Archived: 12.15.20 NCAAT Bracketology

The bracket below is our college basketball model’s best prediction of what the NCAA Tournament bracket will look like at the end of the season. It is not a reflection of what the bracket would look like if the season ended today. We’ll have an explanation of how our model works in the coming days, but the short version is that it simulates the season 1,000 times and makes the most likely single bracket from the results of those simulations. With there being so much uncertainty right now, we aren’t listing probabilities at this point in the season, but we’ll have those at some point down the line.

If you notice any irregularities or have questions of any sort, please contact me through the information available on our about page or on twitter: @joestunardi.

• The winner of the first region listed plays the winner of the second in the Final Four.
• Automatic bids are marked with a single asterisk (*).
• If you want NIT Bracketology, we have it.
• Updates are currently happening weekly.
• For a full, top-to-bottom view of the field, check out our model’s Weekly Seed List.
• To see how the model has processed changing data throughout the season, you can reference our archive.

Last updated Tuesday, December 15^th

WEST

1. Gonzaga*

16. Norfolk State*/Texas Southern*

8. Minnesota

9. Oklahoma

5. Michigan State

12. Loyola*

4. Louisville

13. Toledo*

3. Michigan

14. South Dakota State*

6. Illinois

11. Syracuse

7. Virginia

10. Saint Louis*

2. Kansas

15. Murray State*

MIDWEST

1. Texas

16. Eastern Washington*

8. San Diego State*

9. Stanford

5. Indiana

12. Furman*

4. Texas Tech

13. Georgia State*

3. Clemson

14. Abilene Christian*

6. Duke

11. Mississippi/Penn State

7. Xavier

10. Virginia Tech

2. Iowa*

15. Siena*

SOUTH

1. Baylor*

16. Colgate*/Mount St. Mary’s*

8. Creighton

9. Florida

5. Tennessee*

12. Arizona/Maryland

4. Ohio State

13. Wright State*

3. Rutgers

14. New Mexico State*

6. Oklahoma State

11. NC State

7. Marquette

10. USC

2. Florida State*

15. Liberty*

EAST

1. West Virginia

16. Drexel*

8. Oregon*

9. Arkansas

5. Missouri

12. Marshall*

4. Wisconsin

13. Vermont*

3. Houston*

14. Winthrop*

6. North Carolina

11. LSU

7. UCLA

10. Purdue

2. Villanova*

15. UC-Santa Barbara*