Below is our college basketball model’s seed list. We’ll have a full explanation up soon as to how our model works, but the short version is that it simulates the rest of the season 1,000 times, then lines up the teams in order of their median finish.
This list exists for those of you who want a quick overview of how our model views the field, and so that our counterparts at Bracket Matrix (which has all the brackets, if you want to take a look) can process our list quickly. It doesn’t account for bracketing principles, so if it’s bracketology you want, you may prefer these:
The list currently updates weekly. Automatic bids are marked with an asterisk (*).
Last Updated: Tuesday, November 24th
Seed | Team | Team | Team | Team |
1 | Gonzaga* | Duke* | Baylor* | Villanova* |
2 | Kansas | Wisconsin* | West Virginia | Texas Tech |
3 | Michigan State | Texas | Iowa | Ohio State |
4 | Creighton | Kentucky* | Virginia | Michigan |
5 | Tennessee | Illinois | Houston* | Florida State |
6 | North Carolina | Florida | Oregon | Purdue |
7 | Arizona State* | Indiana | Louisville | Rutgers |
8 | UCLA | Syracuse | Minnesota | San Diego State* |
9 | Oklahoma | Memphis | Virginia Tech | Marquette |
10 | LSU | Arizona | Stanford | Clemson |
11 | Miami | UConn | ||
11 (First Four) | Alabama | Mississippi | Seton Hall | Maryland |
12 | Saint Louis* | Loyola* | Furman* | Western Kentucky* |
13 | New Mexico State* | Vermont* | South Dakota State* | Murray State* |
14 | Georgia State* | Wright State* | Buffalo* | UC-Irvine* |
15 | Eastern Washington* | Winthrop* | Siena* | Hofstra* |
16 | Colgate* | Stephen F. Austin* | ||
16 (First Four) | Liberty* | Fairleigh Dickinson* | Texas Southern* | Norfolk State* |