The bracket below is our college basketball model’s best prediction of what the NIT bracket will look like at the end of the season. It is not a reflection of what the bracket would look like if the season ended today. We’ll have an explanation of how our model works in the coming days, but the short version is that it simulates the season 1,000 times and makes the most likely single bracket from the results of those simulations (accounting for the most likely number of automatic bids, and the most likely teams to take those bids). With there being so much uncertainty right now, we aren’t listing probabilities at this point in the season, but we’ll have those at some point down the line.
If you notice any irregularities or have questions of any sort, please contact me through the information available on our about page or on twitter: @joestunardi.
- The winner of the first region listed plays the winner of the second in the Final Four.
- Automatic bids are marked with a single asterisk (*).
- If you want NCAA Tournament Bracketology, we have that too.
- Updates are currently happening weekly.
- To see how the model has processed changing data throughout the season, you can reference our archive.
Last updated Tuesday, January 5th
SMU Region
| 1. SMU |
| 8. Texas Southern* |
| 4. Winthrop* |
| 5. Western Kentucky |
| 3. BYU |
| 6. Colorado State |
| 2. TCU |
| 7. Abilene Christian* |
Michigan State Region
| 1. Michigan State |
| 8. Bryant* |
| 4. Wichita State |
| 5. Dayton |
| 3. Penn State |
| 6. Toledo* |
| 2. Providence |
| 7. Siena* |
Marquette Region
| 1. Marquette |
| 8. Eastern Washington* |
| 4. St. Bonaventure |
| 5. Furman* |
| 3. Boise State |
| 6. South Dakota State* |
| 2. Northwestern |
| 7. UC-Irvine* |
St. Mary’s Region
| 1. St. Mary’s |
| 8. Colgate* |
| 4. Arizona State |
| 5. Tulsa |
| 3. Richmond |
| 6. Belmont* |
| 2. Maryland |
| 7. New Mexico State* |