Below is our college basketball model’s seed list. If you want a full explanation of the model, here you go. The short version is that it simulates the rest of the season 10,000 times, then lines up the teams in order of their median finish.
This list exists for those of you who want a quick overview of how our model views the field, and so that our counterparts at Bracket Matrix (which has all the brackets, if you want to take a look) can process our list quickly. It doesn’t account for bracketing principles, so if it’s bracketology you want, you may prefer these:
Automatic bids are marked with an asterisk (*). To see how the model has processed changing data throughout the season, you can reference our archive.
Last Updated: Monday, March 1st
| Seed | Team | Team | Team | Team |
| 1 | Gonzaga* | Michigan* | Baylor* | Alabama* |
| 2 | Ohio State | Illinois | West Virginia | Houston* |
| 3 | Iowa | Arkansas | Florida State* | Villanova* |
| 4 | Kansas | BYU | Clemson | Texas |
| 5 | USC | Purdue | San Diego State* | Colorado* |
| 6 | Virginia | Oklahoma State | Creighton | Florida |
| 7 | Texas Tech | St. Bonaventure* | Tennessee | Missouri |
| 8 | Wisconsin | Oklahoma | UCLA | Rutgers |
| 9 | Loyola* | LSU | Louisville | Maryland |
| 10 | VCU | Oregon | North Carolina | Boise State |
| 11 | Virginia Tech | UConn | Colgate* | Georgia Tech |
| 12 | Colorado State | |||
| 12 (First Four) | Xavier | SMU | Drake | Wichita State |
| 12 | UC-Santa Barbara* | |||
| 13 | Toledo* | Winthrop* | North Texas* | Belmont* |
| 14 | Wright State* | Furman* | Abilene Christian* | Liberty* |
| 15 | Georgia State* | Eastern Washington* | Siena* | South Dakota State* |
| 16 | Bryant* | Vermont* | ||
| 16 (First Four) | Grand Canyon* | James Madison* | Prairie View A&M* | Norfolk State* |
| Standby Replacement At-Large Teams | Richmond | Memphis | Seton Hall | Utah State |