Our bowl projections are live through Week 6’s games, and we’ve included them below, with our full ratings and probabilities through Week 6 also included below (for archival purposes). One important note: These are publishing late this week, but they do not include results from any of the Tuesday night games. Apologies for the delay. Observations on the bowl front:
We’re in another 5–teams–for–4–spots situation with the playoff, where the team with the fourth-highest average ranking in our model ’s simulations is not the fourth-likeliest playoff team. We’re giving Oklahoma the nod over Michigan this week based on playoff probability, but this is an arbitrary decision. It is likelier that Oklahoma makes the playoff than it is that Michigan makes it; Michigan’s median season is better than Oklahoma’s; both of those are so close in our model as to be completely meaningless.
With Florida State dropping out of the playoff, the ripple effect pushes UNC out of the Orange Bowl, but UNC played well enough last week that their average final ranking puts them in our New Year’s Six anyway. Air Force slides into the Group of Five spot vacated by Fresno State, and some shuffling ensues, but overall, eleven of the twelve New Year’s Six teams remain the same this week.
We’re down to being six bowl-eligible teams short, and that’d be five were we to account for Coastal Carolina’s upset of Appalachian State last night. Since we didn’t consider that, though, the six we let in because they’re closest to 50% bowl probability: Arkansas, Mississippi State, Coastal Carolina, Cincinnati, San Diego State, Boston College.
Teams entering the bowl mix: UAB, Nebraska, Iowa State, San Diego State, Boston College.
Teams exiting the bowl mix: UCF, Army, Minnesota, Louisiana Tech, Rice.
At 43rd in Movelor, Michigan State remains the best team projected to miss a bowl. At 114th , New Mexico State remains the worst team projected to make one.
Date Bowl Team 1 Team 2 T1 Conference T2 Conference 1/1/24 Rose Bowl (CFP Semifinal) Penn State Georgia Big Ten SEC 1/1/24 Sugar Bowl (CFP Semifinal) Ohio State Oklahoma Big Ten Big 12 1/1/24 Fiesta Bowl Oregon Alabama Pac-12 SEC 1/1/24 ReliaQuest Bowl Mississippi Notre Dame SEC FBS Independents 1/1/24 Citrus Bowl Tennessee Iowa SEC Big Ten 12/30/23 Orange Bowl Florida State Michigan ACC Big Ten 12/30/23 Peach Bowl North Carolina Air Force ACC Mountain West 12/30/23 Music City Bowl Maryland Texas A&M Big Ten SEC 12/30/23 Arizona Bowl Eastern Michigan Utah State MAC Mountain West 12/29/23 Cotton Bowl Texas Washington Big 12 Pac-12 12/29/23 Gator Bowl Miami (FL) Auburn ACC SEC 12/29/23 Sun Bowl Clemson USC ACC Pac-12 12/29/23 Liberty Bowl Texas Tech Missouri Big 12 SEC 12/28/23 Pinstripe Bowl NC State Nebraska ACC Big Ten 12/28/23 Pop-Tarts Bowl Syracuse Kansas State ACC Big 12 12/28/23 Fenway Bowl Boston College SMU ACC AAC 12/28/23 Alamo Bowl West Virginia Utah Big 12 Pac-12 12/27/23 Duke’s Mayo Bowl Duke LSU ACC SEC 12/27/23 Military Bowl Wake Forest Memphis ACC AAC 12/27/23 Holiday Bowl Oregon State Louisville Pac-12 ACC 12/27/23 Texas Bowl Kansas Kentucky Big 12 SEC 12/26/23 Guaranteed Rate Bowl Oklahoma State Rutgers Big 12 Big Ten 12/26/23 Quick Lane Bowl Ohio Cincinnati MAC AAC 12/26/23 First Responder Bowl Iowa State Arkansas Big 12 SEC 12/23/23 Hawaii Bowl Wyoming Tulane Mountain West AAC 12/23/23 Armed Forces Bowl TCU Mississippi State Big 12 SEC 12/23/23 68 Ventures Bowl USF South Alabama AAC Sun Belt 12/23/23 Birmingham Bowl Troy South Carolina Sun Belt SEC 12/23/23 Las Vegas Bowl Wisconsin UCLA Big Ten Pac-12 12/23/23 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Miami (OH) UNLV MAC Mountain West 12/23/23 Camellia Bowl UAB Texas State AAC Sun Belt 12/22/23 Gasparilla Bowl Marshall Florida Sun Belt SEC 12/21/23 Boca Raton Bowl Tulsa Coastal Carolina AAC Sun Belt 12/19/23 Frisco Bowl UTSA Georgia State AAC Sun Belt 12/18/23 Myrtle Beach Bowl Central Michigan Appalachian State MAC Sun Belt 12/16/23 Independence Bowl BYU Arizona Big 12 Pac-12 12/16/23 New Orleans Bowl Western Kentucky Georgia Southern Conference USA Sun Belt 12/16/23 Celebration Bowl North Carolina Central Florida A&M MEAC SWAC 12/16/23 LA Bowl Fresno State Washington State Mountain West Pac-12 12/16/23 New Mexico Bowl New Mexico State San Diego State Conference USA Mountain West 12/16/23 Bahamas Bowl Liberty Toledo Conference USA MAC 12/16/23 Cure Bowl Boise State Louisiana Mountain West Sun Belt
Rank Team Movelor Conference Average Final CFP Ranking Make Playoff National Championship Expected Wins Bowl Eligibility Make Conference Championship Win Conference 1 Penn State 42.3 Big Ten 5 52.6% 18.2% 11.1 100.0% 37.1% 31.8% 2 Ohio State 41.3 Big Ten 6 45.1% 16.9% 10.8 100.0% 32.0% 27.8% 3 Georgia 41.1 SEC 7 43.4% 11.1% 11.6 100.0% 84.1% 46.9% 4 Michigan 40.8 Big Ten 7 42.0% 15.0% 10.8 100.0% 29.6% 25.4% 8 Oklahoma 36.4 Big 12 7 44.2% 8.3% 11.6 100.0% 84.2% 51.9% 11 Florida State 32.6 ACC 9 34.3% 5.5% 11.4 100.0% 74.0% 44.7% 7 Oregon 36.6 Pac-12 9 35.3% 7.6% 10.8 100.0% 62.8% 38.1% 9 Washington 34.3 Pac-12 11 24.9% 4.8% 10.4 100.0% 52.7% 28.6% 5 Alabama 39.8 SEC 11 16.5% 3.7% 10.3 100.0% 76.7% 37.1% 10 Texas 33.1 Big 12 13 12.8% 2.0% 9.8 99.9% 38.2% 19.6% 19 North Carolina 27.4 ACC 14 12.9% 1.6% 10.7 100.0% 42.9% 20.5% 21 Louisville 26.9 ACC 15 13.4% 1.4% 10.9 100.0% 63.6% 26.7% 6 Tennessee 38.1 SEC 17 4.2% 1.2% 9.4 100.0% 12.8% 7.7% 13 Oregon State 30.3 Pac-12 17 4.1% 0.8% 9.1 99.9% 18.7% 9.4% 12 Notre Dame 30.4 FBS Independents 17 0.2% 0.0% 8.9 99.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16 Mississippi 28.6 SEC 18 2.1% 0.3% 9.0 100.0% 5.3% 1.8% 23 USC 26.5 Pac-12 23 3.8% 0.4% 8.8 100.0% 29.7% 10.0% 15 Utah 28.8 Pac-12 23 1.9% 0.3% 8.7 99.4% 13.2% 6.0% 27 Air Force 24.8 Mountain West 23 0.2% 0.0% 11.5 100.0% 84.9% 57.0% 14 LSU 30.0 SEC 23 0.4% 0.1% 8.2 98.4% 13.8% 4.4% 22 UCLA 26.7 Pac-12 24 1.8% 0.2% 9.0 99.7% 16.7% 5.8% 20 Clemson 27.2 ACC 24 0.1% 0.0% 8.0 96.1% 2.7% 1.4% 17 Kansas State 28.6 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.7 93.0% 16.1% 7.3% 18 Texas A&M 28.0 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.5 96.3% 3.6% 1.2% 24 Texas Tech 26.4 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.5 75.1% 13.6% 5.5% 25 Iowa 25.5 Big Ten NR 0.6% 0.2% 9.4 99.8% 44.4% 6.8% 26 Maryland 24.9 Big Ten NR 0.5% 0.1% 8.4 99.3% 1.2% 0.8% 28 Wisconsin 24.8 Big Ten NR 0.4% 0.1% 8.6 98.1% 49.8% 6.9% 29 TCU 24.6 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 56.0% 1.2% 0.6% 30 West Virginia 24.4 Big 12 NR 0.8% 0.1% 8.5 97.1% 31.8% 10.4% 31 Auburn 23.0 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.9 86.2% 0.7% 0.1% 32 Duke 22.7 ACC NR 1.0% 0.1% 7.9 95.0% 11.7% 5.2% 33 Kentucky 22.7 SEC NR 0.1% 0.0% 7.3 92.8% 1.1% 0.3% 34 Fresno State 22.6 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.2 100.0% 42.8% 19.8% 35 South Carolina 22.6 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.3 70.9% 0.5% 0.1% 36 Washington State 22.4 Pac-12 NR 0.4% 0.1% 8.2 98.3% 5.3% 1.8% 37 Arkansas 22.0 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.4 48.5% 0.0% 0.0% 38 Tulane 21.0 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.8 99.8% 57.4% 37.4% 39 Florida 20.4 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.0 60.5% 1.1% 0.2% 40 Iowa State 19.8 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.6 51.3% 4.8% 1.5% 41 Kansas 19.6 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.3 90.3% 3.7% 1.3% 42 Syracuse 19.5 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.6 94.0% 0.5% 0.2% 43 Michigan State 19.3 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.6 24.0% 0.0% 0.0% 44 Missouri 19.2 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.9 87.4% 0.5% 0.1% 45 Purdue 19.0 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.7 26.2% 0.5% 0.1% 46 Oklahoma State 18.9 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.4 70.3% 4.0% 1.2% 47 Arizona 18.8 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 57.1% 0.9% 0.3% 48 James Madison 17.3 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 49 BYU 17.3 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.0 60.9% 0.8% 0.3% 50 Mississippi State 17.3 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.5 45.3% 0.0% 0.0% 51 Nebraska 17.2 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.7 54.1% 3.6% 0.3% 52 Troy 17.2 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.6 98.1% 50.6% 29.2% 53 Minnesota 17.1 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.2 40.0% 1.3% 0.2% 54 Wake Forest 16.7 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 57.4% 0.2% 0.1% 55 Cincinnati 16.3 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 44.3% 0.9% 0.2% 56 UCF 16.2 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 41.7% 0.0% 0.0% 57 Baylor 15.9 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.3 19.0% 0.6% 0.1% 58 Memphis 15.8 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.0 98.5% 38.7% 19.9% 59 NC State 15.4 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.3 69.3% 1.2% 0.4% 60 Ohio 15.3 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.1 99.9% 62.8% 39.9% 61 SMU 15.0 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.2 95.4% 42.1% 19.2% 62 Miami (FL) 14.8 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.6 77.6% 0.6% 0.2% 63 South Alabama 14.8 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.3 91.4% 27.1% 14.8% 64 Rutgers 14.3 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.6 50.5% 0.0% 0.0% 65 Illinois 14.1 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.4 19.5% 0.4% 0.0% 66 Boise State 14.1 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.6 78.3% 26.5% 9.8% 67 California 13.7 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.6 20.4% 0.1% 0.0% 68 Pitt 13.6 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.2 4.9% 0.1% 0.1% 69 Army 12.8 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 41.3% 0.0% 0.0% 70 Georgia Southern 12.5 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.2 95.4% 30.0% 14.3% 71 Western Kentucky 12.3 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.0 98.9% 86.8% 49.0% 72 Wyoming 12.1 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.6 99.4% 23.3% 7.2% 73 East Carolina 12.1 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.1 40.3% 8.5% 4.1% 74 Virginia Tech 11.9 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 25.0% 1.5% 0.4% 75 Houston 11.6 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.0 14.4% 0.1% 0.0% 76 Georgia State 11.5 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.2 85.3% 13.2% 6.2% 77 UAB 11.5 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 57.6% 11.9% 4.6% 78 Appalachian State 11.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.1 82.3% 29.2% 13.6% 79 Liberty 11.1 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.5 100.0% 82.8% 42.4% 80 UTSA 11.0 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.1 63.3% 20.6% 8.2% 81 Marshall 11.0 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.6 89.5% 20.0% 9.6% 82 Toledo 10.6 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.2 99.2% 58.9% 25.2% 83 UNLV 10.0 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.9 95.8% 13.1% 4.3% 84 Georgia Tech 9.8 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.8 25.1% 0.9% 0.1% 85 Miami (OH) 9.8 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.8 99.3% 25.4% 14.4% 86 Louisiana 9.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.5 94.7% 11.8% 5.2% 87 Indiana 9.3 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.5 6.5% 0.0% 0.0% 88 Jacksonville State 8.9 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 89 Utah State 8.1 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.2 68.5% 6.0% 1.4% 90 Coastal Carolina 7.6 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 44.5% 2.4% 1.1% 91 Virginia 7.2 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.6 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 92 Northwestern 7.2 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.1 11.0% 0.1% 0.0% 93 Texas State 6.9 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.1 88.3% 9.8% 4.2% 94 USF 6.8 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.5 77.3% 8.8% 2.7% 95 Boston College 6.5 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 43.0% 0.1% 0.0% 96 San Diego State 6.4 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.2 43.2% 1.1% 0.2% 97 San Jose State 6.3 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.1 15.1% 1.0% 0.2% 98 Arizona State 6.3 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 1.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 99 Colorado 6.2 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.2 34.5% 0.0% 0.0% 100 Navy 6.1 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.7 26.4% 1.2% 0.4% 101 Tulsa 5.1 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.7 55.3% 2.0% 0.6% 102 Eastern Michigan 5.0 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.5 76.6% 16.3% 5.9% 103 Florida Atlantic 4.9 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.9 33.6% 7.0% 2.4% 104 Western Michigan 4.9 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.0 35.4% 7.8% 3.3% 105 Old Dominion 4.5 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.0 32.3% 5.2% 1.7% 106 Buffalo 4.1 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.9 30.7% 11.4% 5.4% 107 North Texas 3.8 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.6 24.3% 0.8% 0.3% 108 Stanford 3.4 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.0 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 109 Central Michigan 2.1 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 57.2% 7.2% 2.4% 110 Northern Illinois 2.1 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.9 35.1% 8.1% 3.0% 111 Vanderbilt 1.6 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 112 Rice 0.5 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.9 29.8% 1.0% 0.2% 113 Louisiana Tech 0.5 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.2 38.4% 14.0% 3.8% 114 New Mexico State -0.5 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.7 54.3% 10.5% 3.1% 115 Colorado State -0.7 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.1 15.7% 0.4% 0.1% 116 Ball State -1.2 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.6 9.6% 1.6% 0.5% 117 Sam Houston -1.4 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 118 UConn -1.5 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.4 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 119 Southern Miss -2.3 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.3 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 120 Nevada -2.4 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.6 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 121 Bowling Green State -2.7 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 23.1% 0.1% 0.1% 122 Middle Tennessee -2.7 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.9 10.5% 3.5% 1.0% 123 Charlotte -3.7 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.8 3.8% 0.2% 0.1% 124 Hawaii -3.9 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.2 17.7% 0.3% 0.0% 125 Arkansas State -4.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 18.8% 0.6% 0.1% 126 Kent State -4.6 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.3 6.5% 0.2% 0.1% 127 UTEP -4.6 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.3 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 128 Louisiana Monroe -5.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.4 3.9% 0.1% 0.0% 129 Temple -7.2 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.9 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 130 New Mexico -7.6 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.5 6.1% 0.1% 0.0% 131 Akron -7.7 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.3 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 132 FIU -13.5 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.9 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 133 UMass -14.7 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rank Team Movelor Conference Projected Wins Conference Championship 1 South Dakota State 21.2 MVFC 10.0 64.4% 2 Montana State 16.6 Big Sky 8.9 52.0% 3 North Dakota State 15.6 MVFC 8.5 10.5% 4 Incarnate Word 12.2 Southland 9.9 96.8% 5 Idaho 8.9 Big Sky 8.6 35.3% 6 Sacramento State 6.6 Big Sky 8.2 5.2% 7 Austin Peay 6.2 UAC 7.9 52.3% 8 Youngstown State 6.2 MVFC 7.2 6.1% 9 North Dakota 5.4 MVFC 7.0 3.3% 10 Furman 4.7 Southern 8.5 39.6% 11 Southern Illinois 4.6 MVFC 7.9 2.6% 12 Montana 4.3 Big Sky 7.7 4.2% 13 Weber State 2.6 Big Sky 6.3 0.4% 14 UC Davis 2.3 Big Sky 6.1 0.2% 15 South Dakota 2.3 MVFC 7.3 8.3% 16 Northern Iowa 2.0 MVFC 5.9 3.9% 17 Holy Cross 2.0 Patriot 7.7 78.6% 18 Central Arkansas 1.9 UAC 7.5 33.9% 19 Western Carolina 0.4 Southern 8.8 45.7% 20 Delaware 0.3 CAA 8.5 39.2% 21 Southeast Missouri State -0.4 Big South-OVC 5.8 47.2% 22 Samford -1.0 Southern 6.4 0.7% 23 William & Mary -1.8 CAA 7.6 8.8% 24 Mercer -1.8 Southern 7.4 7.3% 25 Elon -1.9 CAA 6.1 23.5% 26 Illinois State -2.2 MVFC 6.3 1.1% 27 Rhode Island -2.2 CAA 7.4 6.8% 28 Eastern Washington -2.8 Big Sky 5.4 1.1% 29 Yale -3.1 Ivy 6.5 24.0% 30 Chattanooga -3.2 Southern 6.5 6.7% 31 Stephen F. Austin -3.5 UAC 5.7 0.2% 32 Missouri State -3.5 MVFC 4.1 0.0% 33 New Hampshire -3.7 CAA 5.9 0.4% 34 UT Martin -3.9 Big South-OVC 8.2 37.2% 35 Northern Arizona -4.0 Big Sky 4.4 1.0% 36 Harvard -4.4 Ivy 7.8 40.5% 37 Albany -5.2 CAA 7.6 14.2% 38 Portland State -5.5 Big Sky 5.1 0.7% 39 Richmond -5.5 CAA 5.6 2.8% 40 Southern Utah -5.5 UAC 4.9 2.4% 41 Villanova -5.8 CAA 6.8 3.4% 42 North Carolina Central -6.3 MEAC 9.1 49.9% 43 Eastern Kentucky -6.9 UAC 4.8 7.6% 44 Abilene Christian -7.0 UAC 5.0 1.4% 45 Southeastern Louisiana -7.3 Southland 4.1 0.0% 46 Jackson State -8.1 SWAC East 8.8 19.7% 47 Campbell -8.6 CAA 5.1 0.3% 48 Howard -9.8 MEAC 6.1 38.9% 49 Dartmouth -10.1 Ivy 5.6 9.3% 50 Tarleton -10.3 UAC 6.2 0.6% 51 Florida A&M -10.6 SWAC East 9.7 49.7% 52 Fordham -10.8 Patriot 7.1 6.2% 53 Princeton -10.8 Ivy 4.9 15.0% 54 Gardner-Webb -10.8 Big South-OVC 5.0 4.7% 55 Lafayette -11.4 Patriot 8.1 13.1% 56 Columbia -12.3 Ivy 4.8 3.7% 57 Nicholls -12.3 Southland 4.9 2.5% 58 Monmouth -12.4 CAA 4.5 0.5% 59 Penn -12.5 Ivy 5.8 3.2% 60 Towson -12.7 CAA 3.7 0.1% 61 Maine -13.8 CAA 3.3 0.0% 62 Tennessee State -13.9 Big South-OVC 7.4 2.9% 63 Utah Tech -14.4 UAC 3.6 1.5% 64 Brown -15.1 Ivy 4.4 2.6% 65 Kennesaw State -15.2 FCS Independents 3.1 0.0% 66 St. Thomas -16.1 Pioneer 8.0 53.0% 67 East Tennessee State -16.8 Southern 3.4 0.1% 68 Bryant -16.8 Big South-OVC 4.8 4.2% 69 Hampton -17.6 CAA 4.8 0.2% 70 Eastern Illinois -17.7 Big South-OVC 6.2 0.6% 71 North Alabama -17.7 UAC 2.9 0.0% 72 Saint Francis (PA) -17.8 NEC 4.3 24.1% 73 Davidson -17.8 Pioneer 7.5 30.9% 74 Southern -18.2 SWAC West 6.4 13.9% 75 Idaho State -18.4 Big Sky 1.7 0.0% 76 Indiana State -18.7 MVFC 1.1 0.0% 77 Lindenwood -18.9 Big South-OVC 4.8 1.0% 78 Charleston Southern -18.9 Big South-OVC 4.5 1.9% 79 Wofford -19.0 Southern 1.3 0.0% 80 Cornell -19.3 Ivy 4.5 1.7% 81 Merrimack -19.7 NEC 5.5 17.2% 82 Texas A&M-Commerce -19.8 Southland 3.5 0.4% 83 Duquesne -19.9 NEC 5.8 37.8% 84 Butler -20.1 Pioneer 7.4 6.8% 85 Northern Colorado -20.9 Big Sky 0.9 0.0% 86 North Carolina A&T -21.2 CAA 2.3 0.0% 87 South Carolina State -21.3 MEAC 4.9 5.9% 88 Cal Poly -21.7 Big Sky 2.8 0.0% 89 Alcorn State -22.0 SWAC West 5.9 5.5% 90 Grambling State -22.1 SWAC West 6.0 7.0% 91 Stony Brook -22.2 CAA 1.0 0.0% 92 Lamar -22.2 Southland 4.5 0.3% 93 Morgan State -23.0 MEAC 3.0 3.7% 94 LIU -23.0 NEC 3.8 9.4% 95 Alabama A&M -23.1 SWAC East 5.6 0.3% 96 Murray State -23.4 MVFC 2.3 0.0% 97 VMI -23.6 Southern 3.1 0.0% 98 Dayton -23.9 Pioneer 5.1 0.0% 99 San Diego -24.0 Pioneer 4.9 5.2% 100 Tennessee Tech -24.1 Big South-OVC 2.5 0.1% 101 Prairie View A&M -24.2 SWAC West 5.4 3.7% 102 Bethune-Cookman -24.7 SWAC East 3.9 0.1% 103 Lehigh -24.8 Patriot 2.9 0.5% 104 Western Illinois -24.8 MVFC 0.5 0.0% 105 Colgate -25.3 Patriot 3.3 0.3% 106 Alabama State -25.3 SWAC East 5.0 0.1% 107 Robert Morris -25.6 Big South-OVC 3.6 0.1% 108 The Citadel -25.6 Southern 1.3 0.0% 109 Central Connecticut State -26.4 NEC 4.5 3.6% 110 Georgetown -26.4 Patriot 4.7 1.4% 111 McNeese -27.0 Southland 1.7 0.0% 112 Norfolk State -27.6 MEAC 3.7 0.9% 113 Stonehill -27.8 NEC 3.9 1.6% 114 Texas Southern -28.3 SWAC West 2.9 0.1% 115 Northwestern State -28.7 Southland 1.6 0.0% 116 Bucknell -29.0 Patriot 3.1 0.0% 117 Sacred Heart -30.1 NEC 2.2 0.0% 118 Morehead State -30.2 Pioneer 4.2 0.2% 119 Delaware State -30.8 MEAC 2.2 0.7% 120 Drake -31.2 Pioneer 4.5 3.3% 121 Houston Christian -31.4 Southland 3.4 0.0% 122 Stetson -32.5 Pioneer 4.7 0.1% 123 Marist -32.8 Pioneer 4.3 0.6% 124 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -32.9 SWAC West 2.8 0.1% 125 Wagner -32.9 NEC 4.1 6.3% 126 Valparaiso -35.0 Pioneer 2.6 0.0% 127 Mississippi Valley State -40.1 SWAC East 1.0 0.0% 128 Presbyterian -40.2 Pioneer 3.3 0.0%
