Below is our college basketball model’s seed list. If you want a full explanation of the model, here you go. The short version is that it simulates the rest of the season 10,000 times, then lines up the teams in order of their median finish.
This list exists for those of you who want a quick overview of how our model views the field, and so that our counterparts at Bracket Matrix (which has all the brackets, if you want to take a look) can process our list quickly. It doesn’t account for bracketing principles, so if it’s bracketology you want, you may prefer these:
The list currently updates weekly. Automatic bids are marked with an asterisk (*). To see how the model has processed changing data throughout the season, you can reference our archive.
Last Updated: Friday, January 22nd
| Seed | Team | Team | Team | Team |
| 1 | Gonzaga* | Baylor* | Michigan | Houston* |
| 2 | Villanova* | Iowa* | Texas | Alabama* |
| 3 | Wisconsin | Virginia* | Kansas | Tennessee |
| 4 | Minnesota | Florida State | Illinois | West Virgini |
| 5 | UCLA | Ohio State | Colorado* | Texas Tech |
| 6 | Oregon | Purdue | Creighton | USC |
| 7 | Oklahoma State | Missouri | Virginia Tech | Louisville |
| 8 | Clemson | UConn | BYU | Indiana |
| 9 | Florida | LSU | Saint Louis* | Xavier |
| 10 | Oklahoma | North Carolina | Seton Hall | Loyola* |
| 11 | Boise State | San Diego State* | St. Bonaventure | Duke |
| 12 (First Four) | Drake | Stanford | Richmond | Arkansas |
| 12 | Western Kentucky* | Toledo* | ||
| 13 | Winthrop* | Belmont* | Furman* | Georgia State* |
| 14 | South Dakota State* | Colgate* | Wright State* | Siena* |
| 15 | Northeastern* | Liberty* | UC-Santa Barbara* | Abilene Christian* |
| 16 | Vermont* | New Mexico State* | ||
| 16 (First Four) | Bryant* | Eastern Washington* | Norfolk State* | Southern* |