Our bowl projections are live through Week 11’s games, and we’ve included them below, with our full ratings and probabilities through Week 11 also included below (for archival purposes). As always, these come from our college football model . Notes:
With Michigan’s win over Penn State, the Wolverines become more playoff-likely than Oregon again. They also become the projected top overall seed.
Liberty remains the top-ranked Group of Five champion in our average simulation. Troy is actually next on the list, with SMU—the American favorite—only projected to finish 10.0–2.8.
Even including James Madison and Jacksonville State, we’re four bowl-eligible teams short. The closest four teams to 50%, and therefore the four we’ve added, are Georgia Tech, Colorado State, Western Michigan, and Rice. We may start accounting for APR next week, but for now, we’re just putting the likeliest teams to get to six wins.
Howard is the new MEAC favorite, so they slot into the Celebration Bowl against Florida A&M.
Teams entering the bowl mix: UCF, Marshall, Northwestern, Colorado State.
Teams exiting the bowl mix: Florida, Eastern Michigan, BYU, Washington State.
At 28th in Movelor’s rankings, TCU is the best team more likely than not to miss a bowl. It remains possible we’ll see a top-25 team (in rating) miss a bowl game.
At 111th in Movelor’s rankings, Arkansas State is the worst team more likely than not to make a bowl. The Red Wolves aren’t locked in yet, but they have two chances to get that sixth win.
Between tonight’s updated rankings and MACtion, there’ll be changes to the bowl picture, so we’ll run these again tomorrow and post them in the CFP Rankings recap. We’re watching the top four, of course, but also Liberty, Troy, and SMU, plus the WMU/NIU & Akron/EMU games.
Date Bowl Team 1 Team 2 T1 Conference T2 Conference 1/1/24 Rose Bowl (CFP Semifinal) Michigan Florida State Big Ten ACC 1/1/24 Sugar Bowl (CFP Semifinal) Georgia Ohio State SEC Big Ten 1/1/24 Fiesta Bowl Washington Penn State Pac-12 Big Ten 1/1/24 ReliaQuest Bowl LSU Notre Dame SEC FBS Independents 1/1/24 Citrus Bowl Missouri Iowa SEC Big Ten 12/30/23 Orange Bowl Louisville Alabama ACC SEC 12/30/23 Peach Bowl Mississippi Liberty SEC Conference USA 12/30/23 Music City Bowl Maryland Georgia Tech Big Ten ACC 12/30/23 Arizona Bowl Ohio UNLV MAC Mountain West 12/29/23 Cotton Bowl Oregon Texas Pac-12 Big 12 12/29/23 Gator Bowl Clemson Auburn ACC SEC 12/29/23 Sun Bowl Duke Arizona ACC Pac-12 12/29/23 Liberty Bowl Kansas Texas A&M Big 12 SEC 12/28/23 Pinstripe Bowl Syracuse Wisconsin ACC Big Ten 12/28/23 Pop-Tarts Bowl North Carolina Kansas State ACC Big 12 12/28/23 Fenway Bowl Boston College SMU ACC AAC 12/28/23 Alamo Bowl Oklahoma Oregon State Big 12 Pac-12 12/27/23 Duke’s Mayo Bowl Miami (FL) Kentucky ACC SEC 12/27/23 Military Bowl Virginia Tech Tulane ACC AAC 12/27/23 Holiday Bowl Utah NC State Pac-12 ACC 12/27/23 Texas Bowl Oklahoma State Tennessee Big 12 SEC 12/26/23 Guaranteed Rate Bowl West Virginia Northwestern Big 12 Big Ten 12/26/23 Quick Lane Bowl Miami (OH) Illinois MAC Big Ten 12/26/23 First Responder Bowl Texas Tech UTSA Big 12 AAC 12/23/23 Hawaii Bowl Wyoming Jacksonville State Mountain West Conference USA 12/23/23 Armed Forces Bowl UCF Texas State Big 12 Sun Belt 12/23/23 68 Ventures Bowl Utah State Georgia Southern Mountain West Sun Belt 12/23/23 Birmingham Bowl Troy Memphis Sun Belt AAC 12/23/23 Las Vegas Bowl Rutgers USC Big Ten Pac-12 12/23/23 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Toledo Fresno State MAC Mountain West 12/23/23 Camellia Bowl Colorado State Louisiana Mountain West Sun Belt 12/22/23 Gasparilla Bowl Minnesota Coastal Carolina Big Ten Sun Belt 12/21/23 Boca Raton Bowl USF South Alabama AAC Sun Belt 12/19/23 Frisco Bowl Rice Arkansas State AAC Sun Belt 12/18/23 Famous Toastery Bowl Western Kentucky Bowling Green State Conference USA MAC 12/16/23 Myrtle Beach Bowl Boise State Georgia State Mountain West Sun Belt 12/16/23 Independence Bowl Iowa State Nebraska Big 12 Big Ten 12/16/23 New Orleans Bowl New Mexico State James Madison Conference USA Sun Belt 12/16/23 Celebration Bowl Howard Florida A&M MEAC SWAC 12/16/23 LA Bowl Air Force UCLA Mountain West Pac-12 12/16/23 New Mexico Bowl Appalachian State San Jose State Sun Belt Mountain West 12/16/23 Cure Bowl Western Michigan Marshall MAC Sun Belt
Rank Team Movelor Conference Average Final CFP Ranking Make Playoff National Championship Expected Wins Bowl Eligibility Make Conference Championship Win Conference 1 Michigan 45.7 Big Ten 3 70.8% 30.6% 12.1 100.0% 60.8% 56.1% 4 Georgia 41.0 SEC 3 72.9% 21.3% 12.0 100.0% 100.0% 44.0% 2 Ohio State 43.8 Big Ten 3 70.2% 26.0% 11.7 100.0% 39.3% 35.9% 8 Florida State 34.5 ACC 4 58.6% 3.7% 12.5 100.0% 100.0% 69.1% 6 Oregon 37.3 Pac-12 6 42.5% 4.4% 11.2 100.0% 88.3% 53.7% 3 Alabama 43.2 SEC 6 37.6% 7.8% 11.4 100.0% 100.0% 56.0% 11 Washington 33.1 Pac-12 6 30.7% 3.2% 11.8 100.0% 98.8% 40.3% 10 Texas 33.2 Big 12 9 13.2% 2.4% 10.8 100.0% 78.0% 42.1% 5 Penn State 39.6 Big Ten 9 0.1% 0.0% 9.9 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 20 Mississippi 26.6 SEC 10 0.0% 0.0% 9.8 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 19 Louisville 26.7 ACC 13 2.9% 0.4% 10.7 100.0% 99.9% 30.9% 18 Missouri 28.8 SEC 14 0.0% 0.0% 9.4 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16 Oregon State 30.2 Pac-12 15 0.5% 0.2% 8.8 100.0% 7.5% 4.3% 9 LSU 33.3 SEC 15 0.0% 0.0% 8.6 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12 Notre Dame 32.9 FBS Independents 16 0.0% 0.0% 8.9 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14 Oklahoma 32.6 Big 12 17 0.0% 0.0% 9.9 100.0% 41.2% 20.8% 13 Tennessee 32.8 SEC 19 0.0% 0.0% 8.4 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7 Kansas State 36.5 Big 12 20 0.0% 0.0% 8.9 100.0% 40.0% 25.2% 48 Liberty 17.8 Conference USA 21 0.0% 0.0% 12.7 100.0% 100.0% 82.2% 17 Utah 28.8 Pac-12 22 0.0% 0.0% 8.5 100.0% 0.2% 0.0% 22 Iowa 25.6 Big Ten 24 0.0% 0.0% 9.6 100.0% 95.4% 7.8% 15 Texas A&M 31.0 SEC 26 0.0% 0.0% 7.4 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 26 Arizona 24.3 Pac-12 26 0.0% 0.0% 8.2 100.0% 5.2% 1.7% 29 Oklahoma State 23.6 Big 12 26 0.0% 0.0% 8.6 100.0% 34.0% 9.0% 27 Troy 24.2 Sun Belt 27 0.0% 0.0% 10.7 100.0% 100.0% 82.6% 21 Clemson 26.4 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.3 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 23 Auburn 25.5 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.1 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 25 Iowa State 24.5 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.5 100.0% 5.5% 2.4% 31 USC 23.2 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.6 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 32 SMU 22.7 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.0 100.0% 76.9% 46.1% 33 North Carolina 21.8 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.8 100.0% 0.1% 0.0% 34 Kentucky 21.8 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.7 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 35 West Virginia 21.7 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.5 100.0% 0.5% 0.1% 36 Kansas 21.3 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.9 100.0% 0.4% 0.2% 37 Duke 20.6 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.5 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 39 NC State 20.4 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 40 UCLA 20.4 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.1 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 42 UTSA 19.4 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.7 100.0% 62.5% 29.8% 44 Maryland 19.3 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.5 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 50 Miami (FL) 17.0 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 51 Air Force 16.9 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.4 100.0% 60.8% 33.2% 52 Rutgers 16.8 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.6 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 54 Fresno State 16.6 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.9 100.0% 42.8% 18.3% 56 UNLV 16.0 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.3 100.0% 54.9% 28.2% 58 Tulane 15.4 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.4 100.0% 48.2% 19.7% 59 Toledo 15.4 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 11.1 100.0% 100.0% 61.0% 69 Memphis 12.9 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.2 100.0% 12.5% 4.4% 72 Coastal Carolina 12.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.0 100.0% 75.5% 13.4% 78 Appalachian State 11.3 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.9 100.0% 9.2% 2.0% 79 Miami (OH) 11.2 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.8 100.0% 93.4% 36.3% 84 Ohio 10.3 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.6 100.0% 5.2% 2.3% 88 Wyoming 8.3 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.6 100.0% 0.2% 0.1% 91 Boston College 7.5 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.6 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 92 Texas State 6.8 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 93 Georgia State 6.8 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.5 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 94 Georgia Southern 6.7 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.0 100.0% 15.3% 1.9% 95 New Mexico State 6.6 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.7 100.0% 100.0% 17.8% 106 Bowling Green State 4.2 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.6 100.0% 0.6% 0.3% 30 James Madison 23.3 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 11.6 98.9% 0.0% 0.0% 99 Western Kentucky 5.6 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.7 98.0% 0.0% 0.0% 83 Jacksonville State 10.5 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.4 96.3% 0.0% 0.0% 87 Utah State 9.6 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.3 91.3% 0.4% 0.1% 57 San Jose State 15.9 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.4 90.9% 22.8% 11.5% 97 Louisiana 6.0 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.9 87.0% 0.0% 0.0% 76 South Alabama 11.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.3 86.8% 0.0% 0.0% 45 Wisconsin 19.2 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.2 81.6% 1.0% 0.1% 46 UCF 19.1 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.0 79.7% 0.0% 0.0% 63 Syracuse 14.4 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.1 79.5% 0.0% 0.0% 24 Texas Tech 24.9 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.0 77.5% 0.4% 0.1% 49 Virginia Tech 17.3 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.1 77.2% 0.1% 0.0% 62 Boise State 14.7 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.2 75.6% 18.3% 8.6% 107 USF 3.7 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 71.5% 0.0% 0.0% 104 Marshall 4.7 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.9 71.0% 0.0% 0.0% 55 Illinois 16.5 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 68.5% 2.0% 0.1% 60 Northwestern 15.4 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.9 67.1% 0.6% 0.0% 111 Arkansas State 2.7 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 63.7% 0.0% 0.0% 53 Minnesota 16.8 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.5 52.2% 0.0% 0.0% 61 Nebraska 15.2 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.6 51.2% 0.9% 0.0% 80 Georgia Tech 11.1 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.5 49.7% 0.0% 0.0% 110 Colorado State 3.1 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 45.5% 0.0% 0.0% 90 Western Michigan 7.8 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.2 39.8% 0.0% 0.0% 101 Rice 5.5 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.2 37.6% 0.0% 0.0% 116 Central Michigan 0.6 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.4 36.5% 0.0% 0.0% 43 Florida 19.3 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.4 34.9% 0.0% 0.0% 113 Northern Illinois 2.2 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.2 34.4% 0.0% 0.0% 118 Eastern Michigan -0.4 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.1 31.6% 0.0% 0.0% 38 South Carolina 20.5 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.0 25.9% 0.0% 0.0% 82 BYU 10.5 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 23.6% 0.0% 0.0% 102 Old Dominion 4.8 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.9 21.6% 0.0% 0.0% 70 Mississippi State 12.7 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.1 20.8% 0.0% 0.0% 28 TCU 24.0 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.1 18.5% 0.0% 0.0% 66 California 13.4 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.9 18.1% 0.0% 0.0% 105 Florida Atlantic 4.6 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.7 14.2% 0.0% 0.0% 71 Houston 12.5 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.6 9.3% 0.0% 0.0% 121 Hawaii -3.0 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.6 8.3% 0.0% 0.0% 89 Navy 8.0 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.6 7.7% 0.0% 0.0% 64 Washington State 14.2 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.8 6.1% 0.0% 0.0% 85 Colorado 10.0 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.4 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 68 Wake Forest 12.9 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.4 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 117 Buffalo 0.5 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.8 0.2% 0.8% 0.2% 133 FIU -16.3 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 41 Arkansas 20.3 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 47 Purdue 18.4 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 65 Michigan State 13.8 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 67 Cincinnati 13.0 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 73 Indiana 12.0 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 74 Baylor 11.9 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 75 Pitt 11.6 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 77 Arizona State 11.4 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 81 Virginia 10.8 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 86 East Carolina 9.8 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 96 Army 6.1 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 98 North Texas 5.9 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100 Stanford 5.5 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 103 UAB 4.8 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 108 Ball State 3.3 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 109 Middle Tennessee 3.2 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 112 San Diego State 2.5 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 114 Vanderbilt 1.4 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 115 Southern Miss 0.9 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 119 Tulsa -0.7 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 120 Charlotte -1.1 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 122 UTEP -3.3 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 123 Nevada -4.3 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 124 UConn -4.7 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 125 Louisiana Tech -6.2 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 126 Akron -6.5 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 127 Sam Houston -6.5 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 128 Temple -7.1 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 129 Louisiana Monroe -7.7 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 130 New Mexico -10.2 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 131 Kent State -11.0 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 1.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 132 UMass -11.9 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rank Team Movelor Conference Projected Wins Conference Championship 1 South Dakota State 26.8 MVFC 11.0 100.0% 2 Montana State 18.2 Big Sky 8.6 57.6% 3 North Dakota State 13.4 MVFC 7.7 0.0% 4 Montana 12.4 Big Sky 9.4 42.4% 5 Furman 7.2 Southern 9.9 100.0% 6 Idaho 5.2 Big Sky 7.9 0.0% 7 Delaware 3.7 CAA 8.6 29.6% 8 Southern Illinois 3.1 MVFC 6.9 0.0% 9 Northern Iowa 3.0 MVFC 6.3 0.0% 10 Incarnate Word 2.8 Southland 7.9 0.0% 11 South Dakota 2.8 MVFC 9.0 0.0% 12 Richmond 2.5 CAA 7.6 24.2% 13 Villanova 2.3 CAA 8.4 18.5% 14 Illinois State 1.7 MVFC 6.4 0.0% 15 Youngstown State 1.6 MVFC 6.9 0.0% 16 North Dakota 1.4 MVFC 6.6 0.0% 17 Weber State 1.2 Big Sky 5.9 0.0% 18 Austin Peay 1.2 UAC 8.7 66.4% 19 UC Davis 1.1 Big Sky 6.6 0.0% 20 Sacramento State 0.9 Big Sky 7.4 0.0% 21 Southern Utah -0.7 UAC 5.8 0.0% 22 Chattanooga -0.7 Southern 7.0 0.0% 23 Yale -0.9 Ivy 6.7 27.3% 24 Albany -1.7 CAA 8.7 27.6% 25 Mercer -1.7 Southern 8.0 0.0% 26 Holy Cross -1.8 Patriot 6.9 21.3% 27 Tarleton -1.8 UAC 8.0 0.0% 28 Missouri State -2.0 MVFC 4.0 0.0% 29 Central Arkansas -2.1 UAC 7.3 33.6% 30 Western Carolina -2.7 Southern 7.8 0.0% 31 New Hampshire -2.9 CAA 5.9 0.0% 32 Samford -3.8 Southern 5.6 0.0% 33 Northern Arizona -3.9 Big Sky 4.5 0.0% 34 UT Martin -4.2 Big South-OVC 8.4 13.1% 35 Harvard -4.8 Ivy 8.3 60.3% 36 Elon -4.9 CAA 5.9 0.0% 37 Eastern Washington -5.2 Big Sky 4.5 0.0% 38 William & Mary -5.4 CAA 6.4 0.0% 39 Eastern Kentucky -5.7 UAC 4.7 0.0% 40 Gardner-Webb -5.7 Big South-OVC 6.9 86.9% 41 Nicholls -5.8 Southland 5.5 100.0% 42 Abilene Christian -6.0 UAC 5.0 0.0% 43 Southeast Missouri State -6.9 Big South-OVC 4.5 0.0% 44 Rhode Island -7.0 CAA 6.6 0.0% 45 Portland State -7.1 Big Sky 4.8 0.0% 46 Monmouth -7.1 CAA 4.3 0.0% 47 Southeastern Louisiana -8.0 Southland 3.5 0.0% 48 Penn -8.3 Ivy 6.6 0.0% 49 Dartmouth -8.9 Ivy 5.6 12.4% 50 Florida A&M -9.6 SWAC 10.7 79.2% 51 Stephen F. Austin -10.0 UAC 3.3 0.0% 52 Bryant -10.2 Big South-OVC 5.5 0.0% 53 North Carolina Central -10.2 MEAC 9.0 27.8% 54 Princeton -10.3 Ivy 4.4 0.0% 55 Lafayette -10.8 Patriot 8.8 78.2% 56 Fordham -11.7 Patriot 6.6 0.0% 57 Towson -13.0 CAA 4.4 0.0% 58 Eastern Illinois -13.1 Big South-OVC 7.7 0.0% 59 Jackson State -13.2 SWAC 7.7 0.0% 60 Kennesaw State -13.3 FCS Independents 3.0 0.0% 61 Idaho State -14.2 Big Sky 3.1 0.0% 62 Brown -14.6 Ivy 5.4 0.0% 63 Indiana State -14.8 MVFC 1.1 0.0% 64 Howard -14.8 MEAC 5.7 71.0% 65 Utah Tech -15.4 UAC 2.2 0.0% 66 St. Thomas -15.5 Pioneer 7.9 0.0% 67 Tennessee State -15.8 Big South-OVC 6.7 0.0% 68 Lamar -16.0 Southland 5.8 0.0% 69 Campbell -16.3 CAA 4.5 0.0% 70 North Alabama -16.5 UAC 3.0 0.0% 71 Alcorn State -16.6 SWAC 6.3 5.2% 72 Butler -17.7 Pioneer 7.8 0.0% 73 Maine -17.7 CAA 2.1 0.0% 74 Wofford -17.7 Southern 1.1 0.0% 75 Alabama State -17.9 SWAC 7.6 0.0% 76 Saint Francis (PA) -18.0 NEC 3.7 0.0% 77 VMI -18.3 Southern 4.2 0.0% 78 Duquesne -18.9 NEC 6.4 44.6% 79 Colgate -19.0 Patriot 5.4 0.5% 80 East Tennessee State -19.2 Southern 2.8 0.0% 81 Charleston Southern -19.4 Big South-OVC 4.1 0.0% 82 Cal Poly -19.6 Big Sky 3.1 0.0% 83 LIU -19.6 NEC 4.6 0.0% 84 Murray State -19.7 MVFC 2.1 0.0% 85 Merrimack -19.8 NEC 5.6 55.4% 86 Morgan State -19.9 MEAC 4.3 1.3% 87 Davidson -20.5 Pioneer 7.8 63.9% 88 Columbia -20.8 Ivy 2.5 0.0% 89 North Carolina A&T -21.3 CAA 1.5 0.0% 90 Northern Colorado -21.3 Big Sky 0.2 0.0% 91 Norfolk State -21.5 MEAC 3.6 0.0% 92 Tennessee Tech -21.5 Big South-OVC 3.3 0.0% 93 Hampton -22.0 CAA 5.1 0.0% 94 Cornell -22.0 Ivy 3.5 0.0% 95 Texas Southern -22.3 SWAC 4.0 0.0% 96 Grambling State -22.6 SWAC 5.6 5.2% 97 Georgetown -23.3 Patriot 5.1 0.0% 98 Southern -23.4 SWAC 5.5 0.0% 99 South Carolina State -23.5 MEAC 4.4 0.0% 100 Houston Christian -24.1 Southland 5.1 0.0% 101 Lehigh -24.8 Patriot 2.2 0.0% 102 Robert Morris -24.8 Big South-OVC 4.3 0.0% 103 Drake -24.9 Pioneer 7.2 36.1% 104 Prairie View A&M -25.1 SWAC 5.5 10.5% 105 Bucknell -25.7 Patriot 3.7 0.0% 106 Bethune-Cookman -25.8 SWAC 3.1 0.0% 107 McNeese -25.9 Southland 0.2 0.0% 108 San Diego -26.1 Pioneer 3.7 0.0% 109 Alabama A&M -26.4 SWAC 4.8 0.0% 110 Lindenwood -26.5 Big South-OVC 3.0 0.0% 111 Texas A&M-Commerce -26.6 Southland 1.0 0.0% 112 Stonehill -28.0 NEC 4.4 0.0% 113 Stony Brook -28.2 CAA 0.0 0.0% 114 Central Connecticut State -28.7 NEC 3.3 0.0% 115 Dayton -28.9 Pioneer 3.2 0.0% 116 The Citadel -29.0 Southern 0.2 0.0% 117 Sacred Heart -29.3 NEC 2.0 0.0% 118 Northwestern State -29.4 Southland 0.0 0.0% 119 Morehead State -31.3 Pioneer 4.6 0.0% 120 Delaware State -32.6 MEAC 1.0 0.0% 121 Valparaiso -32.7 Pioneer 3.1 0.0% 122 Western Illinois -32.7 MVFC 0.0 0.0% 123 Wagner -34.8 NEC 3.6 0.0% 124 Marist -34.8 Pioneer 4.3 0.0% 125 Presbyterian -36.7 Pioneer 3.4 0.0% 126 Stetson -36.9 Pioneer 3.3 0.0% 127 Mississippi Valley State -38.1 SWAC 1.2 0.0% 128 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -42.9 SWAC 1.0 0.0%
