Archived: 12.1.20 NCAAT Bracketology

The bracket below is our college basketball model’s best prediction of what the NCAA Tournament bracket will look like at the end of the season. It is not a reflection of what the bracket would look like if the season ended today. We’ll have an explanation of how our model works in the coming days, but the short version is that it simulates the season 1,000 times and makes the most likely single bracket from the results of those simulations. With there being so much uncertainty right now, we aren’t listing probabilities at this point in the season, but we’ll have those at some point down the line.

If you notice any irregularities or have questions of any sort, please contact me through the information available on our about page or on twitter: @joestunardi.

• The winner of the first region listed plays the winner of the second in the Final Four.
• Automatic bids are marked with a single asterisk (*).
• If you want NIT Bracketology, we have it.
• Updates are currently happening weekly.
• For a full, top-to-bottom view of the field, check out our model’s Weekly Seed List.
• To see how the model has processed changing data throughout the season, you can reference our archive.

Last updated Tuesday, December 1^st

WEST

1. Gonzaga*

16. St. Francis (PA)*/Texas Southern*

8. Arizona State

9. Minnesota

5. Creighton

12. Western Kentucky*

4. Virginia Tech

13. Belmont*

3. Indiana

14. Wright State*

6. Tennessee

11. Miami

7. Oregon*

10. Saint Louis*

2. Kansas

15. Siena*

MIDWEST

1. West Virginia

16. Hofstra*

8. Virginia

9. Purdue

5. Louisville

12. Furman*

4. North Carolina

13. Vermont*

3. Ohio State

14. Abilene Christian*

6. Clemson

11. TCU

7. Michigan

10. UCLA

2. Houston*

15. Eastern Washington*

SOUTH

1. Baylor*

16. Colgate*/Norfolk State*

8. Florida

9. Maryland

5. Iowa

12. Colorado/Dayton

4. Florida State

13. New Mexico State*

3. Texas Tech

14. Liberty*

6. Kentucky*

11. Richmond/SMU

7. Marquette

10. Mississippi

2. Wisconsin*

15. UC-Santa Barbara*

EAST

1. Duke*

16. Winthrop*

8. Rutgers

9. Oklahoma

5. Stanford

12. Loyola*

4. Michigan State

13. South Dakota State*

3. Texas

14. Georgia State*

6. Illinois

11. NC State

7. San Diego State*

10. Arizona

2. Villanova*

15. Toledo*