Bowl Projections: Week 10, 2023

Our bowl projections are live through Week 9’s games, and we’ve included them below, with our full ratings and probabilities through Week 9 also included below (for archival purposes). Notes:

The CFP teams stay the same, but with Kansas State’s big win and Oklahoma’s loss, Kansas State is now the Big 12 favorite in our model’s simulations, even if their average final ranking is worse than those of Oklahoma and Texas. The result of this is that Oklahoma is bumped from the New Year’s Six and K-State takes their place.
We’re now only one bowl-eligible team short, or three, depending on whether you count James Madison and Jacksonville State, who appear highly likely to have spots to fill. As we’ve been doing, we took the closest team to a 50% bowl-eligibility probability to fill this final spot. That’s Appalachian State.
Teams entering the bowl mix: Florida Atlantic, San Jose State, Appalachian State.
Teams exiting the bowl mix: Eastern Michigan, Wake Forest, UCF.
At 33^rd in Movelor’s rankings, Arkansas is the best team projected to miss a bowl. At 112^th, Bowling Green is the worst team projected to make a bowl.
We’ll be running our model’s simulations again after tonight’s rankings and tonight’s games. Bowl projections will be updated accordingly. Our latest can always be found, again, at this link.

The projections, then this week’s ratings and probabilities:

Date	Bowl		Team 1			Team 2	T1 Conference		T2 Conference
1/1/24	Rose Bowl (CFP Semifinal)		Ohio State			Georgia	Big Ten		SEC
1/1/24	Sugar Bowl (CFP Semifinal)		Michigan			Florida State	Big Ten		ACC
1/1/24	Fiesta Bowl		Washington			Notre Dame	Pac-12		FBS Independents
1/1/24	ReliaQuest Bowl		Tennessee			Wisconsin	SEC		Big Ten
1/1/24	Citrus Bowl		Mississippi			Iowa	SEC		Big Ten
12/30/23	Orange Bowl		Louisville			Penn State	ACC		Big Ten
12/30/23	Peach Bowl		Oregon			Alabama	Pac-12		SEC
12/30/23	Music City Bowl		Minnesota			Texas A&M	Big Ten		SEC
12/30/23	Arizona Bowl		Ohio			Boise State	MAC		Mountain West
12/29/23	Cotton Bowl		Kansas State			Air Force	Big 12		Mountain West
12/29/23	Gator Bowl		Boston College			Auburn	ACC		SEC
12/29/23	Sun Bowl		Miami (FL)			USC	ACC		Pac-12
12/29/23	Liberty Bowl		Kansas			Missouri	Big 12		SEC
12/28/23	Pinstripe Bowl		NC State			Nebraska	ACC		Big Ten
12/28/23	Pop-Tarts Bowl		North Carolina			Oklahoma	ACC		Big 12
12/28/23	Fenway Bowl		Clemson			SMU	ACC		AAC
12/28/23	Alamo Bowl		Texas			Oregon State	Big 12		Pac-12
12/27/23	Duke’s Mayo Bowl		Syracuse			Kentucky	ACC		SEC
12/27/23	Military Bowl		Virginia Tech			Tulane	ACC		AAC
12/27/23	Holiday Bowl		Utah			Duke	Pac-12		ACC
12/27/23	Texas Bowl		Oklahoma State			LSU	Big 12		SEC
12/26/23	Guaranteed Rate Bowl		West Virginia			Maryland	Big 12		Big Ten
12/26/23	Quick Lane Bowl		Toledo			Troy	MAC		Sun Belt
12/26/23	First Responder Bowl		TCU			UTSA	Big 12		AAC
12/23/23	Hawaii Bowl		UNLV			Memphis	Mountain West		AAC
12/23/23	Armed Forces Bowl		BYU			Georgia State	Big 12		Sun Belt
12/23/23	68 Ventures Bowl		USF			Louisiana	AAC		Sun Belt
12/23/23	Birmingham Bowl		Coastal Carolina			Mississippi State	Sun Belt		SEC
12/23/23	Las Vegas Bowl		Rutgers			Arizona	Big Ten		Pac-12
12/23/23	Famous Idaho Potato Bowl		Miami (OH)			Wyoming	MAC		Mountain West
12/23/23	Camellia Bowl		Western Kentucky			South Alabama	Conference USA		Sun Belt
12/22/23	Gasparilla Bowl		Georgia Southern			Florida	Sun Belt		SEC
12/21/23	Boca Raton Bowl		Rice			Old Dominion	AAC		Sun Belt
12/19/23	Frisco Bowl		Florida Atlantic			Texas State	AAC		Sun Belt
12/18/23	Bahamas Bowl		Jacksonville State			Northern Illinois	Conference USA		MAC
12/16/23	Myrtle Beach Bowl		Bowling Green State			Marshall	MAC		Sun Belt
12/16/23	Independence Bowl		Iowa State			Washington State	Big 12		Pac-12
12/16/23	New Orleans Bowl		Liberty			James Madison	Conference USA		Sun Belt
12/16/23	Celebration Bowl		North Carolina Central			Florida A&M	MEAC		SWAC
12/16/23	LA Bowl		Fresno State			UCLA	Mountain West		Pac-12
12/16/23	New Mexico Bowl		New Mexico State			San Jose State	Conference USA		Mountain West
12/16/23	Cure Bowl		Utah State			Appalachian State	Mountain West		Sun Belt
Rank		Team		Movelor	Conference			Average Final CFP Ranking		Make Playoff	Expected Wins	Bowl Eligibility	Make Conference Championship	Win Conference
2		Ohio State		43.7	Big Ten			3		81.0%	11.7	100.0%	45.7%	40.5%
1		Michigan		45.0	Big Ten			3		72.4%	11.5	100.0%	45.9%	41.8%
6		Florida State		37.9	ACC			4		73.4%	12.5	100.0%	99.9%	76.8%
3		Georgia		40.4	SEC			6		43.7%	11.8	100.0%	92.5%	48.5%
7		Oregon		36.9	Pac-12			7		35.7%	11.0	100.0%	79.2%	51.4%
5		Penn State		39.3	Big Ten			8		23.0%	10.3	100.0%	8.4%	7.3%
4		Alabama		39.6	SEC			9		20.6%	10.7	100.0%	74.3%	37.6%
14		Washington		30.9	Pac-12			10		19.5%	10.9	100.0%	74.2%	30.5%
9		Notre Dame		35.4	FBS Independents			10		0.6%	9.7	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12		Texas		33.4	Big 12			12		12.0%	9.9	100.0%	39.9%	23.4%
13		Oklahoma		31.7	Big 12			12		7.8%	10.2	100.0%	51.4%	24.2%
17		Mississippi		28.6	SEC			13		2.7%	9.4	100.0%	2.2%	0.8%
10		LSU		35.0	SEC			13		4.4%	9.0	100.0%	23.1%	10.4%
8		Kansas State		35.9	Big 12			15		1.4%	9.4	100.0%	52.1%	33.2%
15		Oregon State		29.8	Pac-12			19		0.3%	8.7	100.0%	8.8%	5.3%
11		Tennessee		33.5	SEC			19		0.0%	9.1	100.0%	4.3%	1.8%
19		Louisville		26.5	ACC			19		1.3%	10.2	100.0%	71.3%	18.5%
28		Air Force		23.0	Mountain West			19		0.1%	11.9	100.0%	93.7%	60.8%
66		Liberty		14.1	Conference USA			19		0.0%	12.1	100.0%	100.0%	69.6%
18		Utah		26.9	Pac-12			23		0.0%	8.7	100.0%	8.0%	3.1%
26		Missouri		24.1	SEC			24		0.2%	8.6	100.0%	3.1%	0.7%
16		Texas A&M		29.0	SEC			26		0.0%	7.5	99.9%	0.4%	0.1%
29		USC		22.8	Pac-12			26		0.1%	8.1	100.0%	16.4%	4.8%
20		UCLA		25.4	Pac-12			27		0.0%	8.6	100.0%	6.6%	2.5%
21		Iowa		25.2	Big Ten			27		0.0%	9.0	100.0%	39.6%	4.7%
46		James Madison		18.9	Sun Belt			NR		0.0%	11.0	92.5%	0.0%	0.0%
74		Toledo		11.9	MAC			NR		0.0%	10.4	100.0%	88.5%	45.4%
45		Tulane		19.1	American			NR		0.0%	10.3	100.0%	61.0%	29.1%
44		Fresno State		19.8	Mountain West			NR		0.0%	10.3	100.0%	54.7%	22.5%
38		Troy		21.1	Sun Belt			NR		0.0%	10.0	100.0%	79.2%	57.3%
72		Miami (OH)		12.3	MAC			NR		0.0%	9.9	100.0%	84.9%	43.2%
30		SMU		22.8	American			NR		0.0%	9.6	100.0%	68.7%	41.8%
58		Memphis		15.7	American			NR		0.0%	9.1	100.0%	21.4%	8.8%
22		Oklahoma State		25.1	Big 12			NR		0.0%	8.7	100.0%	35.3%	11.5%
84		Jacksonville State		9.8	Conference USA			NR		0.0%	8.6	85.7%	0.0%	0.0%
78		Georgia Southern		11.2	Sun Belt			NR		0.0%	8.6	100.0%	48.8%	15.9%
40		North Carolina		20.8	ACC			NR		0.0%	8.5	100.0%	3.9%	0.9%
77		UNLV		11.4	Mountain West			NR		0.0%	8.2	100.0%	15.9%	5.1%
87		Ohio		8.6	MAC			NR		0.0%	8.2	100.0%	2.8%	1.3%
23		Wisconsin		24.5	Big Ten			NR		0.0%	7.9	99.2%	39.0%	4.2%
54		UTSA		16.8	American			NR		0.0%	7.9	98.6%	43.5%	19.0%
81		Wyoming		11.2	Mountain West			NR		0.0%	7.9	99.4%	7.2%	1.6%
42		Kansas		20.6	Big 12			NR		0.0%	7.8	100.0%	2.3%	0.8%
73		Georgia State		12.1	Sun Belt			NR		0.0%	7.7	100.0%	15.6%	5.2%
79		Louisiana		11.2	Sun Belt			NR		0.0%	7.7	99.3%	9.1%	4.8%
106		New Mexico State		4.4	Conference USA			NR		0.0%	7.6	100.0%	38.2%	10.1%
27		Arizona		23.9	Pac-12			NR		0.0%	7.6	97.7%	6.7%	2.4%
39		Duke		20.9	ACC			NR		0.0%	7.6	97.3%	4.9%	1.0%
53		Miami (FL)		17.0	ACC			NR		0.0%	7.5	100.0%	0.9%	0.2%
32		West Virginia		22.0	Big 12			NR		0.0%	7.4	97.3%	4.6%	1.3%
88		Western Kentucky		8.4	Conference USA			NR		0.0%	7.4	95.7%	60.6%	20.0%
75		Coastal Carolina		11.7	Sun Belt			NR		0.0%	7.3	95.1%	16.1%	5.1%
50		Rutgers		17.8	Big Ten			NR		0.0%	6.9	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
25		Iowa State		24.2	Big 12			NR		0.0%	6.9	90.9%	14.1%	5.5%
37		Minnesota		21.2	Big Ten			NR		0.0%	6.9	91.9%	8.5%	0.7%
57		NC State		15.8	ACC			NR		0.0%	6.8	87.6%	2.0%	0.3%
48		Nebraska		18.2	Big Ten			NR		0.0%	6.8	86.4%	12.2%	0.9%
62		South Alabama		14.6	Sun Belt			NR		0.0%	6.7	90.3%	10.4%	6.2%
99		Northern Illinois		6.1	MAC			NR		0.0%	6.6	84.2%	8.8%	4.1%
36		Kentucky		21.3	SEC			NR		0.0%	6.5	80.9%	0.0%	0.0%
110		Texas State		3.4	Sun Belt			NR		0.0%	6.5	80.2%	0.9%	0.5%
63		Syracuse		14.5	ACC			NR		0.0%	6.4	79.4%	0.0%	0.0%
49		Washington State		18.1	Pac-12			NR		0.0%	6.3	84.3%	0.0%	0.0%
34		Auburn		21.7	SEC			NR		0.0%	6.3	85.5%	0.0%	0.0%
64		Boise State		14.4	Mountain West			NR		0.0%	6.3	77.3%	18.9%	7.3%
93		Boston College		7.6	ACC			NR		0.0%	6.2	72.5%	0.5%	0.1%
31		Clemson		22.5	ACC			NR		0.0%	6.2	76.7%	0.0%	0.0%
41		Florida		20.7	SEC			NR		0.0%	6.2	75.4%	0.2%	0.0%
43		Maryland		20.0	Big Ten			NR		0.0%	6.1	74.6%	0.0%	0.0%
52		Virginia Tech		17.0	ACC			NR		0.0%	6.1	68.8%	15.8%	2.1%
59		BYU		15.4	Big 12			NR		0.0%	6.0	65.0%	0.1%	0.0%
107		USF		4.3	American			NR		0.0%	6.0	77.3%	0.2%	0.1%
112		Bowling Green State		2.1	MAC			NR		0.0%	5.9	64.7%	1.8%	0.9%
51		Mississippi State		17.6	SEC			NR		0.0%	5.9	65.4%	0.0%	0.0%
24		TCU		24.4	Big 12			NR		0.0%	5.9	62.6%	0.1%	0.1%
92		Florida Atlantic		7.7	American			NR		0.0%	5.9	60.6%	4.5%	1.2%
103		Marshall		5.2	Sun Belt			NR		0.0%	5.8	58.1%	0.5%	0.2%
69		San Jose State		13.2	Mountain West			NR		0.0%	5.7	57.3%	8.6%	2.6%
90		Old Dominion		8.3	Sun Belt			NR		0.0%	5.6	51.0%	15.2%	3.9%
101		Rice		5.4	American			NR		0.0%	5.5	51.0%	0.3%	0.0%
98		Appalachian State		6.2	Sun Belt			NR		0.0%	5.5	47.6%	3.9%	0.9%
95		Utah State		7.1	Mountain West			NR		0.0%	5.5	50.0%	0.1%	0.0%
113		Eastern Michigan		1.5	MAC			NR		0.0%	5.4	41.0%	0.3%	0.1%
89		Navy		8.3	American			NR		0.0%	5.3	42.4%	0.3%	0.1%
67		Wake Forest		14.0	ACC			NR		0.0%	5.3	38.2%	0.0%	0.0%
111		Colorado State		2.8	Mountain West			NR		0.0%	5.2	39.0%	0.0%	0.0%
118		Central Michigan		-0.8	MAC			NR		0.0%	5.1	30.9%	1.7%	0.6%
82		Northwestern		10.9	Big Ten			NR		0.0%	5.1	30.6%	0.5%	0.0%
120		Arkansas State		-1.6	Sun Belt			NR		0.0%	5.1	30.2%	0.3%	0.1%
85		Georgia Tech		9.7	ACC			NR		0.0%	5.0	26.8%	0.7%	0.1%
56		Illinois		15.9	Big Ten			NR		0.0%	5.0	28.5%	0.2%	0.0%
94		Western Michigan		7.2	MAC			NR		0.0%	4.9	26.9%	0.6%	0.3%
55		UCF		16.2	Big 12			NR		0.0%	4.8	27.9%	0.0%	0.0%
35		Texas Tech		21.6	Big 12			NR		0.0%	4.8	26.4%	0.1%	0.0%
86		North Texas		8.6	American			NR		0.0%	4.8	23.9%	0.0%	0.0%
47		South Carolina		18.9	SEC			NR		0.0%	4.7	21.7%	0.0%	0.0%
70		Houston		13.2	Big 12			NR		0.0%	4.7	21.3%	0.0%	0.0%
109		Buffalo		3.7	MAC			NR		0.0%	4.6	17.7%	10.4%	4.2%
33		Arkansas		21.8	SEC			NR		0.0%	4.5	18.0%	0.0%	0.0%
115		Middle Tennessee		0.8	Conference USA			NR		0.0%	4.5	16.1%	1.0%	0.2%
97		Colorado		6.2	Pac-12			NR		0.0%	4.5	8.4%	0.0%	0.0%
116		Tulsa		-0.6	American			NR		0.0%	4.4	12.0%	0.0%	0.0%
65		California		14.3	Pac-12			NR		0.0%	4.4	9.7%	0.0%	0.0%
108		San Diego State		3.8	Mountain West			NR		0.0%	4.3	14.4%	0.1%	0.0%
60		Baylor		15.3	Big 12			NR		0.0%	4.3	10.1%	0.0%	0.0%
133		FIU		-14.2	Conference USA			NR		0.0%	4.2	1.8%	0.0%	0.0%
96		UAB		6.6	American			NR		0.0%	4.2	10.8%	0.0%	0.0%
121		Louisiana Tech		-2.0	Conference USA			NR		0.0%	4.0	2.0%	0.0%	0.0%
114		Ball State		1.0	MAC			NR		0.0%	3.8	4.8%	0.1%	0.1%
123		UTEP		-3.8	Conference USA			NR		0.0%	3.7	2.5%	0.2%	0.1%
61		Purdue		14.7	Big Ten			NR		0.0%	3.7	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
119		Nevada		-0.9	Mountain West			NR		0.0%	3.6	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%
76		Virginia		11.6	ACC			NR		0.0%	3.5	2.2%	0.2%	0.0%
71		Pitt		12.6	ACC			NR		0.0%	3.4	0.9%	0.0%	0.0%
128		New Mexico		-8.0	Mountain West			NR		0.0%	3.4	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%
83		Cincinnati		10.2	Big 12			NR		0.0%	3.3	1.8%	0.0%	0.0%
104		Army		4.8	FBS Independents			NR		0.0%	3.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
91		Indiana		8.0	Big Ten			NR		0.0%	3.1	1.3%	0.0%	0.0%
68		Michigan State		13.6	Big Ten			NR		0.0%	3.1	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
132		UMass		-12.8	FBS Independents			NR		0.0%	3.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
125		Charlotte		-5.0	American			NR		0.0%	3.0	0.8%	0.0%	0.0%
117		UConn		-0.7	FBS Independents			NR		0.0%	2.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
100		East Carolina		6.0	American			NR		0.0%	2.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
130		Hawaii		-8.8	Mountain West			NR		0.0%	2.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
124		Louisiana Monroe		-4.3	Sun Belt			NR		0.0%	2.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
80		Arizona State		11.2	Pac-12			NR		0.0%	2.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
102		Stanford		5.3	Pac-12			NR		0.0%	2.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
131		Temple		-12.0	American			NR		0.0%	2.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
105		Vanderbilt		4.7	SEC			NR		0.0%	2.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
126		Kent State		-7.5	MAC			NR		0.0%	2.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
129		Akron		-8.6	MAC			NR		0.0%	2.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
122		Southern Miss		-3.6	Sun Belt			NR		0.0%	1.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
127		Sam Houston		-7.5	Conference USA			NR		0.0%	1.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Rank	Team	Movelor	Conference	Projected Wins	Conference Championship
1	South Dakota State	23.7	MVFC	10.7	91.8%
2	Montana State	15.1	Big Sky	8.5	38.6%
3	North Dakota State	12.3	MVFC	7.5	0.5%
4	Idaho	9.0	Big Sky	8.6	42.4%
5	Montana	8.1	Big Sky	8.8	17.5%
6	Southern Illinois	7.7	MVFC	8.0	0.2%
7	Incarnate Word	5.8	Southland	8.9	83.3%
8	Furman	5.7	Southern	9.5	77.6%
9	Sacramento State	5.4	Big Sky	7.8	0.8%
10	Youngstown State	5.2	MVFC	7.0	0.6%
11	Northern Iowa	4.3	MVFC	7.0	4.4%
12	Austin Peay	4.3	UAC	8.4	74.8%
13	Delaware	3.8	CAA	9.3	67.8%
14	North Dakota	3.1	MVFC	7.1	0.2%
15	UC Davis	1.1	Big Sky	6.0	0.0%
16	Richmond	0.8	CAA	7.3	11.6%
17	South Dakota	-0.1	MVFC	7.7	2.4%
18	Illinois State	-0.3	MVFC	5.8	0.0%
19	Chattanooga	-0.9	Southern	7.4	22.3%
20	Weber State	-1.0	Big Sky	4.9	0.0%
21	Southern Utah	-1.3	UAC	5.3	0.1%
22	Southeast Missouri State	-1.3	Big South-OVC	6.2	59.7%
23	New Hampshire	-1.5	CAA	6.0	0.0%
24	Holy Cross	-1.5	Patriot	7.1	35.2%
25	Villanova	-1.5	CAA	7.5	6.3%
26	Central Arkansas	-1.7	UAC	6.8	10.5%
27	Samford	-2.3	Southern	6.1	0.0%
28	Albany	-3.0	CAA	8.2	10.2%
29	Mercer	-3.3	Southern	7.5	0.0%
30	Portland State	-3.6	Big Sky	5.4	0.4%
31	Western Carolina	-3.8	Southern	7.4	0.0%
32	Northern Arizona	-4.1	Big Sky	4.4	0.3%
33	Yale	-4.3	Ivy	5.8	12.7%
34	Stephen F. Austin	-4.5	UAC	4.5	0.0%
35	Harvard	-4.6	Ivy	7.9	42.9%
36	Missouri State	-4.8	MVFC	3.8	0.0%
37	Rhode Island	-5.0	CAA	6.5	0.0%
38	Eastern Washington	-5.1	Big Sky	4.5	0.0%
39	UT Martin	-5.2	Big South-OVC	7.6	18.3%
40	William & Mary	-5.5	CAA	6.6	0.3%
41	North Carolina Central	-5.6	MEAC	9.6	72.7%
42	Tarleton	-5.6	UAC	7.0	0.1%
43	Elon	-5.7	CAA	5.4	3.8%
44	Abilene Christian	-6.4	UAC	5.4	0.2%
45	Monmouth	-7.2	CAA	4.7	0.0%
46	Fordham	-8.0	Patriot	7.2	0.5%
47	Princeton	-8.2	Ivy	5.4	24.0%
48	Eastern Kentucky	-8.4	UAC	5.0	14.4%
49	Gardner-Webb	-8.8	Big South-OVC	6.0	7.9%
50	Florida A&M	-9.2	SWAC	10.4	68.9%
51	Nicholls	-9.2	Southland	4.3	7.2%
52	Southeastern Louisiana	-9.4	Southland	3.2	0.0%
53	Lafayette	-10.0	Patriot	9.2	63.8%
54	Dartmouth	-10.2	Ivy	4.9	9.1%
55	Penn	-10.6	Ivy	6.6	7.2%
56	Tennessee State	-11.2	Big South-OVC	8.0	7.5%
57	Jackson State	-11.3	SWAC	7.6	0.6%
58	Campbell	-11.8	CAA	4.9	0.0%
59	Bryant	-12.2	Big South-OVC	5.5	6.6%
60	Towson	-12.6	CAA	4.2	0.0%
61	East Tennessee State	-14.1	Southern	3.8	0.0%
62	Brown	-14.3	Ivy	5.3	3.3%
63	St. Thomas	-14.5	Pioneer	7.7	13.1%
64	Duquesne	-14.7	NEC	7.3	91.2%
65	Idaho State	-15.3	Big Sky	3.5	0.0%
66	Maine	-15.4	CAA	2.9	0.0%
67	North Alabama	-15.6	UAC	3.2	0.0%
68	Utah Tech	-15.7	UAC	2.5	0.0%
69	Saint Francis (PA)	-15.8	NEC	4.5	3.1%
70	Howard	-16.0	MEAC	5.6	23.4%
71	Eastern Illinois	-16.2	Big South-OVC	6.8	0.0%
72	Indiana State	-17.0	MVFC	1.0	0.0%
73	Kennesaw State	-17.3	FCS Independents	3.2	0.0%
74	Lamar	-17.5	Southland	5.7	9.6%
75	Columbia	-17.8	Ivy	3.2	0.0%
76	Merrimack	-18.2	NEC	5.6	4.3%
77	Southern	-18.6	SWAC	7.0	17.0%
78	Davidson	-18.7	Pioneer	8.4	61.8%
79	Murray State	-18.8	MVFC	2.3	0.0%
80	VMI	-18.9	Southern	3.5	0.0%
81	Alcorn State	-19.0	SWAC	6.5	9.9%
82	Cal Poly	-19.4	Big Sky	3.3	0.0%
83	Charleston Southern	-20.0	Big South-OVC	4.2	0.0%
84	Morgan State	-20.0	MEAC	3.7	2.5%
85	Wofford	-20.1	Southern	0.9	0.0%
86	Alabama State	-20.2	SWAC	7.0	0.2%
87	Butler	-20.4	Pioneer	7.4	0.2%
88	Cornell	-20.5	Ivy	3.9	0.9%
89	Tennessee Tech	-20.6	Big South-OVC	3.7	0.1%
90	North Carolina A&T	-21.9	CAA	1.7	0.0%
91	Texas A&M-Commerce	-22.0	Southland	1.6	0.0%
92	Northern Colorado	-22.3	Big Sky	0.3	0.0%
93	Hampton	-22.5	CAA	4.5	0.0%
94	Alabama A&M	-22.8	SWAC	5.7	0.0%
95	Lindenwood	-22.8	Big South-OVC	3.7	0.0%
96	Grambling State	-22.9	SWAC	5.6	2.7%
97	Colgate	-23.6	Patriot	4.0	0.2%
98	South Carolina State	-23.7	MEAC	4.3	1.5%
99	Drake	-24.0	Pioneer	6.8	24.8%
100	LIU	-24.2	NEC	3.6	0.6%
101	Texas Southern	-24.2	SWAC	3.5	0.0%
102	McNeese	-24.7	Southland	1.0	0.0%
103	Lehigh	-24.9	Patriot	2.7	0.2%
104	Georgetown	-25.1	Patriot	4.5	0.2%
105	Norfolk State	-25.5	MEAC	3.2	0.0%
106	Bucknell	-25.9	Patriot	4.2	0.0%
107	Houston Christian	-26.5	Southland	4.4	0.0%
108	Stony Brook	-27.7	CAA	0.1	0.0%
109	Central Connecticut State	-27.7	NEC	4.0	0.0%
110	The Citadel	-28.2	Southern	0.6	0.0%
111	San Diego	-28.5	Pioneer	3.5	0.0%
112	Dayton	-29.2	Pioneer	3.4	0.0%
113	Bethune-Cookman	-29.2	SWAC	2.3	0.0%
114	Prairie View A&M	-29.4	SWAC	4.3	0.8%
115	Northwestern State	-29.4	Southland	0.0	0.0%
116	Robert Morris	-29.7	Big South-OVC	2.6	0.0%
117	Western Illinois	-30.6	MVFC	0.2	0.0%
118	Stonehill	-30.7	NEC	3.5	0.0%
119	Sacred Heart	-31.1	NEC	1.5	0.0%
120	Marist	-31.1	Pioneer	5.2	0.1%
121	Delaware State	-31.7	MEAC	1.6	0.0%
122	Morehead State	-31.7	Pioneer	4.1	0.0%
123	Valparaiso	-33.6	Pioneer	2.2	0.0%
124	Wagner	-34.0	NEC	4.0	0.8%
125	Mississippi Valley State	-36.6	SWAC	1.6	0.0%
126	Stetson	-37.0	Pioneer	3.8	0.0%
127	Presbyterian	-37.4	Pioneer	3.9	0.0%
128	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-38.9	SWAC	1.5	0.0%

Bowl Projections: Week 10, 2023

Joe Stunardi

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Joe Stunardi

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