The bracket below is our college basketball model’s best prediction of what the NIT bracket will look like at the end of the season. It is not a reflection of what the bracket would look like if the season ended today. If you want a full explanation of the model, here you go. The short version is that it simulates the season 10,000 times and and makes a bracket from the median results of those simulations (accounting for the most likely number of automatic bids and the most likely teams to take those bids). With there being so much uncertainty right now, we aren’t listing probabilities at this point in the season, but we’ll have those at some point down the line.
If you notice any irregularities or have questions of any sort, please contact me through the information available on our about page or on twitter: @joestunardi.
- The winner of the first region listed plays the winner of the second in the Final Four.
- Automatic bids are marked with a single asterisk (*).
- If you want NCAA Tournament Bracketology, we have that too.
- Updates are currently happening weekly.
- To see how the model has processed changing data throughout the season, you can reference our archive.
- For First Four Out and similar things, read NIT Stu’s daily NIT Notes.
Last updated Friday, February 19th
Note: We have seen the rumor about the NIT going to a 16-team format. Until we hear it from the NCAA or it’s widely confirmed, we’re going to keep operating in this fashion. If it does go to 16 teams, the presumption would be that four-seeds and above in here would be in the projected field, as the rumor further stipulates that the NIT won’t be awarding automatic bids this season.
Stanford Region
| 1. Stanford |
| 8. Wagner* |
| 4. UC-Santa Barbara* |
| 5. Toledo* |
| 3. Saint Mary’s |
| 6. North Texas |
| 2. Richmond |
| 7. UNC-Greensboro* |
UConn Region
| 1. UConn |
| 8. Vermont* |
| 4. Winthrop* |
| 5. Duke |
| 3. Mississippi |
| 6. Navy |
| 2. Penn State |
| 7. Siena* |
SMU Region
| 1. SMU |
| 8. Texas State* |
| 4. Utah State |
| 5. Louisiana Tech |
| 3. Georgia Tech |
| 6. Georgia |
| 2. Belmont* |
| 7. Grand Canyon* |
Wichita State Region
| 1. Wichita State |
| 8. James Madison* |
| 4. Syracuse |
| 5. St. John’s |
| 3. Memphis |
| 6. Notre Dame |
| 2. Western Kentucky |
| 7. Eastern Washington* |