Archived: 12.22.20 NCAAT Bracketology

The bracket below is our college basketball model’s best prediction of what the NCAA Tournament bracket will look like at the end of the season. It is not a reflection of what the bracket would look like if the season ended today. We’ll have an explanation of how our model works in the coming days, but the short version is that it simulates the season 1,000 times and makes the most likely single bracket from the results of those simulations. With there being so much uncertainty right now, we aren’t listing probabilities at this point in the season, but we’ll have those at some point down the line.

If you notice any irregularities or have questions of any sort, please contact me through the information available on our about page or on twitter: @joestunardi.

  • The winner of the first region listed plays the winner of the second in the Final Four.
  • Automatic bids are marked with a single asterisk (*).
  • If you want NIT Bracketology, we have it.
  • Updates are currently happening weekly.
  • For a full, top-to-bottom view of the field, check out our model’s Weekly Seed List.
  • To see how the model has processed changing data throughout the season, you can reference our archive.

Last updated Tuesday, December 22nd

WEST

1. Gonzaga*
16. Texas Southern*/Norfolk State*
8. San Diego State*
9. Michigan State
5. Ohio State
12. UConn/Arizona
4. Creighton
13. Marshall*
3. Iowa
14. UC-Santa Barbara*
6. Saint Louis*
11. SMU
7. Virginia
10. Arkansas
2. Kansas
15. Liberty*

EAST

1. West Virginia
16. Drexel*
8. Colorado
9. LSU
5. Missouri
12. Loyola*
4. Clemson
13. Georgia State*
3. Michigan
14. South Dakota State*
6. Texas Tech
11. VCU
7. Virginia Tech
10. Oklahoma State
2. Villanova*
15. Eastern Washington*

SOUTH

1. Baylor*
16. Bryant*/Colgate*
8. Florida
9. Stanford
5. Oregon*
12. Furman*
4. Illinois
13. Wright State*
3. Rutgers
14. Belmont*
6. Florida State
11. Richmond
7. Louisville
10. UCLA
2. Tennessee*
15. Abilene Christian*

MIDWEST

1. Wisconsin*
16. Siena*
8. Xavier
9. USC
5. Indiana
12. Winthrop*
4. Duke*
13. Toledo*
3. Houston*
14. New Mexico State*
6. North Carolina
11. St. Mary’s/Minnesota
7. Purdue
10. Syracuse
2. Texas
15. Vermont*

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