Archived: 12.8.20 NCAAT Bracketology

The bracket below is our college basketball model’s best prediction of what the NCAA Tournament bracket will look like at the end of the season. It is not a reflection of what the bracket would look like if the season ended today. We’ll have an explanation of how our model works in the coming days, but the short version is that it simulates the season 1,000 times and makes the most likely single bracket from the results of those simulations. With there being so much uncertainty right now, we aren’t listing probabilities at this point in the season, but we’ll have those at some point down the line.

If you notice any irregularities or have questions of any sort, please contact me through the information available on our about page or on twitter: @joestunardi.

The winner of the first region listed plays the winner of the second in the Final Four.
Automatic bids are marked with a single asterisk (*).
If you want NIT Bracketology, we have it.
Updates are currently happening weekly.
For a full, top-to-bottom view of the field, check out our model’s Weekly Seed List.
To see how the model has processed changing data throughout the season, you can reference our archive.

Last updated Tuesday, December 8^th

WEST

1. Gonzaga*

16. Texas Southern*/St. Francis (PA)*

8. Purdue

9. Arizona State

5. Iowa

12. Furman*

4. Louisville

13. Toledo*

3. Wisconsin*

14. Abilene Christian*

6. Florida*

11. Arizona

7. Virginia

10. Minnesota

2. Kansas

15. Winthrop*

EAST

1. Villanova*

16. Eastern Washington*

8. Oregon*

9. Saint Louis*

5. Indiana

12. South Dakota State*

4. Florida State

13. Vermont*

3. Ohio State

14. UC-Santa Barbara*

6. Tennessee

11. NC State

7. Marquette

10. LSU

2. West Virginia

15. Drexel*

SOUTH

1. Baylor*

16. Colgate*/Norfolk State*

8. Rutgers

9. Missouri

5. Creighton

12. Loyola*

4. Michigan

13. Western Kentucky*

3. Texas Tech

14. New Mexico State*

6. Clemson

11. SMU/USC

7. San Diego State*

10. UConn

2. Duke*

15. Belmont*

MIDWEST

1. Texas

16. Siena*

8. Illinois

9. Stanford

5. Virginia Tech

12. Alabama/Xavier

4. North Carolina

13. Georgia State*

3. Michigan State

14. Liberty*

6. Oklahoma

11. Arkansas

7. Maryland

10. UCLA

2. Houston*

15. Wright State*