The bracket below is our college basketball model’s best prediction of what the NIT bracket will look like at the end of the season. It is not a reflection of what the bracket would look like if the season ended today. If you want a full explanation of the model, here you go. The short version is that it simulates the season 10,000 times and and makes a bracket from the median results of those simulations (accounting for the most likely number of automatic bids and the most likely teams to take those bids). With there being so much uncertainty right now, we aren’t listing probabilities at this point in the season, but we’ll have those at some point down the line.
If you notice any irregularities or have questions of any sort, please contact me through the information available on our about page or on twitter: @joestunardi.
- The winner of the first region listed plays the winner of the second in the Final Four.
- Automatic bids are marked with a single asterisk (*).
- If you want NCAA Tournament Bracketology, we have that too.
- Updates are currently happening weekly.
- To see how the model has processed changing data throughout the season, you can reference our archive.
- For First Four Out and similar things, read NIT Stu’s daily NIT Notes.
Last updated Wednesday, February 10th
Colorado State Region
| 1. Colorado State |
| 8. Texas State* |
| 4. Syracuse |
| 5. St. John’s |
| 3. Saint Louis |
| 6. Mississippi State |
| 2. Memphis |
| 7. Northeastern* |
Drake Region
| 1. Drake |
| 8. Stephen F. Austin* |
| 4. Wichita State |
| 5. Notre Dame |
| 3. Toledo* |
| 6. Colgate* |
| 2. Utah State |
| 7. Grand Canyon* |
Richmond Region
| 1. Richmond |
| 8. Prairie View A&M* |
| 4. Duke |
| 5. Belmont* |
| 3. Georgia Tech |
| 6. Winthrop* |
| 2. Western Kentucky |
| 7. Siena* |
Oregon Region
| 1. Oregon |
| 8. South Dakota* |
| 4. Michigan State |
| 5. Mississippi |
| 3. Saint Mary’s |
| 6. UC-Santa Barbara* |
| 2. Boise State |
| 7. Cleveland State* |