College Football Playoff Probabilities
Below you’ll find the latest outputs from our college football bracketology model, which uses our Movelor power-rating system and FPA-based playoff selection model to simulate the remainder of the college football system 10,000 times every day. What are Movelor and FPA? More on that below. Things to know:
- This model has a strong track record. We’ve been publishing its outputs since 2019, gradually improving it over the years. It’s accurately predicted all but three playoff teams over its six seasons, as measured on Selection Sunday.
- This is best viewed on a desktop, which also makes it easier to use the table search function. Type “FBS” and sort by your desired variable. Or type “FCS,” if that’s your thing.
- If viewing on a mobile phone, sometimes tapping your screen twice with two fingers will zoom out your window enough to see the full table.
- Our model doesn’t always account for every single conference tiebreaker scenario. Here’s what it does account for right now. (Note: The MAC’s new tiebreaker rules are accounted for in that post but not accounted for in these probabilities yet. Apologies. We didn’t catch in time that they’d changed those rules.)
More resources from and about our model:
- College Football Playoff Bracketology
- Movelor game predictions
- FCS Bracketology
- How our model works
- 2025–26 archives (coming soon)
Last Updated: Wednesday, December 3rd, 12:37 PM EST
| Subdivision | Conference | Team | Movelor | Make Playoff | Average Final Ranking | Projected Wins | National Championship | Conference Title | Conference Championship Appearance* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBS | Big Ten | Ohio State | 49.6 | 100% | 1 | 14.3 | 33% | 65% | 100% |
| FBS | Big Ten | Oregon | 45.1 | 100% | 5 | 12.7 | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big Ten | Indiana | 44.0 | 100% | 2 | 13.5 | 16% | 35% | 100% |
| FBS | FBS Independents | Notre Dame | 43.7 | 83% | 10 | 11.1 | 7% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big 12 | Texas Tech | 42.9 | 100% | 4 | 12.9 | 12% | 76% | 100% |
| FBS | SEC | Georgia | 38.4 | 100% | 5 | 12.3 | 5% | 51% | 100% |
| FBS | ACC | Miami (FL) | 37.9 | 23% | 11 | 10.7 | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | SEC | Alabama | 37.8 | 59% | 10 | 11.3 | 2% | 49% | 100% |
| FBS | SEC | Vanderbilt | 37.6 | 0% | 15 | 10.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | SEC | Mississippi | 37.0 | 100% | 6 | 12.1 | 3% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | SEC | Texas | 36.1 | 0% | 13 | 9.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big 12 | Utah | 36.0 | 0% | 14 | 10.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | SEC | Oklahoma | 34.2 | 100% | 9 | 10.4 | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big Ten | Penn State | 33.9 | 0% | 43 | 6.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | SEC | Texas A&M | 33.3 | 100% | 6 | 11.8 | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big 12 | BYU | 33.1 | 35% | 11 | 11.9 | 0% | 24% | 100% |
| FBS | SEC | Missouri | 32.2 | 0% | 30 | 8.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big Ten | Iowa | 32.2 | 0% | 23 | 8.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big Ten | USC | 31.8 | 0% | 17 | 9.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big Ten | Washington | 31.0 | 0% | 27 | 8.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | SEC | LSU | 29.8 | 0% | 37 | 7.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | ACC | SMU | 29.1 | 0% | 30 | 8.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | SEC | Tennessee | 28.8 | 0% | 32 | 8.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big 12 | Arizona | 28.8 | 0% | 18 | 9.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big Ten | Michigan | 28.4 | 0% | 19 | 9.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | ACC | Clemson | 28.4 | 0% | 49 | 7.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | SEC | South Carolina | 28.2 | 0% | 71 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | SEC | Auburn | 27.8 | 0% | 59 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Sun Belt | James Madison | 27.6 | 41% | 24 | 12.3 | 0% | 91% | 100% |
| FBS | American | USF | 27.3 | 0% | 27 | 9.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big Ten | Illinois | 25.8 | 0% | 31 | 8.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big 12 | Arizona State | 25.3 | 0% | 35 | 8.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | MVFC | North Dakota State | 25.2 | 100% | 1 | 15.1 | 51% | 100% | 0% |
| FBS | SEC | Florida | 25.2 | 0% | 63 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big 12 | TCU | 25.0 | 0% | 36 | 8.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | American | North Texas | 24.9 | 61% | 24 | 11.9 | 0% | 63% | 100% |
| FBS | ACC | Virginia | 24.7 | 56% | 17 | 10.8 | 0% | 56% | 100% |
| FBS | ACC | Louisville | 24.7 | 0% | 25 | 8.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big 12 | Iowa State | 24.5 | 0% | 39 | 8.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | ACC | Georgia Tech | 24.1 | 0% | 22 | 9.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | ACC | Pitt | 23.7 | 0% | 35 | 8.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big 12 | Kansas State | 22.9 | 0% | 47 | 6.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | ACC | Duke | 22.6 | 4% | 38 | 8.0 | 0% | 44% | 100% |
| FBS | Big 12 | Houston | 21.6 | 0% | 21 | 9.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | MAC | Toledo | 21.3 | 0% | 53 | 8.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | SEC | Arkansas | 21.3 | 0% | 103 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big Sky | Montana State | 21.0 | 100% | 2 | 12.7 | 30% | 100% | 0% |
| FBS | Big Ten | Wisconsin | 20.9 | 0% | 67 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big Ten | Nebraska | 20.9 | 0% | 51 | 7.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big Ten | Northwestern | 20.7 | 0% | 53 | 6.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big 12 | Cincinnati | 20.4 | 0% | 41 | 7.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | SEC | Kentucky | 20.2 | 0% | 61 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big Ten | Rutgers | 19.6 | 0% | 68 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Pac-12 | Washington State | 19.4 | 0% | 60 | 6.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | SEC | Mississippi State | 19.3 | 0% | 56 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Mountain West | Boise State | 19.3 | 0% | 52 | 9.1 | 0% | 60% | 100% |
| FBS | ACC | NC State | 19.2 | 0% | 40 | 7.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big 12 | Kansas | 18.8 | 0% | 64 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big Ten | Minnesota | 18.8 | 0% | 55 | 7.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | American | Memphis | 18.7 | 0% | 64 | 8.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | ACC | Wake Forest | 18.7 | 0% | 44 | 8.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Mountain West | UNLV | 18.6 | 0% | 47 | 10.7 | 0% | 40% | 100% |
| FBS | Big Ten | Michigan State | 18.5 | 0% | 91 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Sun Belt | Old Dominion | 18.3 | 0% | 44 | 9.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | American | Tulane | 17.7 | 37% | 24 | 10.6 | 0% | 37% | 100% |
| FBS | American | East Carolina | 17.4 | 0% | 56 | 8.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big 12 | Baylor | 17.0 | 0% | 66 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big 12 | West Virginia | 16.9 | 0% | 75 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | ACC | Florida State | 16.4 | 0% | 48 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | FBS Independents | UConn | 14.8 | 0% | 71 | 9.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big 12 | UCF | 14.5 | 0% | 77 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Mountain West | Utah State | 14.4 | 0% | 81 | 6.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Mountain West | San Diego State | 14.3 | 0% | 48 | 9.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big Ten | UCLA | 13.8 | 0% | 86 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | UAC | Tarleton State | 13.7 | 100% | 4 | 12.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big 12 | Colorado | 13.6 | 0% | 89 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | ACC | California | 13.1 | 0% | 63 | 7.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | ACC | Boston College | 13.0 | 0% | 111 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Mountain West | New Mexico | 13.0 | 0% | 58 | 9.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | American | Navy | 12.7 | 0% | 27 | 9.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Mountain West | Fresno State | 12.7 | 0% | 80 | 8.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | American | UTSA | 12.6 | 0% | 83 | 6.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | MAC | Western Michigan | 12.6 | 0% | 71 | 8.8 | 0% | 50% | 100% |
| FBS | Mountain West | Hawaii | 12.6 | 0% | 74 | 8.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | MAC | Miami (OH) | 12.6 | 0% | 76 | 7.9 | 0% | 50% | 100% |
| FBS | Sun Belt | Texas State | 12.5 | 0% | 85 | 6.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | American | Army | 11.7 | 0% | 95 | 6.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | ACC | Virginia Tech | 11.6 | 0% | 94 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | ACC | Stanford | 11.5 | 0% | 80 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | MAC | Ohio | 10.8 | 0% | 82 | 8.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big Ten | Maryland | 10.5 | 0% | 93 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Sun Belt | Troy | 10.3 | 0% | 76 | 8.3 | 0% | 9% | 100% |
| FCS | Big Sky | Montana | 10.2 | 100% | 3 | 12.2 | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Conference USA | Western Kentucky | 10.0 | 0% | 73 | 8.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Big Ten | Purdue | 9.3 | 0% | 113 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | MVFC | South Dakota State | 9.1 | 100% | 14 | 9.7 | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Mountain West | Air Force | 8.8 | 0% | 106 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | MVFC | North Dakota | 8.7 | 100% | 23 | 8.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Sun Belt | Louisiana | 8.4 | 0% | 102 | 6.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Conference USA | Louisiana Tech | 8.1 | 0% | 79 | 7.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | ACC | North Carolina | 8.0 | 0% | 96 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Conference USA | FIU | 7.1 | 0% | 87 | 7.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southland | Stephen F. Austin | 6.2 | 100% | 7 | 10.8 | 1% | 100% | 0% |
| FBS | Sun Belt | Arkansas State | 6.0 | 0% | 104 | 6.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Conference USA | Jacksonville State | 5.9 | 0% | 76 | 8.8 | 0% | 60% | 100% |
| FCS | Southern | Mercer | 5.9 | 100% | 6 | 10.0 | 1% | 100% | 0% |
| FCS | UAC | Abilene Christian | 5.5 | 100% | 10 | 9.5 | 1% | 100% | 0% |
| FBS | Conference USA | Kennesaw State | 5.4 | 0% | 48 | 9.5 | 0% | 40% | 100% |
| FCS | Patriot | Lehigh | 5.4 | 100% | 5 | 12.9 | 1% | 100% | 0% |
| FBS | Big 12 | Oklahoma State | 5.3 | 0% | 131 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | ACC | Syracuse | 5.2 | 0% | 105 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | MAC | Central Michigan | 4.8 | 0% | 88 | 7.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Sun Belt | Southern Miss | 4.6 | 0% | 92 | 7.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Sun Belt | Marshall | 4.5 | 0% | 98 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Sun Belt | Georgia Southern | 4.3 | 0% | 97 | 6.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big Sky | UC Davis | 3.5 | 100% | 8 | 8.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | CAA | Villanova | 3.2 | 100% | 12 | 10.5 | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Sun Belt | South Alabama | 3.1 | 0% | 118 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | MVFC | South Dakota | 2.8 | 100% | 11 | 9.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | MAC | Eastern Michigan | 2.5 | 0% | 121 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Conference USA | Missouri State | 2.2 | 0% | 90 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | American | Temple | 1.9 | 0% | 99 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | American | Florida Atlantic | 1.9 | 0% | 108 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | MVFC | Illinois State | 1.6 | 100% | 18 | 9.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Sun Belt | Appalachian State | 1.5 | 0% | 115 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Mountain West | Wyoming | 1.5 | 0% | 118 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big Sky | Sacramento State | 1.0 | 0% | 31 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Conference USA | Liberty | 0.9 | 0% | 107 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Mountain West | Nevada | 0.8 | 0% | 124 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | MVFC | Southern Illinois | 0.7 | 0% | 31 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Pac-12 | Oregon State | 0.5 | 0% | 128 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big Sky | Idaho State | 0.3 | 0% | 40 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Ivy | Yale | 0.1 | 100% | 17 | 9.1 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| FCS | MVFC | Youngstown State | 0.0 | 100% | 15 | 8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | MAC | Bowling Green State | 0.0 | 0% | 116 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Mountain West | San Jose State | -0.4 | 0% | 125 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | UAC | Southern Utah | -0.5 | 0% | 28 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Conference USA | Delaware | -0.5 | 0% | 100 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | CAA | Rhode Island | -0.8 | 100% | 9 | 11.3 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| FBS | American | Tulsa | -0.9 | 0% | 120 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | MAC | Buffalo | -0.9 | 0% | 110 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | MAC | Akron | -0.9 | 0% | 114 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Conference USA | Middle Tennessee | -1.3 | 0% | 130 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southern | Western Carolina | -1.6 | 0% | 38 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | UAC | Austin Peay | -1.8 | 0% | 30 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Sun Belt | Coastal Carolina | -2.2 | 0% | 101 | 6.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | American | Rice | -2.4 | 0% | 109 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big South-OVC | Tennessee Tech | -2.5 | 100% | 13 | 11.0 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| FCS | Ivy | Harvard | -3.0 | 100% | 17 | 9.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | American | UAB | -3.1 | 0% | 112 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Conference USA | New Mexico State | -3.6 | 0% | 122 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Sun Belt | Georgia State | -3.8 | 0% | 134 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southland | Southeastern Louisiana | -3.8 | 100% | 16 | 9.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big Sky | Idaho | -3.9 | 0% | 70 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big Sky | Northern Arizona | -4.0 | 0% | 29 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Mountain West | Colorado State | -4.1 | 0% | 129 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | SWAC | Alabama State | -4.2 | 0% | 24 | 10.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | CAA | Monmouth | -4.4 | 0% | 25 | 9.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | CAA | New Hampshire | -4.6 | 100% | 28 | 8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | MAC | Northern Illinois | -4.8 | 0% | 127 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Sun Belt | Louisiana Monroe | -5.4 | 0% | 126 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southern | East Tennessee State | -5.4 | 0% | 37 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | UAC | Eastern Kentucky | -5.4 | 0% | 51 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southland | Incarnate Word | -5.4 | 0% | 63 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | MEAC | South Carolina State | -5.5 | 0% | 22 | 9.5 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| FCS | UAC | West Georgia | -5.6 | 0% | 125 | 8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | MAC | Ball State | -5.7 | 0% | 123 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | MAC | Kent State | -6.5 | 0% | 118 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southern | Wofford | -6.8 | 0% | 49 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | American | Charlotte | -6.8 | 0% | 135 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | SWAC | Jackson State | -7.0 | 0% | 21 | 10.0 | 0% | 69% | 100% |
| FCS | Big Sky | Eastern Washington | -7.4 | 0% | 54 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Conference USA | UTEP | -7.7 | 0% | 132 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | MVFC | Northern Iowa | -7.8 | 0% | 78 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Patriot | Lafayette | -7.9 | 0% | 36 | 8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big Sky | Cal Poly | -7.9 | 0% | 67 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | CAA | Elon | -8.0 | 0% | 56 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southland | UTRGV | -8.0 | 0% | 34 | 9.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | CAA | Maine | -8.4 | 0% | 62 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | MEAC | North Carolina Central | -9.0 | 0% | 44 | 8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Ivy | Dartmouth | -9.2 | 0% | 25 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big South-OVC | UT Martin | -9.3 | 0% | 54 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | CAA | Stony Brook | -9.3 | 0% | 61 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southland | Lamar | -9.7 | 100% | 26 | 8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | Conference USA | Sam Houston | -10.0 | 0% | 133 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big South-OVC | Gardner-Webb | -10.1 | 0% | 42 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | CAA | William & Mary | -10.7 | 0% | 45 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Ivy | Penn | -11.0 | 0% | 40 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | SWAC | Prairie View A&M | -11.3 | 0% | 38 | 9.4 | 0% | 31% | 100% |
| FCS | Patriot | Richmond | -11.3 | 0% | 48 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southern | Chattanooga | -11.3 | 0% | 65 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big South-OVC | Lindenwood | -11.5 | 0% | 58 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Pioneer | St. Thomas | -11.7 | 0% | 61 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Patriot | Holy Cross | -12.1 | 0% | 94 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | UAC | Central Arkansas | -12.2 | 0% | 87 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southland | McNeese | -12.5 | 0% | 74 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southern | Furman | -12.7 | 0% | 52 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southern | The Citadel | -12.8 | 0% | 82 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | CAA | Towson | -13.0 | 0% | 63 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Pioneer | Drake | -13.4 | 100% | 37 | 8.0 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| FCS | Pioneer | San Diego | -13.5 | 0% | 41 | 8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Pioneer | Presbyterian | -13.6 | 0% | 32 | 10.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big South-OVC | Southeast Missouri State | -13.7 | 0% | 84 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southland | Nicholls | -13.9 | 0% | 80 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Ivy | Brown | -14.6 | 0% | 52 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big Sky | Weber State | -14.8 | 0% | 66 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | NEC | Central Connecticut State | -15.0 | 100% | 48 | 8.0 | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| FCS | Ivy | Princeton | -15.1 | 0% | 77 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big South-OVC | Charleston Southern | -15.5 | 0% | 72 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big Sky | Northern Colorado | -15.9 | 0% | 82 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Patriot | Colgate | -16.2 | 0% | 77 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | NEC | Duquesne | -16.3 | 0% | 60 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | UAC | North Alabama | -16.5 | 0% | 102 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Ivy | Cornell | -16.8 | 0% | 74 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | MVFC | Indiana State | -16.9 | 0% | 84 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | MEAC | Delaware State | -17.0 | 0% | 54 | 8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big South-OVC | Western Illinois | -17.2 | 0% | 88 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | FCS Independents | Sacred Heart | -18.4 | 0% | 46 | 8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | UAC | Utah Tech | -18.4 | 0% | 99 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Ivy | Columbia | -18.6 | 0% | 92 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Pioneer | Dayton | -18.8 | 0% | 64 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | CAA | Campbell | -18.8 | 0% | 105 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | MVFC | Murray State | -19.0 | 0% | 108 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | NEC | LIU | -19.1 | 0% | 71 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southern | Samford | -19.7 | 0% | 110 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big South-OVC | Eastern Illinois | -19.8 | 0% | 99 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | SWAC | Alcorn State | -20.3 | 0% | 94 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | MEAC | Morgan State | -20.4 | 0% | 103 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | SWAC | Bethune-Cookman | -20.5 | 0% | 76 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | CAA | Bryant | -20.7 | 0% | 104 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FBS | MAC | UMass | -20.7 | 0% | 136 | 0.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | NEC | Mercyhurst | -21.2 | 0% | 125 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | FCS Independents | Merrimack | -21.4 | 0% | 100 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Patriot | Georgetown | -22.7 | 0% | 77 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big Sky | Portland State | -22.9 | 0% | 107 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southland | East Texas A&M | -23.0 | 0% | 96 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | MEAC | Howard | -23.1 | 0% | 94 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | SWAC | Texas Southern | -23.2 | 0% | 70 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | CAA | Albany | -23.4 | 0% | 110 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Pioneer | Butler | -23.8 | 0% | 89 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Pioneer | Marist | -24.0 | 0% | 96 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Big South-OVC | Tennessee State | -24.6 | 0% | 113 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | NEC | Wagner | -24.9 | 0% | 90 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | SWAC | Grambling State | -24.9 | 0% | 54 | 7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Patriot | Fordham | -26.1 | 0% | 119 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Patriot | Bucknell | -26.4 | 0% | 88 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | NEC | Robert Morris | -27.4 | 0% | 110 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | NEC | Stonehill | -27.7 | 0% | 102 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | SWAC | Florida A&M | -27.9 | 0% | 83 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southland | Houston Christian | -28.9 | 0% | 114 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Pioneer | Morehead State | -29.2 | 0% | 89 | 6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | CAA | Hampton | -29.2 | 0% | 116 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | SWAC | Alabama A&M | -29.5 | 0% | 104 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | MEAC | Norfolk State | -30.0 | 0% | 124 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | CAA | North Carolina A&T | -30.5 | 0% | 113 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | NEC* | New Haven | -30.5 | 0% | 125 | 5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southern | VMI | -31.9 | 0% | 122 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | NEC | Saint Francis (PA) | -32.5 | 0% | 123 | 0.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | SWAC | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | -33.4 | 0% | 125 | 4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | SWAC | Southern | -35.4 | 0% | 117 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Pioneer | Davidson | -37.9 | 0% | 120 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Pioneer | Valparaiso | -37.9 | 0% | 120 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | SWAC | Mississippi Valley State | -39.7 | 0% | 125 | 2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Southland | Northwestern State | -41.9 | 0% | 119 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| FCS | Pioneer | Stetson | -46.6 | 0% | 114 | 3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
**
