Our bowl projections are live through Week 10’s games, and we’ve included them below, with our full ratings and probabilities through Week 10 also included below (for archival purposes). As always, these come from our college football model . Notes:
Oregon is now likelier than Michigan to make the College Football Playoff, according to our model, which sees that Michigan still has to play Penn State in addition to Ohio State. If Michigan gets through Penn State unscathed, our model will adjust, but this is something it’s duly highlighting. Michigan has a tough three weeks coming up here.
Texas is the new Big 12 favorite, pushing Kansas State back out of the New Year’s Six and opening a lane for Mississippi to slide in. Air Force is no longer the Group of Five favorite, with our model favoring a Liberty team whose projected win total is 12.4 over the likeliest American champion, 9.8-win SMU.
Even including James Madison and Jacksonville State, we’re five bowl-eligible teams short. The closest five teams to 50%, and therefore the five we’ve added, are Rice, Florida, Washington State, Texas Tech, and Houston.
Teams entering the bowl mix: Appalachian State, Arkansas State, Georgia Tech, Illinois, Texas Tech, Houston.
Teams exiting the bowl mix: Syracuse, Florida Atlantic, TCU, Marshall, Mississippi State, Old Dominion.
At 27th in Movelor’s rankings, Arkansas is still the best team in the country projected to miss a bowl. Arkansas closes with home games against Auburn, FIU, and Missouri, two of which are teams against whom they could impress Movelor without winning. We could have a top-25 team (in quality) miss a bowl game, for the haters who say there are too many bowls.
At 116th , Arkansas State is the worst team projected to make a bowl. Credit to the Red Wolves for playing better lately and winning games. They’re one win away from bowl eligibility.
Even small changes in the rankings can shake up the bowl picture a lot, so we’ll have new bowl projections included tomorrow when we recap how the rankings surprised and didn’t surprise our model. Check back for those. Expect ripples.
Date Bowl Team 1 Team 2 T1 Conference T2 Conference 1/1/24 Rose Bowl (CFP Semifinal) Florida State Georgia ACC SEC 1/1/24 Sugar Bowl (CFP Semifinal) Ohio State Oregon Big Ten Pac-12 1/1/24 Fiesta Bowl Mississippi Liberty SEC Conference USA 1/1/24 ReliaQuest Bowl LSU Notre Dame SEC FBS Independents 1/1/24 Citrus Bowl Tennessee Iowa SEC Big Ten 12/30/23 Orange Bowl Louisville Michigan ACC Big Ten 12/30/23 Peach Bowl Penn State Alabama Big Ten SEC 12/30/23 Music City Bowl Rutgers Auburn Big Ten SEC 12/30/23 Arizona Bowl Miami (OH) UNLV MAC Mountain West 12/29/23 Cotton Bowl Washington Texas Pac-12 Big 12 12/29/23 Gator Bowl Clemson Kentucky ACC SEC 12/29/23 Sun Bowl NC State Arizona ACC Pac-12 12/29/23 Liberty Bowl Kansas Missouri Big 12 SEC 12/28/23 Pinstripe Bowl Miami (FL) Nebraska ACC Big Ten 12/28/23 Pop-Tarts Bowl Duke Oklahoma State ACC Big 12 12/28/23 Fenway Bowl Boston College Tulane ACC AAC 12/28/23 Alamo Bowl Oklahoma Oregon State Big 12 Pac-12 12/27/23 Duke’s Mayo Bowl Georgia Tech Florida ACC SEC 12/27/23 Military Bowl Virginia Tech Memphis ACC AAC 12/27/23 Holiday Bowl Utah North Carolina Pac-12 ACC 12/27/23 Texas Bowl Kansas State Texas A&M Big 12 SEC 12/26/23 Guaranteed Rate Bowl West Virginia Minnesota Big 12 Big Ten 12/26/23 Quick Lane Bowl Toledo Maryland MAC Big Ten 12/26/23 First Responder Bowl Texas Tech UTSA Big 12 AAC 12/23/23 Hawaii Bowl Fresno State SMU Mountain West AAC 12/23/23 Armed Forces Bowl BYU Coastal Carolina Big 12 Sun Belt 12/23/23 68 Ventures Bowl Boise State Texas State Mountain West Sun Belt 12/23/23 Birmingham Bowl Georgia Southern Houston Sun Belt Big 12 12/23/23 Las Vegas Bowl Wisconsin UCLA Big Ten Pac-12 12/23/23 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Ohio Wyoming MAC Mountain West 12/23/23 Camellia Bowl San Jose State South Alabama Mountain West Sun Belt 12/22/23 Gasparilla Bowl Troy Illinois Sun Belt Big Ten 12/21/23 Boca Raton Bowl USF Georgia State AAC Sun Belt 12/19/23 Frisco Bowl Rice Arkansas State AAC Sun Belt 12/18/23 Bahamas Bowl Western Kentucky Bowling Green State Conference USA MAC 12/16/23 Myrtle Beach Bowl Central Michigan Appalachian State MAC Sun Belt 12/16/23 Independence Bowl Iowa State Washington State Big 12 Pac-12 12/16/23 New Orleans Bowl Jacksonville State James Madison Conference USA Sun Belt 12/16/23 Celebration Bowl North Carolina Central Florida A&M MEAC SWAC 12/16/23 LA Bowl Air Force USC Mountain West Pac-12 12/16/23 New Mexico Bowl New Mexico State Utah State Conference USA Mountain West 12/16/23 Cure Bowl Northern Illinois Louisiana MAC Sun Belt
Rank Team Movelor Conference Average Final CFP Ranking Make Playoff National Championship Expected Wins Bowl Eligibility Make Conference Championship Win Conference 2 Ohio State 42.5 Big Ten 3 74.8% 27.0% 11.8 100.0% 49.1% 44.2% 7 Florida State 36.6 ACC 4 61.1% 8.7% 12.5 100.0% 100.0% 70.1% 6 Georgia 38.7 SEC 5 54.8% 15.0% 11.6 100.0% 92.4% 41.7% 1 Michigan 43.7 Big Ten 5 44.6% 18.8% 11.4 100.0% 40.7% 37.1% 5 Oregon 39.1 Pac-12 5 50.2% 7.7% 11.3 100.0% 86.7% 58.0% 3 Penn State 41.6 Big Ten 6 29.1% 7.9% 10.5 100.0% 10.2% 9.1% 4 Alabama 41.2 SEC 6 34.6% 6.5% 11.2 100.0% 99.5% 54.9% 13 Washington 32.4 Pac-12 7 25.1% 3.6% 11.4 100.0% 93.7% 33.9% 10 Texas 34.5 Big 12 9 17.1% 3.3% 10.7 100.0% 65.4% 44.2% 16 Mississippi 29.0 SEC 10 3.7% 0.7% 9.9 100.0% 0.5% 0.2% 17 Louisville 28.8 ACC 13 4.9% 0.8% 10.7 100.0% 88.8% 28.1% 8 Tennessee 35.7 SEC 15 0.1% 0.0% 9.2 100.0% 7.6% 3.3% 14 Oklahoma 29.9 Big 12 15 0.0% 0.0% 9.4 100.0% 14.8% 8.2% 11 LSU 33.4 SEC 16 0.0% 0.0% 8.5 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12 Notre Dame 32.9 FBS Independents 17 0.0% 0.0% 8.8 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 19 Oregon State 27.8 Pac-12 20 0.0% 0.0% 8.6 100.0% 4.9% 2.7% 15 Utah 29.5 Pac-12 20 0.0% 0.0% 8.8 100.0% 5.6% 2.5% 22 Missouri 25.8 SEC 21 0.0% 0.0% 8.5 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 20 Oklahoma State 26.8 Big 12 21 0.0% 0.0% 9.6 100.0% 84.7% 27.3% 9 Kansas State 34.7 Big 12 22 0.0% 0.0% 8.7 100.0% 21.3% 14.2% 55 Liberty 15.6 Conference USA 22 0.0% 0.0% 12.4 100.0% 100.0% 75.3% 51 Tulane 17.7 American 26 0.0% 0.0% 10.5 100.0% 59.6% 28.6% 31 Kansas 22.9 Big 12 27 0.0% 0.0% 8.6 100.0% 5.2% 2.0% 38 USC 21.4 Pac-12 27 0.0% 0.0% 7.6 100.0% 2.7% 0.8% 21 Arizona 26.1 Pac-12 28 0.0% 0.0% 8.2 100.0% 6.2% 2.1% 37 James Madison 21.5 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 11.5 96.4% 0.0% 0.0% 68 Toledo 13.5 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.8 100.0% 97.0% 52.3% 40 Air Force 20.0 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.7 100.0% 87.7% 51.3% 42 Fresno State 19.3 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.7 100.0% 67.4% 31.3% 32 Troy 22.9 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 10.5 100.0% 98.5% 77.6% 75 Miami (OH) 12.3 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.8 100.0% 87.9% 42.0% 39 SMU 21.1 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.8 100.0% 70.4% 39.2% 64 Memphis 14.4 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.2 100.0% 17.3% 6.8% 26 Iowa 23.4 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 9.1 100.0% 67.9% 6.7% 65 UNLV 13.9 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.6 100.0% 24.1% 10.1% 30 North Carolina 22.9 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.6 100.0% 2.1% 0.6% 80 Jacksonville State 10.5 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.4 92.4% 0.0% 0.0% 48 UTSA 17.9 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.4 100.0% 52.7% 25.4% 29 UCLA 23.2 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.2 100.0% 0.1% 0.0% 86 Ohio 8.6 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.2 100.0% 3.4% 1.5% 81 Wyoming 10.4 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.0 100.0% 6.3% 1.5% 105 New Mexico State 4.2 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.9 100.0% 37.6% 7.7% 24 West Virginia 24.4 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.9 100.0% 6.4% 3.0% 71 Coastal Carolina 13.1 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.8 100.0% 43.8% 10.9% 41 Duke 19.5 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.7 100.0% 2.1% 0.3% 87 Georgia Southern 8.6 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.7 100.0% 27.2% 5.2% 92 Western Kentucky 8.0 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.6 99.3% 62.5% 17.0% 49 NC State 17.9 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.5 100.0% 2.2% 0.4% 102 Texas State 6.1 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.2 100.0% 0.2% 0.1% 82 Boston College 10.0 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.2 100.0% 1.2% 0.1% 83 Georgia State 9.6 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.2 100.0% 9.0% 1.8% 18 Texas A&M 28.6 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.2 99.8% 0.0% 0.0% 23 Clemson 24.9 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.1 96.6% 0.0% 0.0% 25 Kentucky 23.8 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 35 Wisconsin 22.0 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.0 95.3% 17.4% 2.0% 45 Rutgers 18.9 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.0 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 61 Miami (FL) 14.9 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.8 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 90 Louisiana 8.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.8 96.9% 1.2% 0.7% 34 Auburn 22.5 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.5 94.5% 0.0% 0.0% 112 Bowling Green State 1.7 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.3 81.0% 2.6% 1.0% 52 Nebraska 16.7 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.2 77.7% 8.9% 0.6% 72 South Alabama 12.9 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.2 83.1% 0.0% 0.0% 84 Utah State 8.9 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.1 82.3% 0.0% 0.0% 89 Appalachian State 8.5 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.1 74.1% 12.6% 2.4% 36 Iowa State 21.9 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.1 75.8% 2.1% 1.1% 43 Minnesota 19.2 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.1 74.1% 3.7% 0.3% 60 Boise State 14.9 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.0 72.1% 6.4% 2.7% 116 Arkansas State 1.2 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.0 67.7% 0.1% 0.1% 50 Maryland 17.7 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.9 65.5% 0.0% 0.0% 106 Northern Illinois 4.1 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.9 67.0% 0.6% 0.3% 74 Georgia Tech 12.6 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 66.7% 1.2% 0.1% 115 Central Michigan 1.2 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 57.7% 2.2% 0.9% 103 USF 5.6 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 71.8% 0.0% 0.0% 47 Illinois 17.9 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.7 63.4% 1.9% 0.2% 70 BYU 13.1 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.7 51.7% 0.0% 0.0% 69 San Jose State 13.2 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.7 55.6% 8.1% 3.1% 63 Virginia Tech 14.8 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.6 55.4% 2.4% 0.3% 44 Florida 19.2 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.6 44.7% 0.0% 0.0% 101 Rice 7.0 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.4 47.4% 0.0% 0.0% 62 Houston 14.9 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.4 43.1% 0.0% 0.0% 28 Texas Tech 23.3 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.4 43.5% 0.1% 0.1% 56 Washington State 15.5 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.4 44.4% 0.0% 0.0% 77 Syracuse 12.1 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 43.0% 0.0% 0.0% 113 Eastern Michigan 1.5 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 41.1% 0.1% 0.0% 33 TCU 22.7 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 38.2% 0.0% 0.0% 100 Florida Atlantic 7.0 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 40.6% 0.1% 0.0% 58 Mississippi State 15.1 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 32.1% 0.0% 0.0% 109 Marshall 2.9 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.2 37.7% 0.0% 0.0% 54 UCF 15.9 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.1 31.8% 0.0% 0.0% 99 Old Dominion 7.0 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.1 31.8% 7.4% 1.3% 27 Arkansas 23.3 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.1 33.1% 0.0% 0.0% 57 Wake Forest 15.4 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.1 32.1% 0.0% 0.0% 108 Colorado State 3.6 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.0 35.0% 0.0% 0.0% 73 Northwestern 12.6 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.0 26.8% 0.2% 0.0% 98 Western Michigan 7.2 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.9 28.9% 0.2% 0.1% 97 UAB 7.4 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.8 20.4% 0.0% 0.0% 46 South Carolina 18.1 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.7 18.7% 0.0% 0.0% 91 Colorado 8.1 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 7.1% 0.0% 0.0% 95 North Texas 7.5 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.4 6.7% 0.0% 0.0% 93 Army 7.8 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 117 Middle Tennessee 1.1 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 133 FIU -14.2 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.2 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 110 Buffalo 2.1 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.2 7.4% 6.1% 2.0% 76 California 12.1 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.2 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 104 Navy 5.4 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.2 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 78 Indiana 10.6 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.0 5.0% 0.0% 0.0% 123 Louisiana Tech -3.5 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 111 San Diego State 2.0 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.7 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% 119 Charlotte -2.7 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.7 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 53 Purdue 16.0 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 59 Michigan State 15.1 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.6 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 94 Stanford 7.8 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.6 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 67 Baylor 13.6 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.6 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 121 Tulsa -2.9 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.6 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 66 Pitt 13.9 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 125 Hawaii -6.1 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.5 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 114 Ball State 1.4 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 122 UTEP -3.3 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 132 UMass -11.9 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 129 Temple -9.0 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.3 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 131 New Mexico -10.4 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 85 Virginia 8.7 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 79 Cincinnati 10.5 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 96 East Carolina 7.5 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 120 UConn -2.9 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 124 Nevada -3.6 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 127 Akron -7.6 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 118 Southern Miss -1.5 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 88 Arizona State 8.5 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 126 Louisiana Monroe -6.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 107 Vanderbilt 3.8 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 128 Kent State -8.5 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 1.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 130 Sam Houston -9.2 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 1.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rank Team Movelor Conference Projected Wins Conference Championship 1 South Dakota State 24.7 MVFC 10.9 94.6% 2 Montana State 15.9 Big Sky 8.5 39.0% 3 North Dakota State 11.3 MVFC 7.3 0.0% 4 Montana 10.5 Big Sky 9.2 26.8% 5 Idaho 7.0 Big Sky 8.6 34.3% 6 Northern Iowa 5.8 MVFC 7.1 1.6% 7 Furman 5.5 Southern 9.9 99.8% 8 Southern Illinois 5.2 MVFC 7.2 0.0% 9 Youngstown State 3.7 MVFC 7.0 0.0% 10 Sacramento State 3.0 Big Sky 7.4 0.0% 11 Austin Peay 2.9 UAC 8.6 83.5% 12 Incarnate Word 2.8 Southland 8.0 26.9% 13 UC Davis 2.7 Big Sky 6.4 0.0% 14 South Dakota 2.4 MVFC 8.6 3.7% 15 North Dakota 1.8 MVFC 7.0 0.0% 16 Delaware 1.3 CAA 8.4 22.3% 17 Richmond 0.8 CAA 7.3 19.7% 18 Villanova 0.7 CAA 8.3 16.6% 19 Albany 0.0 CAA 8.7 28.8% 20 Illinois State -0.4 MVFC 6.3 0.0% 21 Weber State -0.5 Big Sky 5.3 0.0% 22 Chattanooga -0.7 Southern 7.0 0.1% 23 Central Arkansas -0.8 UAC 7.1 13.4% 24 Samford -2.3 Southern 6.1 0.0% 25 Yale -2.3 Ivy 6.2 17.5% 26 Tarleton -2.7 UAC 7.5 0.0% 27 Eastern Washington -2.9 Big Sky 4.7 0.0% 28 Mercer -3.2 Southern 7.5 0.0% 29 Elon -3.2 CAA 6.2 12.6% 30 Southern Utah -3.3 UAC 5.3 0.0% 31 Harvard -3.4 Ivy 8.1 54.7% 32 Holy Cross -3.6 Patriot 7.1 77.5% 33 Southeast Missouri State -4.3 Big South-OVC 5.1 25.0% 34 Missouri State -4.7 MVFC 3.3 0.0% 35 New Hampshire -4.9 CAA 5.3 0.0% 36 Northern Arizona -4.9 Big Sky 4.2 0.0% 37 Rhode Island -5.1 CAA 6.5 0.0% 38 Abilene Christian -5.1 UAC 5.5 0.0% 39 Monmouth -5.1 CAA 4.9 0.0% 40 Portland State -5.1 Big Sky 5.0 0.0% 41 Western Carolina -5.5 Southern 7.5 0.1% 42 Nicholls -6.3 Southland 5.3 65.9% 43 UT Martin -6.8 Big South-OVC 7.8 38.5% 44 Eastern Kentucky -7.0 UAC 4.9 3.1% 45 North Carolina Central -7.3 MEAC 9.6 83.4% 46 William & Mary -7.3 CAA 6.1 0.0% 47 Stephen F. Austin -7.4 UAC 3.9 0.0% 48 Florida A&M -8.0 SWAC 10.6 72.8% 49 Gardner-Webb -8.3 Big South-OVC 6.5 34.0% 50 Princeton -8.9 Ivy 4.9 6.2% 51 Dartmouth -9.5 Ivy 5.4 13.6% 52 Penn -9.7 Ivy 6.8 8.0% 53 Fordham -9.9 Patriot 7.2 0.7% 54 Southeastern Louisiana -10.5 Southland 3.2 0.0% 55 Towson -11.4 CAA 4.6 0.0% 56 Lafayette -12.6 Patriot 8.2 21.2% 57 Bryant -12.8 Big South-OVC 5.1 1.0% 58 Jackson State -13.2 SWAC 7.7 0.0% 59 Tennessee State -13.7 Big South-OVC 7.2 0.5% 60 Campbell -13.9 CAA 4.9 0.0% 61 St. Thomas -14.5 Pioneer 7.6 5.1% 62 Eastern Illinois -15.2 Big South-OVC 7.3 0.6% 63 Indiana State -15.5 MVFC 1.0 0.0% 64 Lamar -15.5 Southland 6.0 7.2% 65 Kennesaw State -15.6 FCS Independents 3.0 0.0% 66 Idaho State -15.7 Big Sky 3.2 0.0% 67 Duquesne -16.3 NEC 7.4 95.9% 68 Brown -16.3 Ivy 4.9 0.0% 69 East Tennessee State -16.4 Southern 3.0 0.0% 70 North Alabama -16.5 UAC 3.0 0.0% 71 VMI -16.6 Southern 4.3 0.0% 72 Alcorn State -16.6 SWAC 7.1 19.0% 73 Utah Tech -17.1 UAC 2.3 0.0% 74 Davidson -17.4 Pioneer 8.7 69.5% 75 Charleston Southern -17.5 Big South-OVC 4.9 0.5% 76 Murray State -17.6 MVFC 2.2 0.0% 77 Butler -17.7 Pioneer 7.7 0.0% 78 Maine -17.7 CAA 2.1 0.0% 79 Howard -17.8 MEAC 5.0 10.4% 80 Saint Francis (PA) -18.0 NEC 3.7 0.0% 81 Alabama State -18.4 SWAC 7.4 0.0% 82 Wofford -18.4 Southern 0.8 0.0% 83 Tennessee Tech -18.9 Big South-OVC 3.6 0.0% 84 Merrimack -19.0 NEC 5.3 2.6% 85 Columbia -19.0 Ivy 3.0 0.0% 86 Hampton -20.0 CAA 5.4 0.0% 87 Northern Colorado -20.3 Big Sky 0.3 0.0% 88 Colgate -21.0 Patriot 4.9 0.2% 89 Southern -21.0 SWAC 6.4 6.6% 90 Cornell -21.4 Ivy 3.7 0.0% 91 Morgan State -21.5 MEAC 3.8 2.4% 92 Cal Poly -21.6 Big Sky 3.1 0.0% 93 South Carolina State -21.8 MEAC 5.0 3.8% 94 LIU -21.9 NEC 4.5 1.5% 95 Texas Southern -22.3 SWAC 3.4 0.0% 96 Lehigh -22.9 Patriot 2.7 0.0% 97 Drake -22.9 Pioneer 7.2 25.4% 98 North Carolina A&T -23.2 CAA 1.4 0.0% 99 McNeese -23.5 Southland 0.9 0.0% 100 Bucknell -23.9 Patriot 4.3 0.0% 101 Norfolk State -23.9 MEAC 3.1 0.0% 102 Lindenwood -23.9 Big South-OVC 3.3 0.0% 103 Alabama A&M -24.0 SWAC 5.4 0.0% 104 Texas A&M-Commerce -24.0 Southland 1.2 0.0% 105 Grambling State -24.7 SWAC 5.2 0.5% 106 Georgetown -25.1 Patriot 4.4 0.4% 107 Houston Christian -26.5 Southland 4.4 0.0% 108 Robert Morris -26.8 Big South-OVC 3.6 0.0% 109 San Diego -27.1 Pioneer 4.0 0.0% 110 Prairie View A&M -27.4 SWAC 4.6 1.2% 111 Bethune-Cookman -28.2 SWAC 2.6 0.0% 112 The Citadel -28.3 Southern 0.5 0.0% 113 Sacred Heart -29.3 NEC 2.0 0.0% 114 Northwestern State -29.4 Southland 0.0 0.0% 115 Central Connecticut State -29.5 NEC 3.5 0.0% 116 Stony Brook -29.8 CAA 0.0 0.0% 117 Delaware State -30.2 MEAC 1.5 0.0% 118 Stonehill -30.7 NEC 3.5 0.0% 119 Valparaiso -31.3 Pioneer 2.8 0.0% 120 Dayton -31.4 Pioneer 2.7 0.0% 121 Western Illinois -32.0 MVFC 0.1 0.0% 122 Marist -32.3 Pioneer 4.8 0.0% 123 Wagner -32.5 NEC 3.9 0.0% 124 Morehead State -34.4 Pioneer 3.7 0.0% 125 Mississippi Valley State -37.7 SWAC 1.3 0.0% 126 Stetson -38.3 Pioneer 3.5 0.0% 127 Presbyterian -38.7 Pioneer 3.6 0.0% 128 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -40.8 SWAC 1.3 0.0%