.6 3.6% 57 Dartmouth -12.5 Ivy 4.6 6.1% 58 Howard -12.5 MEAC 5.6 32.0% 59 Towson -12.7 CAA 3.7 0.1% 60 Columbia -14.0 Ivy 4.1 0.9% 61 Brown -14.0 Ivy 5.3 4.1% 62 East Tennessee State -14.2 Southern 3.9 0.0% 63 Maine -14.3 CAA 3.6 0.0% 64 Utah Tech -14.4 UAC 3.6 1.4% 65 Bryant -15.2 Big South-OVC 5.2 6.0% 66 Kennesaw State -15.2 FCS Independents 3.1 0.0% 67 Tennessee State -15.6 Big South-OVC 7.3 2.0% 68 Eastern Illinois -15.8 Big South-OVC 6.4 0.1% 69 Idaho State -16.1 Big Sky 2.6 0.0% 70 Saint Francis (PA) -16.3 NEC 4.6 24.1% 71 Davidson -16.7 Pioneer 8.2 70.8% 72 Charleston Southern -16.9 Big South-OVC 5.2 4.0% 73 Texas A&M-Commerce -17.6 Southland 3.7 0.4% 74 Duquesne -17.8 NEC 6.3 50.4% 75 Southern -18.2 SWAC 6.7 19.4% 76 North Alabama -18.9 UAC 2.6 0.0% 77 Northern Colorado -18.9 Big Sky 1.0 0.0% 78 St. Thomas -19.2 Pioneer 7.1 14.1% 79 Lamar -19.5 Southland 5.6 2.0% 80 North Carolina A&T -19.5 CAA 2.5 0.0% 81 Merrimack -19.7 NEC 5.5 13.8% 82 Alabama A&M -20.5 SWAC 6.4 1.2% 83 Hampton -20.5 CAA 4.2 0.0% 84 Lindenwood -20.9 Big South-OVC 4.2 0.0% 85 Indiana State -20.9 MVFC 0.9 0.0% 86 Cal Poly -21.1 Big Sky 2.8 0.0% 87 Butler -21.3 Pioneer 6.8 0.9% 88 Tennessee Tech -21.4 Big South-OVC 3.5 0.4% 89 Wofford -21.5 Southern 0.8 0.0% 90 Cornell -21.9 Ivy 3.5 0.9% 91 Alcorn State -22.0 SWAC 5.9 8.3% 92 VMI -22.1 Southern 3.6 0.0% 93 Murray State -22.3 MVFC 2.2 0.0% 94 LIU -22.5 NEC 3.7 7.4% 95 Alabama State -22.6 SWAC 6.2 0.6% 96 Colgate -22.9 Patriot 4.2 0.3% 97 Morgan State -23.0 MEAC 3.1 4.5% 98 South Carolina State -24.0 MEAC 4.0 3.9% 99 Stony Brook -24.1 CAA 0.5 0.0% 100 Georgetown -24.2 Patriot 5.3 2.7% 101 Grambling State -24.7 SWAC 5.1 2.5% 102 Norfolk State -25.9 MEAC 3.8 2.5% 103 Texas Southern -26.3 SWAC 3.8 0.4% 104 Bucknell -26.4 Patriot 4.1 0.0% 105 San Diego -26.5 Pioneer 4.0 0.7% 106 Dayton -26.6 Pioneer 4.0 0.0% 107 Bethune-Cookman -26.7 SWAC 3.0 0.0% 108 McNeese -27.0 Southland 1.6 0.0% 109 Lehigh -27.1 Patriot 2.0 0.0% 110 Prairie View A&M -27.1 SWAC 4.6 2.8% 111 The Citadel -27.1 Southern 0.7 0.0% 112 Western Illinois -27.2 MVFC 0.4 0.0% 113 Robert Morris -27.2 Big South-OVC 3.1 0.0% 114 Stonehill -27.8 NEC 3.9 1.3% 115 Drake -28.1 Pioneer 5.6 10.7% 116 Houston Christian -28.5 Southland 4.1 0.0% 117 Central Connecticut State -28.5 NEC 4.0 0.5% 118 Northwestern State -28.7 Southland 1.4 0.0% 119 Sacred Heart -29.3 NEC 2.3 0.0% 120 Morehead State -29.4 Pioneer 4.7 0.5% 121 Marist -30.3 Pioneer 5.1 2.1% 122 Delaware State -30.8 MEAC 2.3 1.1% 123 Stetson -32.5 Pioneer 4.7 0.3% 124 Wagner -34.4 NEC 3.8 2.5% 125 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -35.6 SWAC 2.1 0.0% 126 Valparaiso -35.8 Pioneer 2.1 0.0% 127 Mississippi Valley State -37.4 SWAC 1.7 0.0% 128 Presbyterian -37.5 Pioneer 4.3 0.1%
