Below is our college basketball model’s seed list. We’ll have a full explanation up soon as to how our model works, but the short version is that it simulates the rest of the season 1,000 times, then lines up the teams in order of their median finish.
This list exists for those of you who want a quick overview of how our model views the field, and so that our counterparts at Bracket Matrix (which has all the brackets, if you want to take a look) can process our list quickly. It doesn’t account for bracketing principles, so if it’s bracketology you want, you may prefer these:
The list currently updates weekly. Automatic bids are marked with an asterisk (*). To see how the model has processed changing data throughout the season, you can reference our archive.
Last Updated: Tuesday, December 8th
| Seed | Team | Team | Team | Team |
| 1 | Gonzaga* | Baylor* | Texas | Villanova* |
| 2 | West Virginia | Houston* | Kansas | Duke* |
| 3 | Ohio State | Michigan State | Wisconsin* | Texas Tech |
| 4 | North Carolina | Louisville | Florida State | Michigan |
| 5 | Indiana | Creighton | Iowa | Virginia Tech |
| 6 | Clemson | Florida* | Oklahoma | Tennessee |
| 7 | San Diego State* | Virginia | Maryland | Marquette |
| 8 | Oregon* | Illinois | Rutgers | Purdue |
| 9 | Arizona State | Missouri | Saint Louis* | Stanford |
| 10 | LSU | UCLA | Minnesota | UConn |
| 11 | NC State | Arkansas | Arizona | |
| 11 (First Four) | Alabama | SMU | ||
| 12 (First Four) | USC | Xavier | ||
| 12 | Furman* | Loyola* | South Dakota State* | |
| 13 | Western Kentucky* | Vermont* | Toledo* | Georgia State* |
| 14 | New Mexico State* | Abilene Christian* | Liberty* | UC-Santa Barbara* |
| 15 | Belmont* | Winthrop* | Wright State* | Drexel* |
| 16 | Eastern Washington* | Siena* | ||
| 16 (First Four) | Colgate* | Norfolk State* | Texas Southern* | St. Francis (PA)* |