The bracket below is our college basketball model’s best prediction of what the NIT bracket will look like at the end of the season. It is not a reflection of what the bracket would look like if the season ended today. If you want a full explanation of the model, here you go. The short version is that it simulates the season 10,000 times and and makes a bracket from the median results of those simulations (accounting for the most likely number of automatic bids and the most likely teams to take those bids). With there being so much uncertainty right now, we aren’t listing probabilities at this point in the season, but we’ll have those at some point down the line.
If you notice any irregularities or have questions of any sort, please contact me through the information available on our about page or on twitter: @joestunardi.
- The winner of the first region listed plays the winner of the second in the Final Four.
- Automatic bids are marked with a single asterisk (*).
- If you want NCAA Tournament Bracketology, we have that too.
- Updates are currently happening weekly.
- To see how the model has processed changing data throughout the season, you can reference our archive.
Last updated Monday, January 25th
Drake Region
| 1. Drake |
| 8. Montana State* |
| 4. Toledo* |
| 5. Marquette |
| 3. Colorado State |
| 6. South Dakota State* |
| 2. Duke |
| 7. Wofford* |
Western Kentucky Region
| 1. Western Kentucky |
| 8. Northeastern* |
| 4. Georgia Tech |
| 5. Belmont* |
| 3. Providence |
| 6. Colgate* |
| 2. Syracuse |
| 7. Vermont* |
SMU Region
| 1. SMU |
| 8. Texas State* |
| 4. Richmond |
| 5. Winthrop* |
| 3. Utah State |
| 6. Tulsa |
| 2. Michigan State |
| 7. UC-Irvine* |
VCU Region
| 1. VCU |
| 8. Bryant* |
| 4. Wichita State |
| 5. Saint Mary’s |
| 3. Pittsburgh |
| 6. Memphis |
| 2. Penn State |
| 7. Siena* |