Our bowl projections are live ahead of Week 6, and we’ve included them below, with our full ratings and probabilities through Week 5 also included below (for archival purposes). Observations on the bowl front:
We have a weird situation where the team with the fourth-highest average ranking in our model ’s simulations is not the fourth-likeliest playoff team. Georgia finishes with an average CFP ranking of 9th , but it lags behind Oregon and Oklahoma in playoff probability despite each of those teams finishing with an average ranking of 10th . Because we’re trying to line up average simulations here, Georgia gets the nod, but it’s fairly arbitrary right now between those three plus Michigan and Texas, all of whom are very close to an even 30% in playoff probability.
There were no changes in the twelve teams our model’s sending to the New Year’s Six bowls. Fresno State’s average finish continues to narrowly edge that of Air Force, while Notre Dame lags behind Washington and Texas for the final at-large spot. One interesting note here, bringing us back to Georgia: Movelor, our model’s rating system, now has Alabama likelier to win the SEC than it has the Dawgs. That isn’t consequential here, and it’s very close, but something to keep an eye on.
We were a full eight bowl-eligible teams short. If this keeps up, we’ll have to start digging into APR, but for now, we just added the eight teams closest to a 50% bowl probability. In order from the least of a stretch to the most, those are: Arkansas, Rutgers, New Mexico State, Mississippi State, Cincinnati, Coastal Carolina, Oklahoma State, and Louisiana Tech. Some of this is just where teams’ individual win distributions fall, but the expected number of bowl eligible teams right now—the average in our model’s simulations—is only 77, five teams short of the full 82.
Teams entering the bowl mix: Rice, Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, Louisiana Tech.
Teams exiting the bowl mix: San Diego State, East Carolina, Illinois, Navy.
At 42nd in Movelor, Michigan State would be the best team to miss a bowl. At 119th , New Mexico State would be the worst team to make one.
Date Bowl Team 1 Team 2 T1 Conference T2 Conference 1/1/24 Rose Bowl (CFP Semifinal) Penn State Georgia Big Ten SEC 1/1/24 Sugar Bowl (CFP Semifinal) Ohio State Florida State Big Ten ACC 1/1/24 Fiesta Bowl Oklahoma Oregon Big 12 Pac-12 1/1/24 ReliaQuest Bowl Mississippi Notre Dame SEC FBS Independents 1/1/24 Citrus Bowl Tennessee Iowa SEC Big Ten 12/30/23 Orange Bowl North Carolina Michigan ACC Big Ten 12/30/23 Peach Bowl Alabama Washington SEC Pac-12 12/30/23 Music City Bowl Wisconsin Kentucky Big Ten SEC 12/30/23 Arizona Bowl Central Michigan Boise State MAC Mountain West 12/29/23 Cotton Bowl Texas Fresno State Big 12 Mountain West 12/29/23 Gator Bowl Duke Texas A&M ACC SEC 12/29/23 Sun Bowl Louisville Oregon State ACC Pac-12 12/29/23 Liberty Bowl Kansas Auburn Big 12 SEC 12/28/23 Pinstripe Bowl NC State Minnesota ACC Big Ten 12/28/23 Pop-Tarts Bowl Miami (FL) West Virginia ACC Big 12 12/28/23 Fenway Bowl Wake Forest Tulane ACC AAC 12/28/23 Alamo Bowl Kansas State Utah Big 12 Pac-12 12/27/23 Duke’s Mayo Bowl Syracuse LSU ACC SEC 12/27/23 Military Bowl Arkansas Memphis SEC AAC 12/27/23 Holiday Bowl USC Clemson Pac-12 ACC 12/27/23 Texas Bowl TCU Missouri Big 12 SEC 12/26/23 Guaranteed Rate Bowl UCF Rutgers Big 12 Big Ten 12/26/23 Quick Lane Bowl Toledo Oklahoma State MAC Big 12 12/26/23 First Responder Bowl Cincinnati Mississippi State Big 12 SEC 12/23/23 Hawaii Bowl UNLV SMU Mountain West AAC 12/23/23 Armed Forces Bowl Texas Tech Army Big 12 FBS Independents 12/23/23 68 Ventures Bowl Tulsa Texas State AAC Sun Belt 12/23/23 Birmingham Bowl Troy South Carolina Sun Belt SEC 12/23/23 Las Vegas Bowl Maryland Washington State Big Ten Pac-12 12/23/23 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Miami (OH) Wyoming MAC Mountain West 12/23/23 Camellia Bowl Eastern Michigan Georgia State MAC Sun Belt 12/22/23 Gasparilla Bowl Marshall Florida Sun Belt SEC 12/21/23 Boca Raton Bowl USF Louisiana AAC Sun Belt 12/19/23 Frisco Bowl UTSA South Alabama AAC Sun Belt 12/18/23 Myrtle Beach Bowl Rice Appalachian State AAC Sun Belt 12/16/23 Independence Bowl BYU Arizona Big 12 Pac-12 12/16/23 New Orleans Bowl Liberty Georgia Southern Conference USA Sun Belt 12/16/23 Celebration Bowl North Carolina Central Florida A&M MEAC SWAC 12/16/23 LA Bowl Air Force UCLA Mountain West Pac-12 12/16/23 New Mexico Bowl New Mexico State Utah State Conference USA Mountain West 12/16/23 Bahamas Bowl Western Kentucky Ohio Conference USA MAC 12/16/23 Cure Bowl Louisiana Tech Coastal Carolina Conference USA Sun Belt
Rank Team Movelor Conference Average Final CFP Ranking Make Playoff National Championship Expected Wins Bowl Eligibility Make Conference Championship Win Conference 1 Penn State 42.3 Big Ten 5 56.3% 20.8% 11.2 100.0% 42.3% 35.2% 11 Florida State 33.8 ACC 8 42.5% 7.9% 11.5 100.0% 77.2% 52.7% 3 Ohio State 40.4 Big Ten 7 42.0% 14.4% 10.6 100.0% 30.4% 25.3% 7 Oregon 36.6 Pac-12 10 32.9% 7.7% 10.6 100.0% 58.0% 35.0% 8 Oklahoma 35.1 Big 12 10 30.7% 6.6% 10.8 100.0% 61.5% 35.2% 4 Georgia 38.7 SEC 9 30.2% 7.2% 11.2 100.0% 73.5% 35.6% 5 Michigan 38.3 Big Ten 10 29.0% 9.4% 10.4 100.0% 23.8% 18.9% 9 Texas 34.4 Big 12 11 28.8% 5.9% 10.4 99.9% 51.8% 29.8% 10 Washington 34.3 Pac-12 11 24.5% 5.1% 10.3 100.0% 48.7% 27.2% 2 Alabama 41.0 SEC 11 21.5% 5.0% 10.2 99.9% 73.5% 41.8% 12 Notre Dame 32.9 FBS Independents 13 9.7% 1.8% 9.6 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 19 USC 28.3 Pac-12 22 6.3% 1.1% 8.9 99.3% 32.6% 12.5% 29 North Carolina 24.8 ACC 20 6.2% 0.6% 9.8 99.9% 27.7% 11.8% 13 Oregon State 31.4 Pac-12 18 6.1% 1.1% 9.2 99.6% 20.1% 10.6% 30 Louisville 24.5 ACC 24 5.4% 0.6% 9.8 99.8% 59.1% 20.6% 6 Tennessee 38.1 SEC 17 4.7% 1.3% 9.4 100.0% 15.8% 9.7% 14 Kansas State 31.1 Big 12 NR 3.4% 0.5% 9.0 97.8% 40.3% 18.9% 15 Mississippi 29.8 SEC 19 3.2% 0.6% 9.0 99.9% 7.5% 3.0% 33 Washington State 23.6 Pac-12 25 2.6% 0.4% 8.8 99.2% 15.3% 4.4% 17 Utah 28.8 Pac-12 23 2.3% 0.4% 8.7 99.4% 12.6% 5.9% 24 Maryland 25.9 Big Ten NR 1.8% 0.3% 8.6 99.3% 3.6% 2.3% 25 UCLA 25.5 Pac-12 NR 1.4% 0.2% 8.5 97.9% 11.0% 4.0% 35 Duke 22.7 ACC NR 1.2% 0.1% 8.1 96.3% 16.5% 6.9% 31 West Virginia 24.4 Big 12 NR 1.0% 0.1% 8.4 96.7% 26.3% 8.2% 21 Iowa 26.9 Big Ten NR 1.0% 0.2% 9.3 99.4% 42.0% 8.2% 23 Wisconsin 26.0 Big Ten NR 0.9% 0.2% 8.5 96.7% 48.8% 8.9% 51 Miami (FL) 17.2 ACC NR 0.9% 0.1% 7.9 94.4% 5.6% 2.1% 27 Kentucky 25.0 SEC NR 0.8% 0.2% 7.8 95.2% 5.8% 2.1% 37 Syracuse 22.1 ACC NR 0.6% 0.1% 8.4 97.7% 4.9% 2.3% 22 Texas A&M 26.8 SEC NR 0.5% 0.1% 7.6 94.9% 8.5% 3.0% 28 Air Force 24.8 Mountain West 25 0.4% 0.1% 11.3 100.0% 82.3% 44.8% 18 LSU 28.5 SEC NR 0.4% 0.1% 7.7 93.6% 9.6% 3.5% 16 Clemson 29.0 ACC 22 0.3% 0.1% 8.0 95.7% 4.2% 2.2% 26 Fresno State 25.1 Mountain West 24 0.2% 0.0% 11.4 100.0% 74.8% 41.1% 40 Missouri 20.6 SEC NR 0.2% 0.0% 7.5 92.6% 2.9% 0.6% 53 Kansas 16.9 Big 12 NR 0.1% 0.0% 6.7 75.8% 1.9% 0.5% 68 Liberty 13.1 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.6 99.9% 81.7% 44.8% 20 TCU 27.2 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.8 79.2% 6.2% 3.3% 48 James Madison 17.3 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 65 Ohio 14.0 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.9 99.6% 66.7% 37.9% 38 Tulane 21.0 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.8 99.6% 54.6% 36.1% 72 Toledo 12.3 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.4 99.1% 59.9% 30.0% 57 Memphis 15.8 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.0 98.4% 38.1% 19.6% 67 Western Kentucky 13.4 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.9 98.1% 80.6% 45.5% 89 Miami (OH) 7.7 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.3 96.1% 21.5% 11.0% 71 Georgia Southern 12.5 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.2 95.6% 30.5% 15.8% 60 Troy 15.2 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.2 95.2% 45.0% 24.4% 77 Marshall 11.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.0 91.6% 22.3% 11.5% 61 SMU 15.0 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.0 94.5% 37.2% 17.5% 82 UNLV 10.0 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.9 96.1% 10.0% 2.9% 93 Jacksonville State 7.0 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 81 Louisiana 10.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.4 89.2% 15.7% 7.8% 97 Texas State 5.9 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.3 86.7% 15.7% 6.7% 87 USF 9.1 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.3 88.9% 24.1% 8.2% 83 Wyoming 9.6 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.3 91.7% 6.2% 2.0% 76 Georgia State 11.5 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.2 85.1% 12.8% 6.6% 78 Appalachian State 11.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.1 81.9% 28.5% 13.7% 34 Auburn 23.0 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.8 84.5% 0.7% 0.3% 74 South Alabama 12.0 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.7 78.5% 20.6% 10.6% 100 Central Michigan 4.7 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.7 74.6% 18.2% 7.8% 58 Boise State 15.4 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.5 77.7% 20.8% 8.1% 59 Army 15.3 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.4 78.5% 0.0% 0.0% 95 Tulsa 6.2 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.3 69.3% 6.4% 2.2% 36 South Carolina 22.6 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.2 68.6% 0.8% 0.2% 44 UCF 18.9 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.2 66.1% 0.3% 0.1% 49 BYU 17.3 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.2 65.0% 0.7% 0.2% 62 NC State 15.0 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.0 59.5% 1.5% 0.5% 107 Eastern Michigan 3.2 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.0 61.5% 8.5% 3.3% 108 Rice 3.0 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.9 60.0% 2.0% 0.7% 80 UTSA 10.7 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 58.3% 16.7% 7.1% 52 Arizona 17.0 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.7 53.4% 1.4% 0.3% 43 Florida 19.1 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.7 52.6% 1.2% 0.3% 63 Wake Forest 14.9 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.6 50.8% 0.5% 0.2% 41 Minnesota 19.6 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.6 51.4% 3.2% 0.5% 96 Utah State 6.1 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.6 52.1% 2.2% 0.6% 69 Rutgers 13.0 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.6 48.7% 0.0% 0.0% 32 Texas Tech 23.9 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.6 51.1% 5.1% 2.1% 39 Arkansas 20.7 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.5 49.2% 0.2% 0.1% 45 Mississippi State 18.5 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.4 45.8% 0.0% 0.0% 119 New Mexico State -1.7 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.4 47.2% 7.1% 1.8% 115 Louisiana Tech -0.6 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.4 43.0% 19.3% 4.9% 56 Cincinnati 16.3 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 45.8% 0.7% 0.2% 90 Coastal Carolina 7.6 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 43.7% 2.6% 1.1% 55 Oklahoma State 16.4 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 43.5% 1.2% 0.4% 94 San Diego State 6.4 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.2 42.4% 0.5% 0.1% 54 Illinois 16.5 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.2 40.8% 2.0% 0.2% 73 East Carolina 12.1 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.2 42.0% 8.2% 4.0% 46 Baylor 18.4 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.1 38.2% 2.5% 0.7% 104 Western Michigan 3.6 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.0 36.7% 5.9% 2.4% 86 UAB 9.1 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.0 37.2% 6.2% 2.5% 114 Bowling Green State -0.5 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.9 35.4% 1.7% 0.6% 120 Arkansas State -2.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.8 27.2% 2.1% 0.5% 110 North Texas 2.7 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.8 30.0% 1.6% 0.6% 112 Colorado State 1.3 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.8 30.8% 1.3% 0.2% 47 Purdue 17.6 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.8 29.5% 2.1% 0.3% 64 Nebraska 14.8 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.7 29.1% 1.5% 0.2% 42 Michigan State 19.3 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.6 25.2% 0.0% 0.0% 70 California 12.7 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.6 20.6% 0.2% 0.1% 92 Navy 7.2 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.6 27.6% 1.1% 0.3% 79 Virginia Tech 10.8 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.6 25.9% 2.4% 0.7% 116 Middle Tennessee -0.8 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 26.7% 9.1% 2.4% 50 Iowa State 17.3 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 25.8% 1.5% 0.5% 101 Colorado 4.2 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.4 15.8% 0.0% 0.0% 106 Old Dominion 3.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.4 21.0% 3.3% 1.3% 84 Northwestern 9.4 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.3 15.9% 0.5% 0.0% 102 Boston College 4.0 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.3 17.7% 0.0% 0.0% 126 Hawaii -3.9 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.2 19.4% 0.2% 0.0% 132 FIU -12.4 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.2 13.5% 0.2% 0.0% 103 Florida Atlantic 3.8 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.2 22.3% 3.7% 1.3% 99 San Jose State 5.1 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.1 17.4% 1.1% 0.3% 113 Ball State 0.6 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.1 20.2% 4.5% 1.5% 111 Buffalo 1.5 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.0 17.1% 8.3% 3.8% 117 Northern Illinois -0.9 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.0 18.4% 3.0% 1.1% 75 Houston 11.6 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.9 12.0% 0.0% 0.0% 122 Louisiana Monroe -2.6 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.9 11.7% 0.6% 0.2% 91 Georgia Tech 7.4 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.8 9.0% 0.2% 0.0% 123 Kent State -3.3 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.7 11.8% 1.2% 0.4% 124 Sam Houston -3.3 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 85 Indiana 9.3 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.5 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 131 New Mexico -7.6 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.5 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 128 UTEP -4.6 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.2 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 66 Pitt 13.6 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.2 5.3% 0.1% 0.0% 129 Akron -4.8 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.1 5.7% 0.6% 0.2% 130 Temple -6.9 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.1 3.4% 0.1% 0.0% 118 Southern Miss -1.2 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.8 3.0% 0.3% 0.1% 125 Charlotte -3.7 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.7 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% 121 Nevada -2.4 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.7 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 88 Arizona State 8.3 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 127 UConn -3.9 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.5 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 109 Vanderbilt 2.9 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 98 Virginia 5.9 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.3 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 105 Stanford 3.4 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.0 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 133 UMass -16.4 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rank Team Movelor Conference Projected Wins Conference Championship 1 South Dakota State 22.3 MVFC 10.1 63.6% 2 Montana State 16.6 Big Sky 8.9 53.3% 3 Incarnate Word 14.4 Southland 9.9 97.2% 4 North Dakota State 13.4 MVFC 8.1 5.9% 5 Idaho 8.1 Big Sky 8.4 28.7% 6 Southern Illinois 7.3 MVFC 8.6 11.9% 7 Furman 7.0 Southern 8.8 48.0% 8 Sacramento State 6.6 Big Sky 8.2 4.8% 9 Austin Peay 6.2 UAC 7.9 49.5% 10 Weber State 5.5 Big Sky 7.4 6.8% 11 UC Davis 4.5 Big Sky 6.9 2.9% 12 Northern Iowa 4.0 MVFC 6.1 5.0% 13 North Dakota 3.7 MVFC 6.8 2.5% 14 Youngstown State 3.5 MVFC 6.4 2.7% 15 Holy Cross 2.4 Patriot 7.6 78.4% 16 Central Arkansas 2.2 UAC 7.1 34.7% 17 Montana 2.1 Big Sky 6.9 1.5% 18 South Dakota 1.0 MVFC 7.2 6.5% 19 Elon 0.8 CAA 7.3 35.6% 20 William & Mary -0.4 CAA 8.1 10.7% 21 Rhode Island -0.6 CAA 7.3 8.2% 22 Southeast Missouri State -0.7 Big South-OVC 6.1 44.6% 23 Stephen F. Austin -0.9 UAC 6.8 3.8% 24 Western Carolina -1.0 Southern 8.0 22.8% 25 Delaware -1.1 CAA 8.2 31.9% 26 Missouri State -1.3 MVFC 4.5 0.3% 27 Chattanooga -1.7 Southern 7.1 24.3% 28 UT Martin -2.0 Big South-OVC 8.2 38.0% 29 Eastern Washington -2.8 Big Sky 5.3 1.1% 30 Samford -2.8 Southern 5.9 0.5% 31 Illinois State -3.3 MVFC 6.2 1.5% 32 Mercer -3.7 Southern 6.9 4.4% 33 New Hampshire -3.7 CAA 5.9 0.4% 34 Yale -4.8 Ivy 5.7 12.5% 35 Southern Utah -4.9 UAC 4.5 1.5% 36 Harvard -5.2 Ivy 7.5 30.3% 37 Portland State -5.5 Big Sky 5.2 0.7% 38 Richmond -5.8 CAA 5.1 2.0% 39 Albany -6.7 CAA 6.8 7.4% 40 Eastern Kentucky -6.9 UAC 4.8 7.1% 41 Northern Arizona -6.9 Big Sky 3.2 0.1% 42 Abilene Christian -7.0 UAC 4.9 1.1% 43 Campbell -7.4 CAA 5.0 0.3% 44 Villanova -7.9 CAA 6.2 2.1% 45 Dartmouth -8.4 Ivy 6.3 24.2% 46 Fordham -8.7 Patriot 7.3 8.3% 47 Princeton -8.7 Ivy 5.8 19.4% 48 Jackson State -8.8 SWAC 8.6 26.5% 49 North Carolina Central -9.0 MEAC 8.2 47.5% 50 Gardner-Webb -9.5 Big South-OVC 5.0 4.7% 51 Southeastern Louisiana -9.5 Southland 4.0 1.0% 52 Penn -10.4 Ivy 5.9 4.6% 53 Columbia -10.5 Ivy 5.0 4.7% 54 Tarleton -11.0 UAC 6.5 1.9% 55 Towson -11.1 CAA 4.3 0.7% 56 Howard -12.1 MEAC 6.0 37.8% 57 Florida A&M -12.1 SWAC 9.0 36.4% 58 Monmouth -12.4 CAA 4.5 0.5% 59 Kennesaw State -13.0 FCS Independents 3.8 0.0% 60 Maine -13.5 CAA 3.6 0.0% 61 Lafayette -13.5 Patriot 7.2 10.6% 62 Nicholls -14.3 Southland 4.7 1.3% 63 East Tennessee State -14.9 Southern 3.9 0.2% 64 Tennessee State -16.2 Big South-OVC 6.5 2.5% 65 Southern -16.6 SWAC 7.0 19.5% 66 Brown -16.7 Ivy 4.3 1.2% 67 Bryant -16.8 Big South-OVC 4.9 4.4% 68 Utah Tech -16.9 UAC 2.5 0.4% 69 St. Thomas -17.0 Pioneer 7.6 37.7% 70 Wofford -17.2 Southern 1.7 0.0% 71 North Alabama -17.7 UAC 2.9 0.0% 72 Saint Francis (PA) -17.8 NEC 4.3 21.2% 73 Davidson -17.8 Pioneer 7.5 31.8% 74 Idaho State -18.4 Big Sky 1.6 0.0% 75 Cornell -18.5 Ivy 4.7 3.1% 76 Duquesne -18.5 NEC 6.1 44.2% 77 Charleston Southern -18.9 Big South-OVC 4.6 2.2% 78 Hampton -18.9 CAA 4.8 0.4% 79 North Carolina A&T -19.1 CAA 2.8 0.0% 80 Butler -19.2 Pioneer 7.8 20.9% 81 Eastern Illinois -19.6 Big South-OVC 6.3 1.7% 82 Merrimack -19.6 NEC 5.3 14.4% 83 Indiana State -20.7 MVFC 1.1 0.0% 84 Cal Poly -20.8 Big Sky 2.8 0.0% 85 Alcorn State -20.9 SWAC 5.6 4.4% 86 Northern Colorado -20.9 Big Sky 0.9 0.0% 87 Dayton -21.0 Pioneer 6.2 0.5% 88 Lindenwood -21.2 Big South-OVC 4.3 0.7% 89 Tennessee Tech -21.7 Big South-OVC 3.3 1.1% 90 Murray State -22.1 MVFC 2.4 0.0% 91 Stony Brook -22.2 CAA 1.4 0.0% 92 Texas A&M-Commerce -22.3 Southland 2.9 0.2% 93 Alabama A&M -22.4 SWAC 5.9 1.8% 94 LIU -22.8 NEC 3.7 7.5% 95 Morgan State -23.0 MEAC 3.7 5.9% 96 Bethune-Cookman -23.0 SWAC 4.7 1.5% 97 Western Illinois -23.1 MVFC 0.7 0.0% 98 Grambling State -23.1 SWAC 6.2 7.5% 99 VMI -23.6 Southern 3.1 0.0% 100 South Carolina State -23.7 MEAC 4.6 5.3% 101 Lamar -24.0 Southland 4.1 0.2% 102 San Diego -24.0 Pioneer 5.0 5.3% 103 McNeese -24.5 Southland 2.2 0.0% 104 Prairie View A&M -25.0 SWAC 5.2 2.1% 105 Colgate -25.3 Patriot 3.4 0.5% 106 Central Connecticut State -26.8 NEC 4.1 3.1% 107 Robert Morris -26.9 Big South-OVC 3.5 0.2% 108 Northwestern State -26.9 Southland 2.1 0.0% 109 Lehigh -26.9 Patriot 2.9 0.9% 110 Alabama State -27.0 SWAC 4.3 0.1% 111 Norfolk State -27.6 MEAC 3.8 2.0% 112 Stonehill -27.8 NEC 4.1 3.8% 113 The Citadel -27.9 Southern 1.1 0.0% 114 Texas Southern -28.3 SWAC 2.8 0.1% 115 Georgetown -28.6 Patriot 4.6 1.3% 116 Houston Christian -29.4 Southland 3.7 0.0% 117 Bucknell -29.4 Patriot 3.2 0.1% 118 Sacred Heart -30.3 NEC 2.4 0.6% 119 Delaware State -30.4 MEAC 2.7 1.6% 120 Drake -30.5 Pioneer 4.4 3.3% 121 Stetson -31.8 Pioneer 4.4 0.1% 122 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -32.9 SWAC 2.8 0.1% 123 Wagner -32.9 NEC 4.1 5.2% 124 Morehead State -33.1 Pioneer 3.1 0.0% 125 Marist -34.6 Pioneer 4.1 0.4% 126 Valparaiso -35.7 Pioneer 2.8 0.1% 127 Mississippi Valley State -39.4 SWAC 1.2 0.0% 128 Presbyterian -40.8 Pioneer 3.7 0.0%
