Below is our college basketball model’s seed list. We’ll have a full explanation up soon as to how our model works, but the short version is that it simulates the rest of the season 1,000 times, then lines up the teams in order of their median finish.
This list exists for those of you who want a quick overview of how our model views the field, and so that our counterparts at Bracket Matrix (which has all the brackets, if you want to take a look) can process our list quickly. It doesn’t account for bracketing principles, so if it’s bracketology you want, you may prefer these:
The list currently updates weekly. Automatic bids are marked with an asterisk (*). To see how the model has processed changing data throughout the season, you can reference our archive.
Last Updated: Tuesday, December 15th
| Seed | Team | Team | Team | Team |
| 1 | Gonzaga* | Baylor* | West Virginia | Texas |
| 2 | Iowa* | Villanova* | Florida State* | Kansas |
| 3 | Clemson | Houston* | Michigan | Rutgers |
| 4 | Wisconsin | Louisville | Ohio State | Texas Tech |
| 5 | Indiana | Tennessee* | Michigan State | Missouri |
| 6 | Oklahoma State | Illinois | Duke | North Carolina |
| 7 | Virginia | Marquette | Xavier | UCLA |
| 8 | San Diego State* | Oregon* | Creighton | Minnesota |
| 9 | Florida | Arkansas | Stanford | Oklahoma |
| 10 | USC | Purdue | Saint Louis* | Virginia Tech |
| 11 | NC State | Syracuse | LSU | |
| 11 (First Four) | Mississippi | Arizona | ||
| 12 (First Four) | Maryland | Penn State | ||
| 12 | Marshall* | Loyola* | Furman* | |
| 13 | Georgia State* | Wright State* | Toledo* | Vermont* |
| 14 | New Mexico State* | South Dakota State* | Winthrop* | Abilene Christian* |
| 15 | Murray State* | Liberty* | UC-Santa Barbara* | Siena* |
| 16 | Eastern Washington* | Drexel* | ||
| 16 (First Four) | Colgate* | Mount St. Mary’s* | Norfolk State* | Texas Southern* |