Below is our college basketball model’s seed list. We’ll have a full explanation up soon as to how our model works, but the short version is that it simulates the rest of the season 1,000 times, then lines up the teams in order of their median finish.
This list exists for those of you who want a quick overview of how our model views the field, and so that our counterparts at Bracket Matrix (which has all the brackets, if you want to take a look) can process our list quickly. It doesn’t account for bracketing principles, so if it’s bracketology you want, you may prefer these:
The list currently updates weekly. Automatic bids are marked with an asterisk (*). To see how the model has processed changing data throughout the season, you can reference our archive.
Last Updated: Tuesday, January 5th
| Seed | Team | Team | Team | Team |
| 1 | Gonzaga* | Baylor* | Villanova* | Texas |
| 2 | Iowa* | Wisconsin | Houston* | Illinois |
| 3 | Michigan | Kansas | Tennessee* | West Virginia |
| 4 | Clemson | Creighton | Minnesota | Louisville |
| 5 | Oregon* | Rutgers | Duke* | Missouri |
| 6 | Florida | Ohio State | Saint Louis* | Virginia |
| 7 | San Diego State* | Indiana | Texas Tech | USC |
| 8 | Colorado | Florida State | UCLA | Oklahoma State |
| 9 | Alabama | Virginia Tech | Seton Hall | LSU |
| 10 | Syracuse | UConn | Stanford | Arkansas |
| 11 | Purdue | North Carolina | VCU | |
| 11 (First Four) | Drake | Xavier | ||
| 12 (First Four) | Oklahoma | North Carolina State | ||
| 12 | Loyola* | Winthrop* | Furman* | |
| 13 | Toledo* | Marshall* | Belmont* | South Dakota State* |
| 14 | Wright State* | Georgia State* | Abilene Christian* | Liberty* |
| 15 | Hofstra* | Siena* | New Mexico State* | UC-Irvine* |
| 16 | Eastern Washington* | Colgate* | ||
| 16 (First Four) | Vermont* | Bryant* | Texas Southern* | Norfolk State* |